The 100-hour MA in the USDCHF is being tested at 0.7963. Staying above keeps the buyers in play. Move below would give sellers more control in the pair.
The buyers and sellers in the USDCAD are battling it out with swing area between 1.38917 and 1.3804 holding resistance this week. On the downside, buyers entered against the 100 bar moving average on the 4 hour chart at 1.38176
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading with a positive tone on Friday, consolidating near $3,650 mark after rebounding from Thursday’s pullback. The precious metal remains stuck in a narrow range after notching an all-time high near $3,675 earlier this week.
The Euro (EUR) is flat, trading unchanged from Thursday’s close with overnight releases limited to as expected, final CPI figures from Germany and France.
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range between 7.1080 and 7.1240. In the longer run, room for USD to drop below 7.1100; any decline is likely to be slow, and 7.1000 may not come into view so soon, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range of 146.75/147.65. In the longer run, a narrower range of 146.20/148.50 is likely enough to contain the price movements for now, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The US Dollar bounced up from lows earlier on Friday, but upside attempts remain limited below the 98.00 level so far, which keeps price action trapped within the previous day’s range, and maintains the broader bearish trend intact.
There is room for New Zealand Dollar (NZD) to rise further, but it is unlikely to be able to break above 0.5990 today. In the longer run, NZD could break above 0.5990; the scope for further advance may be limited, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USD/JPY trades mid-range after the US Treasury and Japan’s Finance Ministry reaffirmed that exchange rates should be market determined. The rare joint statement, the first since 2022 to mention FX, underscored opposition to competitive devaluations, BBH FX analysts report.
Australian Dollar (AUD) is likely to strengthen further but is unlikely to reach 0.6700. In the longer run, the price action continues to suggest a higher AUD; the next level to watch is 0.6700, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
EUR/USD is holding on to most of its post-ECB meeting gains. The ECB left the policy rate steady at 2.00% for a third consecutive meeting (widely expected) and signaled the easing cycle is over. The decision to stand pat was unanimous, BBH FX analysts report.
Strong rebound in Euro (EUR) has scope to test 1.1760; the major resistance at 1.1790 is not expected to come under threat. In the longer run, EUR could rise but any advance is likely part of a higher range of 1.1650/1.1790, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Thursday’s US CPI report showed slightly hotter than expected headline inflation (0.4% MoM), while the more closely monitored core rate rose by 0.3% MoM in line with consensus. What matters the most is the limited tariff impact, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
The US Treasury Secretary and his Japanese counterpart have issued a joint statement reaffirming their commitment to refrain from 'manipulating FX to gain a competitive advantage', Commerzbank's FX analyst Michael Pfister notes.
This song came to mind yesterday as I listened to ECB President Christine Lagarde during her press conference. The general impression was that the president and her colleagues on the ECB Governing Council are currently very comfortable with the current key interest rate level.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Crude Oil prices attract some follow-through selling for the second straight day and drop to a fresh weekly low, closer to mid-$61.00s during the Asian session on Friday.
The AUD/JPY cross trades in positive territory for the third consecutive day around 98.20 during the early European session on Friday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) softens against the Australian Dollar (AUD) on political uncertainty in Japan.
The GBP/JPY cross attracts buyers for the third consecutive day, with bulls making a fresh attempt to build on the positive move beyond the 200.00 psychological mark during the Asian session on Friday.
Silver (XAG/USD) rallies to a fresh high since September 2011 during the Asian session on Friday, with bulls looking to build on the momentum beyond the $42.00 round figure.
EUR/USD advances during the North American session after the European Central Bank decided to hold rates unchanged, while the Greenback weakened after the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report was aligned with estimates. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.1733 up by 0.34%.
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