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USDCHF rotates lower and tests the 100 hour MA. The level will now be a key barometer
USDCHF rotates lower and tests the 100 hour MA. The level will now be a key barometer
The 100-hour MA in the USDCHF is being tested at 0.7963. Staying above keeps the buyers in play. Move below would give sellers more control in the pair.
The USDCAD found support buyers near swing area and 100 bar MA with a modest bounce
The USDCAD found support buyers near swing area and 100 bar MA with a modest bounce
The buyers and sellers in the USDCAD are battling it out with swing area between 1.38917 and 1.3804 holding resistance this week. On the downside, buyers entered against the 100 bar moving average on the 4 hour chart at 1.38176
Gold steadies below record highs as Fed rate cut expectations solidify
Gold steadies below record highs as Fed rate cut expectations solidify
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading with a positive tone on Friday, consolidating near $3,650 mark after rebounding from Thursday’s pullback. The precious metal remains stuck in a narrow range after notching an all-time high near $3,675 earlier this week.
Gold
SEO
XAUUSD
Technical Analysis
Fed
The USD is higher to start the US trading session.What are the technicals telling traders?
The USD is higher to start the US trading session.What are the technicals telling traders?
The preliminary Michigan consumer sentiment data will be released at 10 AM, with expectations of 58.0 versus 58.2 last
EUR is unchanged on the daily chart – Scotiabank
EUR is unchanged on the daily chart – Scotiabank
The Euro (EUR) is flat, trading unchanged from Thursday’s close with overnight releases limited to as expected, final CPI figures from Germany and France.
EURUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
ECB
USD/CNH: Likely to trade in a range between 7.1080 and 7.1240 – UOB Group
USD/CNH: Likely to trade in a range between 7.1080 and 7.1240 – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range between 7.1080 and 7.1240. In the longer run, room for USD to drop below 7.1100; any decline is likely to be slow, and 7.1000 may not come into view so soon, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Banks
Technical Analysis
USDCNH
USD/JPY: A narrower range of 146.20/148.50 may be enough to contain the price – UOB Group
USD/JPY: A narrower range of 146.20/148.50 may be enough to contain the price – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range of 146.75/147.65. In the longer run, a narrower range of 146.20/148.50 is likely enough to contain the price movements for now, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USDJPY
Technical Analysis
Banks
US Dollar Index (DXY) recovery loses steam at 97.80
US Dollar Index (DXY) recovery loses steam at 97.80
The US Dollar bounced up from lows earlier on Friday, but upside attempts remain limited below the 98.00 level so far, which keeps price action trapped within the previous day’s range, and maintains the broader bearish trend intact. 
DollarIndex
Currencies
Technical Analysis
NZD/USD: Unlikely to be able to break above 0.5990 – UOB Group
NZD/USD: Unlikely to be able to break above 0.5990 – UOB Group
There is room for New Zealand Dollar (NZD) to rise further, but it is unlikely to be able to break above 0.5990 today. In the longer run, NZD could break above 0.5990; the scope for further advance may be limited, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
NZDUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
USD/JPY steady in tight range – BBH
USD/JPY steady in tight range – BBH
USD/JPY trades mid-range after the US Treasury and Japan’s Finance Ministry reaffirmed that exchange rates should be market determined. The rare joint statement, the first since 2022 to mention FX, underscored opposition to competitive devaluations, BBH FX analysts report.
USDJPY
Banks
Technical Analysis
AUD/USD: Likely to strengthen further but is unlikely to reach 0.6700 – UOB Group
AUD/USD: Likely to strengthen further but is unlikely to reach 0.6700 – UOB Group
Australian Dollar (AUD) is likely to strengthen further but is unlikely to reach 0.6700. In the longer run, the price action continues to suggest a higher AUD; the next level to watch is 0.6700, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
AUDUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
EUR/USD holds post-ECB gains – BBH
EUR/USD holds post-ECB gains – BBH
EUR/USD is holding on to most of its post-ECB meeting gains. The ECB left the policy rate steady at 2.00% for a third consecutive meeting (widely expected) and signaled the easing cycle is over. The decision to stand pat was unanimous, BBH FX analysts report.
EURUSD
Banks
ECB
Technical Analysis
GBP/USD: Set to test and possibly break above 1.3595 – UOB Group
GBP/USD: Set to test and possibly break above 1.3595 – UOB Group
Pound Sterling (GBP) could test and possibly break above 1.3595, but it is unlikely to be able to maintain a foothold above this level.
GBPUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
EUR/USD has scope to test 1.1760 – UOB Group
EUR/USD has scope to test 1.1760 – UOB Group
Strong rebound in Euro (EUR) has scope to test 1.1760; the major resistance at 1.1790 is not expected to come under threat. In the longer run, EUR could rise but any advance is likely part of a higher range of 1.1650/1.1790, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Technical Analysis
EURUSD
Banks
USD: Three cuts validated – ING
USD: Three cuts validated – ING
Thursday’s US CPI report showed slightly hotter than expected headline inflation (0.4% MoM), while the more closely monitored core rate rose by 0.3% MoM in line with consensus. What matters the most is the limited tariff impact, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
DollarIndex
Banks
Technical Analysis
Fed
EUR: Lagarde doubles down on 'good place' – ING
EUR: Lagarde doubles down on 'good place' – ING
Thursday's ECB meeting proved more eventful than we had anticipated, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
Banks
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
JPY: Statement with the US emphasises renunciation of FX manipulation – Commerzbank
JPY: Statement with the US emphasises renunciation of FX manipulation – Commerzbank
The US Treasury Secretary and his Japanese counterpart have issued a joint statement reaffirming their commitment to refrain from 'manipulating FX to gain a competitive advantage', Commerzbank's FX analyst Michael Pfister notes.
USDJPY
Banks
Japan
BOJ
Technical Analysis
The ECB is feeling good – Commerzbank
The ECB is feeling good – Commerzbank
This song came to mind yesterday as I listened to ECB President Christine Lagarde during her press conference. The general impression was that the president and her colleagues on the ECB Governing Council are currently very comfortable with the current key interest rate level.
Banks
ECB
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
WTI Price Forecast: Slides closer to mid-$61.00s, eyes multi-month low amid bearish setup
WTI Price Forecast: Slides closer to mid-$61.00s, eyes multi-month low amid bearish setup
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Crude Oil prices attract some follow-through selling for the second straight day and drop to a fresh weekly low, closer to mid-$61.00s during the Asian session on Friday.
Oil
Commodities
Technical Analysis
WTI
AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Keeps bullish vibe above 98.00, overbought RSI warrants caution for bulls
AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Keeps bullish vibe above 98.00, overbought RSI warrants caution for bulls
The AUD/JPY cross trades in positive territory for the third consecutive day around 98.20 during the early European session on Friday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) softens against the Australian Dollar (AUD) on political uncertainty in Japan.
AUDJPY
Technical Analysis
Crosses
Bullish
GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Bulls flirt with 200.00 mark ahead of UK macro data
GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Bulls flirt with 200.00 mark ahead of UK macro data
The GBP/JPY cross attracts buyers for the third consecutive day, with bulls making a fresh attempt to build on the positive move beyond the 200.00 psychological mark during the Asian session on Friday.
GBPJPY
EconomicIndicator
BOJ
Technical Analysis
Currencies
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD taps $42.00 for the first time since September 2011
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD taps $42.00 for the first time since September 2011
Silver (XAG/USD) rallies to a fresh high since September 2011 during the Asian session on Friday, with bulls looking to build on the momentum beyond the $42.00 round figure.
Silver
Commodities
Technical Analysis
XAGUSD
PBOC sets USD/ CNY central rate at 7.1019 (vs. estimate at 7.1081)
PBOC sets USD/ CNY central rate at 7.1019 (vs. estimate at 7.1081)
PBOC CNY reference rate setting for the trading session ahead.
CNY
CNH
pboc
US jobs stall, payrolls revised lower; inflation sticky, Fed eyes cautious rate cut
US jobs stall, payrolls revised lower; inflation sticky, Fed eyes cautious rate cut
Soft US jobs and sticky inflation cloud Fed easing hopes. To temper equity momentum?
EUR/USD recovers 1.1700 as US CPI and jobless claims weigh on US Dollar
EUR/USD recovers 1.1700 as US CPI and jobless claims weigh on US Dollar
EUR/USD advances during the North American session after the European Central Bank decided to hold rates unchanged, while the Greenback weakened after the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report was aligned with estimates. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.1733 up by 0.34%.
Fundamental Analysis
Technical Analysis
EURUSD
Majors
SEO
Rabobank sees AUD/USD dipping to 0.65 before rallying to 0.89 in 12 months
Rabobank sees AUD/USD dipping to 0.65 before rallying to 0.89 in 12 months
Rabobank expects three RBA cuts, Fed projected to lower rates by a total of 125 bps
Record levels for the Dow, NASDAQ and the S&P index
Record levels for the Dow, NASDAQ and the S&P index
All-time highs for the major indices led by the Dow industrial average with a gain of 1.37%
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