USD/JPY holds around 154.00 on Monday at the time of writing, up 0.40% on the day, close to its eight-month high of 154.49. The pair remains supported by the persistent weakness of the Japanese Yen (JPY), pressured by uncertainty over the Bank of Japan (BoJ)’s policy outlook.
Federal Reserve (Fed) governor Stephen Miran spoke in an interview with CNBC on Monday, discussing inflation and monetary policy. He stated that inflation is decreasing and that maintaining the course on rate cuts is the correct decision.
USD/CHF holds near 0.8060 on Monday at the time of writing, up 0.10% on the day, as the US Dollar (USD) stabilizes after the United States (US) Senate approved a measure to extend federal funding through January. This political progress helps ease fears of another potential government shutdown.
GBP/USD consolidates during the North American session on Monday, remaining steady at around 1.3150 amid growing speculation that the US government shutdown might end soon, a tailwind for the US Dollar (USD), which trimmed some earlier losses.
Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of St. Louis President Alberto Musalem spoke in an interview with Bloomberg TV on Monday about the United States (US) economy. He stated that inflation is closer to 3% than to the 2% target and emphasized that “we have sufficient information to make policy decisions.”
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is weak, down 0.5% against the US Dollar (USD) and underperforming all of the G10 currencies as we head into Monday’s NA session, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) is also trading in a tight range and entering Monday’s NA session with a tentative extension of last week’s recovery, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
The Euro (EUR) is quietly consolidating in the mid-1.15s and entering Monday’s NA session unchanged from Friday’s close, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is holding a minor gain against the mixed USD to start the week, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
The US Dollar (USD) is starting the new week out on a mixed note. News of a potential breakthrough in government shutdown negotiations in the Senate has lifted risk appetite and boosted stocks, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
NZD/USD strengthens on Monday, up 0.15% to around 0.5640 at the time of writing. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) finds support after falling last week to a seven-month low at 0.5605, helped by a rebound in China’s consumer prices and easing US-China trade tensions.
President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of San Francisco Mary Daly spoke in an interview with Bloomberg Television on Monday regarding inflation and monetary policy. She mentioned that inflation has remained relatively stable in terms of goods prices.
Momentum indicators are mostly flat; US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range between 7.1200 and 7.1300. In the longer run, USD has likely entered a range-trading phase between 7.1120 and 7.1330, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to trade in a range between 0.5610 and 0.5645. In the longer run, positive divergence suggests waning downside momentum; a breach of 0.5660 would mean that weakness in NZD has stabilized, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
EUR/USD trades around 1.1560 on Monday at the time of writing, virtually unchanged on the day. The US Dollar (USD) finds renewed support following Bloomberg reports that a group of centrist Senate Democrats agreed to back a deal to end the US government shutdown.
Euro (EUR) is likely to trade in a 1.1525/1.1580 range. In the longer run, weakness from a week ago has stabilized; EUR is likely to trade in a range of 1.1485/1.1610 for the time being, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly said on Monday that Fed policymakers need to keep an open mind about further rates cuts, per Reuters.
Over the weekend, Chinese inflation figures were published and showed a slight surprise on the upside. In this case, however, this should be seen as positive – because while the rest of the world is struggling with inflation that tends to be too high, China is still on the brink of deflation.
EUR/HUF continues its steady decline, with the pair drifting toward the crucial 383/382 support zone at the base of its descending channel, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
Developments over the weekend hint at a path to ending the US government shutdown. It seems the prospect of massive flight delays around Thanksgiving and the delay in food aid payments has prompted a group of moderate Democrats to back a proposed compromise bill in the Senate.
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades 2% higher to near $4,080 during the European trading session on Monday. The yellow metal strengthens amid steady expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates again in the December policy meeting.
USD/JPY jumped in early trade this morning, as demand for safe haven proxy faded in reaction to news that US government shutdown may be nearing an end. USD/JPY last seen at 154.17 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
The Turkish central bank (CBT) has adjusted its year-end inflation forecast for 2025, once again, upward to 31%-33%, compared with the previous 25%-29%. This revision aligns with existing analyst consensus forecasts.
US Dollar (USD) traded mixed this morning, with gains seen vs. low yielding major FX while losses were seen vs. risk-proxy FX, including AUD, KRW. DXY was last at 99.55 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Silver (XAG/USD) continues its advance at the start of the week, trading around $49.85 per ounce on Monday at the time of writing, up 3.0% for the day and marking its highest level in three weeks at $50.00 earlier in the day.
Following the unexpectedly strong Canadian labour market report for September, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem still referred to it as an outlier.
China’s headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rebounded to 0.2% y/y in October (Bloomberg est: -0.1%, September: -0.3%) after two consecutive months of negative prints. Core CPI (excluding food & energy) continued to rise to a 20-month high of 1.2% y/y from 1.0% y/y in September.
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