Momentum indicators are mostly flat; US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range between 7.1200 and 7.1300. In the longer run, USD has likely entered a range-trading phase between 7.1120 and 7.1330, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to trade in a range between 0.5610 and 0.5645. In the longer run, positive divergence suggests waning downside momentum; a breach of 0.5660 would mean that weakness in NZD has stabilized, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
EUR/USD trades around 1.1560 on Monday at the time of writing, virtually unchanged on the day. The US Dollar (USD) finds renewed support following Bloomberg reports that a group of centrist Senate Democrats agreed to back a deal to end the US government shutdown.
Euro (EUR) is likely to trade in a 1.1525/1.1580 range. In the longer run, weakness from a week ago has stabilized; EUR is likely to trade in a range of 1.1485/1.1610 for the time being, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly said on Monday that Fed policymakers need to keep an open mind about further rates cuts, per Reuters.
Over the weekend, Chinese inflation figures were published and showed a slight surprise on the upside. In this case, however, this should be seen as positive – because while the rest of the world is struggling with inflation that tends to be too high, China is still on the brink of deflation.
EUR/HUF continues its steady decline, with the pair drifting toward the crucial 383/382 support zone at the base of its descending channel, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
Developments over the weekend hint at a path to ending the US government shutdown. It seems the prospect of massive flight delays around Thanksgiving and the delay in food aid payments has prompted a group of moderate Democrats to back a proposed compromise bill in the Senate.
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades 2% higher to near $4,080 during the European trading session on Monday. The yellow metal strengthens amid steady expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates again in the December policy meeting.
USD/JPY jumped in early trade this morning, as demand for safe haven proxy faded in reaction to news that US government shutdown may be nearing an end. USD/JPY last seen at 154.17 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
The Turkish central bank (CBT) has adjusted its year-end inflation forecast for 2025, once again, upward to 31%-33%, compared with the previous 25%-29%. This revision aligns with existing analyst consensus forecasts.
US Dollar (USD) traded mixed this morning, with gains seen vs. low yielding major FX while losses were seen vs. risk-proxy FX, including AUD, KRW. DXY was last at 99.55 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Silver (XAG/USD) continues its advance at the start of the week, trading around $49.85 per ounce on Monday at the time of writing, up 3.0% for the day and marking its highest level in three weeks at $50.00 earlier in the day.
Following the unexpectedly strong Canadian labour market report for September, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem still referred to it as an outlier.
China’s headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rebounded to 0.2% y/y in October (Bloomberg est: -0.1%, September: -0.3%) after two consecutive months of negative prints. Core CPI (excluding food & energy) continued to rise to a 20-month high of 1.2% y/y from 1.0% y/y in September.
Dow Jones futures gain 0.18% to trade above 47,150 during European hours ahead of the opening of the United States (US) regular session on Monday. Moreover, the S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 gained by 0.70% and 1.24%, with trading around 6,800 and 25,450, respectively.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) trades with caution against its major currency peers at the start of the week. The British currency faces slight selling pressure amid growing expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) will cut interest rates at its December policy meeting.
The USD/CHF pair trades in a tight range around 0.8060 during the European trading session on Monday. The Swiss Franc pair ranges as the US Dollar (USD) steadies after the United States (US) Senate advanced the federal funding bill until January.
EUR/JPY gains ground for the second successive session, trading around 178.10, higher by more than 0.25%, during the early European hours on Monday. The short-term price momentum is stronger as the currency cross is positioned above the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos said during the European trading session on Monday that there is no need for an adjustment in the current level of interest rates, unless inflation developments change or projections are modified.
The EUR/USD pair trades with mild losses near 1.1565 during the early European session on Wednesday. The US Dollar (USD) edges higher against the Euro (EUR) amid hopes that the US government shutdown may end soon.
Takuji Aida, an economic adviser to Japan’s Prime Minister (PM) Sanae Takaichi, warned on Monday, “it would be quite risky for the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to raise interest rates in December."
The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, trades on a positive note around 99.65 during the Asian trading hours on Monday. The DXY edges higher amid hopes that the US government shutdown may end soon.
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