Momentum indicators are mostly flat; US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range between 7.1200 and 7.1300. In the longer run, USD has likely entered a range-trading phase between 7.1120 and 7.1330, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to trade in a range between 0.5610 and 0.5645. In the longer run, positive divergence suggests waning downside momentum; a breach of 0.5660 would mean that weakness in NZD has stabilized, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Euro (EUR) is likely to trade in a 1.1525/1.1580 range. In the longer run, weakness from a week ago has stabilized; EUR is likely to trade in a range of 1.1485/1.1610 for the time being, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Developments over the weekend hint at a path to ending the US government shutdown. It seems the prospect of massive flight delays around Thanksgiving and the delay in food aid payments has prompted a group of moderate Democrats to back a proposed compromise bill in the Senate.
USD/JPY jumped in early trade this morning, as demand for safe haven proxy faded in reaction to news that US government shutdown may be nearing an end. USD/JPY last seen at 154.17 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
US Dollar (USD) traded mixed this morning, with gains seen vs. low yielding major FX while losses were seen vs. risk-proxy FX, including AUD, KRW. DXY was last at 99.55 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Following the unexpectedly strong Canadian labour market report for September, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem still referred to it as an outlier.
EUR/JPY gains ground for the second successive session, trading around 178.10, higher by more than 0.25%, during the early European hours on Monday. The short-term price momentum is stronger as the currency cross is positioned above the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
The EUR/USD pair trades with mild losses near 1.1565 during the early European session on Wednesday. The US Dollar (USD) edges higher against the Euro (EUR) amid hopes that the US government shutdown may end soon.
The easing of export restrictions marks a significant step toward normalising China–EU tech trade and reducing supply chain risk for automakers reliant on Nexperia chips. The development also suggests a broader de-escalation in semiconductor tensions involving Western allies.
The BOJ’s October meeting summary showed most policymakers see a case for a near-term rate hike if wage growth holds and global conditions stay stable. Two members wanted an immediate increase, while Governor Ueda urged patience to confirm data trends.
RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser warned that Australia’s economy remains tighter than usual for a recovery, limiting room for further easing. He said inflation control will require policy to stay restrictive until the output gap narrows and called for greater productivity and investment to expand supply.
New York Fed chief John Williams warned that rising affordability pressures on lower-income Americans could threaten U.S. economic resilience, calling the December policy meeting a “balancing act” as inflation stays high and consumer confidence risks weaken.
Next week's highlights include China inflation and activity data, labour market reports from the UK and Australia, New Zealand Inflation Forecasts and the BoJ Summary of Opinions.
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