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Fed’s Musalem (more): tariffs to stay, balance sheet move independent of policy
Fed’s Musalem (more): tariffs to stay, balance sheet move independent of policy
Musalem’s comments signal a steady policy framework, suggesting the Fed views tariffs as a lasting inflation factor while maintaining flexibility between its balance sheet and interest-rate tools.
Fed's Musalem sees upside risks for inflation
Fed's Musalem sees upside risks for inflation
Alberto Musalem is the president and chief executive officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
EUR/USD climbs as weak US jobs data fuels Fed cut bets
EUR/USD climbs as weak US jobs data fuels Fed cut bets
EUR/USD recovers some ground on Thursday, post gains of 0.45% after bouncing off daily lows of 1.1486 as the Greenback weakened. A soft jobs data in the US increased speculation for a Fed rate cut at the December meeting. The pair trades at 1.1545 at the time of writing.
EURUSD
Fundamental Analysis
Technical Analysis
Majors
SEO
EURUSD technicals: The EURUSD continues it's trend to the upside, and moves above targets
EURUSD technicals: The EURUSD continues it's trend to the upside, and moves above targets
Extends above the 100 hour MA and more recently the 38.2% retracement. The falling 200 hour MA and 50% retracement are now targets.
Gold holds near $4,000 as US shutdown, layoffs boost safe-haven demand
Gold holds near $4,000 as US shutdown, layoffs boost safe-haven demand
Gold price advances on Thursday after reaching a daily high of $4,019, but retreats below the $4,000 mark even though the US Dollar and US Treasury yields tumbled. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades with gains of over 0.10% at around $3,985.
Gold
XAUUSD
Technical Analysis
Fundamental Analysis
SEO
GBP/USD rebounds after BoE’s dovish hold but remains below 1.31
GBP/USD rebounds after BoE’s dovish hold but remains below 1.31
GBP/USD recovers some ground but trades off daily highs as the Bank of England (BoE) held rates unchanged on Thursday, on a 'dovish' hold as the vote split hints that the December meeting is open. The pair trades at 1.3080, up 0.26%.
GBPUSD
Currencies
BOE
Majors
Technical Analysis
AUDUSD Technicals: The AUDUSD moved higher yesterday & extended higher but into resistance
AUDUSD Technicals: The AUDUSD moved higher yesterday & extended higher but into resistance
The AUDUSD buyers turned to sellers once the price reached the 100 hour MA target. The price is now trading lower and testing recent lows.
USDCAD Technicals: Sellers come up short of target on the corrective move lower.
USDCAD Technicals: Sellers come up short of target on the corrective move lower.
The price of the USDCAD is up 6 consecutive days. The price is now unchanged after selling momentum stalls ahead of targeted levels.
USDCHF Technicals.  The USDCHF is lower today as sellers take profit w/ support now tested
USDCHF Technicals. The USDCHF is lower today as sellers take profit w/ support now tested
The USDCHF is back down testing a swing area between 0.8071 and 0.8076 along with the 100 hour MA (at 0.8079). Which way will the bias turn at this area?
The BOE announced a dovish unchanged (5-4 vote to cut). The USD is lower vs. the majors.
The BOE announced a dovish unchanged (5-4 vote to cut). The USD is lower vs. the majors.
The BOE voted to keep rated unchanged but only by a 5-4 votes (with dissenters voting to cut). The GBPUSD is still higher but off highs. The EURUSD is higher (lower USD) and the USDJPY is lower with each moving through technical levels tilting the bias in the dollar selling direction.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD approaches key resistance at the $4,045 area
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD approaches key resistance at the $4,045 area
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading higher for the second consecutive day on Thursday, favoured by a somewhat softer US Dollar.
XAUUSD
Gold
Metals
Commodities
Technical Analysis
Gold slips below $4,000 as bullish momentum fades, eyes on Fed speakers
Gold slips below $4,000 as bullish momentum fades, eyes on Fed speakers
Gold (XAU/USD) edges lower on Thursday, after briefly reclaiming the key $4,000 psychological mark amid a weaker US Dollar (USD). At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,985, easing from an intraday high of $4,019 as bullish momentum stalls.
Gold
SEO
Technical Analysis
XAUUSD
Fed
Bullish Momentum
BOE leaves bank rate unchanged at 4.00% in November monetary policy meeting
BOE leaves bank rate unchanged at 4.00% in November monetary policy meeting
The Bank of England announces its latest monetary policy decision for November 2025
BOE coming up next, are there any potential surprises?
BOE coming up next, are there any potential surprises?
Not everyone believes that the BOE will stay on hold on rates today
USD/CNH: Likely to trade in a range of 7.1220/7.1350 – UOB Group
USD/CNH: Likely to trade in a range of 7.1220/7.1350 – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range of 7.1220/7.1350. In the longer run, there is scope for USD to test 7.1450.
Banks
Technical Analysis
USDCNH
USD/JPY: Likely to trade in a range between 153.30 and 154.40 – UOB Group
USD/JPY: Likely to trade in a range between 153.30 and 154.40 – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) could trade in a range between 153.30 and 154.40. In the longer run, USD appears to have entered a 152.40/154.40 range-trading phase, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USDJPY
Technical Analysis
Banks
NZD/USD: Likely part of a range-trading phase between 0.5640 and 0.5680 – UOB Group
NZD/USD: Likely part of a range-trading phase between 0.5640 and 0.5680 – UOB Group
The current price movements are likely part of a range-trading phase between 0.5640 and 0.5680. In the longer run, downward pressure has increased; NZD could weaken to 0.5600 next, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
NZDUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
AUD/USD: Expected to consolidate in a range of 0.6485/0.6525 – UOB Group
AUD/USD: Expected to consolidate in a range of 0.6485/0.6525 – UOB Group
Australian Dollar (AUD) is expected to consolidate in a range of 0.6485/0.6525. In the longer run, outlook for AUD is negative now, but last month’s low near 0.6445 may not come into view so soon, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
AUDUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
GBP/USD: Likely to continue to trade in a range – UOB Group
GBP/USD: Likely to continue to trade in a range – UOB Group
Slowing downward momentum suggests Pound Sterling (GBP) is likely to continue to trade in a range, expected to be between 1.3030 and 1.3090. In the longer run, GBP is still negative, but further downside may be limited.
GBPUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
EUR/USD: Likely to trade between 1.1475 and 1.1525 – UOB Group
EUR/USD: Likely to trade between 1.1475 and 1.1525 – UOB Group
Tentatively slowing downward momentum and oversold conditions suggest consolidation in EUR, likely between 1.1475 and 1.1525. In the longer run, EUR is expected to weaken further; the next level to watch is 1.1450, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Technical Analysis
EURUSD
Banks
BoE preview: focus on the new minutes format for clues on the next cut
BoE preview: focus on the new minutes format for clues on the next cut
The BoE is expected to keep the Bank Rate unchanged at 4.00% with a 6-3 vote split. We will also get the updated economic projections and new minutes format with the focus on individual perspectives of the MPC members.
USD: More correction risks – ING
USD: More correction risks – ING
ADP payroll figures were good enough (42k vs 30k consensus) to keep markets in guessing mode about December's Fed cut. ISM services were also stronger than expected. The US Dollar (USD) reaction was interestingly quite muted and was followed by a correction overnight.
Banks
DollarIndex
Technical Analysis
Fed
USD: No interest rate cut from the BoE – Commerzbank
USD: No interest rate cut from the BoE – Commerzbank
The Bank of England will conclude this week's G10 central bank meetings today. Having lowered interest rates every three months this year, today would normally be the time for the next step, Commerzbank's FX analyst Michael Pfister notes.
Banks
DollarIndex
Technical Analysis
USD sentiment strengthens amid easing trade risks – Commerzbank
USD sentiment strengthens amid easing trade risks – Commerzbank
Sentiment toward the US Dollar (USD) has brightened considerably recently. This is evident not only in the exchange rate, which has appreciated significantly, but also in the options market.
DollarIndex
Banks
Technical Analysis
EURUSD
GBP: Bank of England to hold, December cut in play – ING
GBP: Bank of England to hold, December cut in play – ING
Markets are pricing in a 25% probability of a Bank of England cut today, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
Banks
GBPUSD
Technical Analysis
BOE
USD/JPY: Nearing recent highs again – OCBC
USD/JPY: Nearing recent highs again – OCBC
USD/JPY rebounded to trade closer to 154, after trading briefly below 153 overnight. Pair was last seen at 153.54 levels. The rebound overnight tracked UST yields higher, after US data surprised to the upside, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
USDJPY
Banks
Technical Analysis
BOJ
DXY: Watching for signs of turnaround – OCBC
DXY: Watching for signs of turnaround – OCBC
US Dollar (USD) slipped this morning, taking cues from slight recovery in risk sentiments. DXY last at 100 levels. Overnight, US data – ADP employment, ISM services - came in better than expected, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
DollarIndex
Banks
Technical Analysis