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Trump says he's getting along very well with Canada and Mexico
Trump says he's getting along very well with Canada and Mexico
The leaders of Canada, the US and Mexico are meeting ahead of the FIFA World Cup draw
Politics
Bessent: China agreement is going well
Bessent: China agreement is going well
Bessent spoke with China VP He Lifeng today
Fed poised for third straight cut, BoC seen on hold – RBC
Fed poised for third straight cut, BoC seen on hold – RBC
Dual central bank interest rate decisions from the U.S.
BOC
Banks
USDCAD
CentralBanks
InterestRate
EUR/USD pulls back as Greenback finds support following latest US data
EUR/USD pulls back as Greenback finds support following latest US data
The Euro (EUR) trims earlier gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday as the Greenback firms following the latest set of US economic releases.
EURUSD
UnitedStates
Inflation
Fed
InterestRate
EUR/USD: USD slide may spur 2026 diversification – Rabobank
EUR/USD: USD slide may spur 2026 diversification – Rabobank
The US Dollar’s (USD) sharp H1 2025 drop could push investors toward broader portfolios, though geopolitics and Fed risks may keep the currency unsettled.
EURUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
DollarIndex
Fed poised for 25bp cut to 3.50–3.75% – Rabobank
Fed poised for 25bp cut to 3.50–3.75% – Rabobank
The FOMC is expected to deliver a 25bp rate cut with potential dissents, reflecting the tension between inflation risks and weakening employment. Federal Reserve (Fed) Gov.
Fed
Banks
CentralBanks
InterestRate
GBP/USD rises as Fed rate cut odds boost Sterling
GBP/USD rises as Fed rate cut odds boost Sterling
GBP/USD resumes its uptrend on Friday, trimming some of Thursday’s losses as the US Dollar (USD) recovers some ground. Inflation data in the US kept steady the chances of a Federal Reserve (Fed) cut at the December meeting, weighing on the Greenback.
Fundamental Analysis
Technical Analysis
Majors
GBPUSD
Currencies
Why stock markets like today's economic data
Why stock markets like today's economic data
US stocks rally as markets see a green light for rate cuts in the UMich data
EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Sellers dominate as momentum turns decisively bearish
EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Sellers dominate as momentum turns decisively bearish
EUR/GBP remains under pressure on Friday as the Euro (EUR) continues to soften against a broadly supported British Pound (GBP). Sterling has held firm since the UK Autumn Budget, even as markets maintain strong expectations for a Bank of England (BoE) interest rate cut at the December 18 meeting.
EURGBP
Technical Analysis
SupportResistance
Eurozone
UnitedKingdom
Momentum
US PCE Price Index rises 2.8% in September as expected
US PCE Price Index rises 2.8% in September as expected
The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose 2.8% on a yearly basis in September, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported on Friday. This print followed the 2.7% increase recorded in August and came in line with the market expectation.
UnitedStates
Inflation
Macroeconomics
EconomicIndicator
US UoM Consumer Sentiment Index rises to 53.3 in December
US UoM Consumer Sentiment Index rises to 53.3 in December
American consumer confidence edged higher in early December, as households grew more optimistic about current conditions and the broader economic outlook, according to preliminary data from the University of Michigan (UoM).
ConsumerConfidence
UnitedStates
EconomicIndicator
DollarIndex
US personal income for September 0.4% versus 0.3%. PCE for September 0.3% versus 0.3% exp
US personal income for September 0.4% versus 0.3%. PCE for September 0.3% versus 0.3% exp
Personal income and personal consumption and PCE data released for September
ECB’s Villeroy: Downside risks to inflation remain as significant as the upside risks.
ECB’s Villeroy: Downside risks to inflation remain as significant as the upside risks.
European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of France Governor Villeroy de Galhau said on Friday that their current "good position" of ECB policy does not mean a comfortable or fixed one at a conference in Paris.
ECB
CentralBanks
EURUSD
Inflation
InterestRate
Canada jobs surge again in November – TDS
Canada jobs surge again in November – TDS
Canada delivered another major jobs surprise with 54k new positions, pushing the jobless rate sharply lower. Markets priced in future hikes as yields spiked, though analysts still expect the Bank of Canada (BoC) to hold steady through 2026, TDS' economists Robert Both and Emma Lawrence note.
Banks
Canada
BOC
USDCAD
Employment
USD/CAD slides to a two-month low after Canada’s jobs beat; eyes on US PCE
USD/CAD slides to a two-month low after Canada’s jobs beat; eyes on US PCE
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday as a stronger-than-expected Labour Force Survey boosts sentiment around the Loonie.
USDCAD
Canada
Employment
UnitedStates
Inflation
GBP holds steady amid quiet trading – Scotiabank
GBP holds steady amid quiet trading – Scotiabank
The Pound Sterling (GBP) trades little changed in subdued market conditions, with sentiment influenced by broader currency trends.
Banks
GBPUSD
EURGBP
UnitedKingdom
BOE
EUR holds steady near mid-range – Scotiabank
EUR holds steady near mid-range – Scotiabank
The Euro (USD) trades flat near the midpoint of its intraday range, supported by stronger-than-expected German and French industrial data.
EURUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
USD edges higher, but DXY losses persist – Scotiabank
USD edges higher, but DXY losses persist – Scotiabank
The US Dollar (USD) is adding marginally to net losses on the week into Friday trade but the broader tone of price action is perhaps tending towards consolidation in DXY losses, with the index edging back to the 99 area, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
DollarIndex
Banks
Fed
EUR/JPY rebounds on stronger Eurozone data, soft Yen
EUR/JPY rebounds on stronger Eurozone data, soft Yen
EUR/JPY recovers from early lows on Friday as the Japanese Yen struggles to benefit from growing expectations of a Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike.
EURJPY
Eurozone
GDP
Employment
Japan
investingLive European markets wrap: Dollar steadies on calmer risk appetite, eyes on Fed
investingLive European markets wrap: Dollar steadies on calmer risk appetite, eyes on Fed
Market news from the European morning session on 5 December 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Europe
Swiss government adopts draft negotiating mandate for trade agreement with the US
Swiss government adopts draft negotiating mandate for trade agreement with the US
The draft mandate will now be consulted with foreign policy committees of parliament and Swiss cantons
Politics
CHF
Copper price continues to surge – Commerzbank
Copper price continues to surge – Commerzbank
Copper prices jumped to a new record of $11,540 per ton as fears mount over potential US import tariffs extending to refined Copper.
Metals
Banks
Copper
Commodities
Italy's Gold reserves become the focus of politics – Commerzbank
Italy's Gold reserves become the focus of politics – Commerzbank
Italy is considering declaring its central bank’s 2,452 tons of Gold as the property of the people, a move opposed by the ECB over fears it could threaten bank independence.
Gold
Banks
XAUUSD
Commodities
Italy
 USD/JPY edges up above 155.00 ahead of the US PCE inflation release
 USD/JPY edges up above 155.00 ahead of the US PCE inflation release
The US Dollar has popped up above the 155.00 line against the Japanese Yen on Friday’s European session, after bouncing up from two-week lows at 154.30 on Thursday.
USDJPY
Currencies
Inflation
European Gas price falls to 20-month low – Commerzbank
European Gas price falls to 20-month low – Commerzbank
The TTF Natural Gas price continued to slide this week. The 1-month forward is currently trading below EUR 27 per MWh, which is the lowest level in 20 months, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
Banks
Gas
Energy
Commodities
Saudi Arabia lowers selling prices again – Commerzbank
Saudi Arabia lowers selling prices again – Commerzbank
Saudi Arabia has reduced its official selling prices for January Oil deliveries, with Asian customers now paying only $0.60 per barrel above the Oman/Dubai benchmark.
Oil
Commodities
Banks
Energy
WTI
Russian Oil exports rose significantly in late November – Commerzbank
Russian Oil exports rose significantly in late November – Commerzbank
Russia exported nearly 3.94 million barrels of Crude Oil per day last week, marking a 20% increase from the prior week despite US sanctions.
Oil
Commodities
Energy
Banks
WTI
SNB preview: High bar to a cut, hold at 0% – NOMURA
SNB preview: High bar to a cut, hold at 0% – NOMURA
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is expected to maintain its policy rate at 0% despite weak inflation and GDP growth, citing high barriers to negative rates.
SNB
CentralBanks
USDCHF
Banks
InterestRate
China's imports at the start of the week – Commerzbank
China's imports at the start of the week – Commerzbank
Since the beginning of October, the price of a barrel of Brent crude Oil has fluctuated mainly between USD 60 and 65. This is unlikely to change in the coming week, as factors supporting and weighing on prices are likely to balance each other out.
Oil
Banks
Commodities
Energy
China
Gold rises after PCE reinforces dovish Fed outlook
Gold rises after PCE reinforces dovish Fed outlook
Gold (XAU/USD) edges higher on Friday as the latest US economic data reinforces expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next week, with steady PCE inflation and easing consumer inflation expectations keeping the policy outlook firmly dovish.
Gold
XAUUSD
Technical Analysis
SEO
Fed
USD/INR nears record high as RBI cuts rates – BBH
USD/INR nears record high as RBI cuts rates – BBH
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) cut its policy rate by 25bps to 5.25%, supporting economic growth amid a benign inflation outlook. USD/INR hovers just below record highs as markets price in a floor for rates, with potential future hikes over the next two years, BBH FX analysts report.
USDINR
India
Banks
InterestRate
BoJ poised for December rate hike – Commerzbank
BoJ poised for December rate hike – Commerzbank
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is set to raise interest rates to 0.75% this month, sending USD/JPY lower as the Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens.
Banks
BOJ
USDJPY
Japan
Technical Analysis
USD/JPY hits fresh lows as Yen strengthens – MUFG
USD/JPY hits fresh lows as Yen strengthens – MUFG
USD/JPY fell to 154.35 as the Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens amid growing expectations for a Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike this month.
USDJPY
Banks
BOJ
Technical Analysis
USD/CAD trades heavy ahead of Canada’s labor data – BBH
USD/CAD trades heavy ahead of Canada’s labor data – BBH
USD/CAD is under pressure near 1.3940 as markets await Canada’s November labor force survey, with modest job losses expected. The Bank of Canada (BOC) is likely done cutting rates, while upcoming USMCA talks remain a potential downside risk for the Canadian economy, BBH FX analysts report.
USDCAD
Banks
BOC
Canada
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD rises to near $4,230, remains broadly confined above 20-day EMA
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD rises to near $4,230, remains broadly confined above 20-day EMA
Gold price (XAU/USD) gains 0.4% to near $4,230 during the European trading session on Friday. The yellow metal trades firmly, but is confided in a tight range between $4,164 and $4,265 for the last four trading days.
Gold
XAUUSD
Fed
InterestRate
Employment
Broker Rebates