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EUR/CHF Price Forecast: consolidates near 0.9330, downside bias intact below key resistance
EUR/CHF Price Forecast: consolidates near 0.9330, downside bias intact below key resistance
EUR/CHF is trading sideways on Friday, hovering near 0.9332 after a choppy week marked by the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) monetary policy announcement.
EURCHF
Crosses
Technical Analysis
SNB
The USD is little changed after the run higher last week. Market awaits key PCE data
The USD is little changed after the run higher last week. Market awaits key PCE data
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The USD is little changed after the run higher last week. Market awaits key PCE data
What are the key technical levels driving the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD in trading today
GBP is outperforming on crosses as BoE repricing shifts with Fed – Scotiabank
GBP is outperforming on crosses as BoE repricing shifts with Fed – Scotiabank
The Pound Sterling (GBP) is trading flat against the US Dollar (USD) and outperforming all of the G10 currencies on the crosses, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
Banks
GBPUSD
BOE
Technical Analysis
Fed
EUR/USD: Spread correlations reveal relative CB policy dominance – Scotiabank
EUR/USD: Spread correlations reveal relative CB policy dominance – Scotiabank
The Euro (EUR) is attempting to stabilize in the mid/upper-1.16s following US data-driven losses on Wednesday and Thursday, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
EURUSD
Banks
ECB
Technical Analysis
Gold stalls below record highs as softer Dollar and tariff concerns lend support
Gold stalls below record highs as softer Dollar and tariff concerns lend support
Gold (XAU/USD) extends gains on Friday, pushing past the recent $3,760-$3,720 range, as the US Dollar (USD) eases after the latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation report showed no fresh upside surprises.
XAUUSD
Technical Analysis
Gold
SEO
Inflation
AUD/USD: Chance to test the major support at 0.6500 – UOB Group
AUD/USD: Chance to test the major support at 0.6500 – UOB Group
Australian Dollar (AUD) could test the major support at 0.6500; a sustained drop below this level appears unlikely. In the longer run, the price action continues to suggest AUD weakness, likely toward 0.6500, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
AUDUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
USD: PCE can halt hawkish repricing – ING
USD: PCE can halt hawkish repricing – ING
There weren’t see evidence that the dollar rebound was driven by geopolitics, and it appeared more like US Dollar (USD) bears were setting a higher bar to justify the expensive dollar selling.
DollarIndex
Banks
Technical Analysis
Fed
GBP/USD might not reach 1.3260 today – UOB Group
GBP/USD might not reach 1.3260 today – UOB Group
Pound Sterling (GBP) could decline further, but it might not reach 1.3260 today. In the longer run, GBP is expected to continue to decline; the next level to watch is 1.3260, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
GBPUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
EUR/USD: Major support at 1.1610 is likely out of reach for now – UOB Group
EUR/USD: Major support at 1.1610 is likely out of reach for now – UOB Group
There is a chance for Euro (EUR) to continue to decline, but the major support at 1.1610 is likely out of reach for now.
Technical Analysis
EURUSD
Banks
JPY: Inflation cooldown not helping – ING
JPY: Inflation cooldown not helping – ING
The yen has been one of the biggest losers this week due to its sensitivity to any hawkish repricing in the US Dollar (USD) curve, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
USDJPY
Banks
Japan
Technical Analysis
BOJ
USD: US consumers can still be relied upon – Commerzbank
USD: US consumers can still be relied upon – Commerzbank
The third estimate of US growth is usually not met with quite as much excitement in the market. This estimate covers a period that is already in the past, and two previous estimates have already provided an indication of growth.
DollarIndex
Banks
Technical Analysis
Fed
UnitedStates
EUR: Room to recover, barring geopolitical risks – ING
EUR: Room to recover, barring geopolitical risks – ING
The short-term fair value for EUR/USD is at 1.180 after the moves in rate differentials this week, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
EURUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
Moderate dollar selling the signal for this month-end - Credit Agricole
Moderate dollar selling the signal for this month-end - Credit Agricole
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Moderate dollar selling the signal for this month-end - Credit Agricole
The firm also notes that the pound might face selling pressures as well
Forex
GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Key resistance remains at the 200.35-200.50 area
GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Key resistance remains at the 200.35-200.50 area
The British Pound is trimming Thursday’s losses on Friday, favoured by generalised Japanese Yen weakness, following relatively soft inflation figures in the Tokyo area.
GBPJPY
Currencies
Technical Analysis
Crosses
AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Keep bullish vibe above 97.50 on RBA caution
AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Keep bullish vibe above 97.50 on RBA caution
The AUD/JPY cross trades in negative territory around 97.85 during the European trading hours on Friday.
AUDJPY
Technical Analysis
Crosses
Bullish
Gold shows impressive resilience despite major headwinds: what are the risks ahead?
Gold shows impressive resilience despite major headwinds: what are the risks ahead?
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Gold shows impressive resilience despite major headwinds: what are the risks ahead?
Despite strong US data, higher yields and surging US dollar, gold managed to close the day with gains yesterday. What's next for the precious metal?
Gold
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Could target ascending channel’s upper boundary near 99.00
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Could target ascending channel’s upper boundary near 99.00
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is holding losses after two days of gains and trading around 98.40 during the Asian hours on Friday.
Technical Analysis
Majors
DollarIndex
Eurostoxx futures +0.3% in early European trading
Eurostoxx futures +0.3% in early European trading
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Eurostoxx futures +0.3% in early European trading
A slight bounce back slated for the open later
Stocks
FX option expiries for 26 September 10am New York cut
FX option expiries for 26 September 10am New York cut
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FX option expiries for 26 September 10am New York cut
A look at what is on the board for today
Options
Forex
Dollar flows set to lean more neutral this month-end - BofA
Dollar flows set to lean more neutral this month-end - BofA
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Dollar flows set to lean more neutral this month-end - BofA
The firm's preliminary month-end rebalancing model suggests bids into the euro, yen, and pound
Forex
Japan's govt revises July real wages to 0.2% decline (vs preliminary 0.5% increase)
Japan's govt revises July real wages to 0.2% decline (vs preliminary 0.5% increase)
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Japan's govt revises July real wages to 0.2% decline (vs preliminary 0.5% increase)
The Bank of Japan is leaning on rising wages as a reason to hike rates. Whoops.
BOJ
JPY
PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.1152 (vs. estimate at 7.1439)
PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.1152 (vs. estimate at 7.1439)
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PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.1152 (vs. estimate at 7.1439)
PBOC CNY reference rate setting for the trading session ahead.
CNY
CNH
pboc
PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1439 – Reuters estimate
PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1439 – Reuters estimate
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PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1439 – Reuters estimate
PBOC CNY reference rate setting for the trading session ahead.
CNY
CNH
pboc
RBA to hold rates at 3.60% next week, November cut hinges on Q3 CPI – Reuters poll
RBA to hold rates at 3.60% next week, November cut hinges on Q3 CPI – Reuters poll
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RBA to hold rates at 3.60% next week, November cut hinges on Q3 CPI – Reuters poll
Sticky inflation and a still-firm labour market may delay easing, though Q3 CPI will be key for November.
Citadel's Ken Griffin sees just one more Fed cut in 2025 as labor market weakens
Citadel's Ken Griffin sees just one more Fed cut in 2025 as labor market weakens
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Citadel's Ken Griffin sees just one more Fed cut in 2025 as labor market weakens
Ken Griffin expects one, but possibly two, more Fed cuts in 2025 as policymakers shift focus to a cooling labor market. He cited rising unemployment and slower job creation as concerns, while also stressing the importance of Fed independence.
GBP/USD sinks below 1.3400 on strong US data, focus shifts to PCE
GBP/USD sinks below 1.3400 on strong US data, focus shifts to PCE
The GBP/USD ended Thursday’s session with losses of over 0.78%, seeming poised to test lower prices as a scarce economic docket in the UK would leave traders adrift to dynamics linked to the US Dollar.
GBPUSD
Majors
Currencies
Technical Analysis
Inflation
EUR/USD dives as strong US data fuels Dollar rally
EUR/USD dives as strong US data fuels Dollar rally
EUR/USD tumbled sharply below 1.1700 on Thursday, extending its losses below two technical support levels, which opens the door for further downside. Strong jobs market data from the United States (US) pushed the Euro lower. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.1667 down 0.60%.
EURUSD
Majors
Fundamental Analysis
Technical Analysis
SEO
The Fed prefers PCE as its inflation gauge. CPI drives markets, but PCE drives Fed policy.
The Fed prefers PCE as its inflation gauge. CPI drives markets, but PCE drives Fed policy.
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The Fed prefers PCE as its inflation gauge. CPI drives markets, but PCE drives Fed policy.
The Fed prefers PCE as its inflation gauge because it adjusts weights more frequently and better reflects consumer behavior, but markets still trade mainly off CPI due to its earlier release and entrenched habit.
ICYMI - NAB pushes back Reserve Bank of Australia cut call as CPI surprises higher
ICYMI - NAB pushes back Reserve Bank of Australia cut call as CPI surprises higher
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ICYMI - NAB pushes back Reserve Bank of Australia cut call as CPI surprises higher
NAB now expects the RBA to hold rates at 3.6% until May, 2026, citing hotter-than-expected CPI data this week.
RBA
AUD
Intel seeks TSMC lifeline to bolster comeback plans
Intel seeks TSMC lifeline to bolster comeback plans
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Intel seeks TSMC lifeline to bolster comeback plans
Intel is leaning on TSMC and others for support in a U.S.-backed bid to revive its fortunes.
Mexican central bank cuts rates by 25 bps, as expected
Mexican central bank cuts rates by 25 bps, as expected
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Mexican central bank cuts rates by 25 bps, as expected
Banxico with a 25 bps cut to 7.50%
economic calendar
NZDUSD technicals: The NZDUSD trades at lowest level since April
NZDUSD technicals: The NZDUSD trades at lowest level since April
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NZDUSD technicals: The NZDUSD trades at lowest level since April
Stocks fall, leading to risk-off sentiment. NZDUSD down -0.93%
Gold pares gains as strong US data offsets Fed cut narrative
Gold pares gains as strong US data offsets Fed cut narrative
Gold price trimmed earlier gains after reaching a daily high of $3,761 on Thursday, following the release of a US jobs report that showed signs of strength, contrary to the main reason for cutting rates last week. Also, traders are eyeing the release of inflation data on Friday.
Gold
XAUUSD
Technical Analysis
Fundamental Analysis
SEO
The S&P 500 nears the post-FOMC low
The S&P 500 nears the post-FOMC low
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The S&P 500 nears the post-FOMC low
The S&P 500 down 0.9%
Fed's Logan suggests shifts away from targeting Fed funds rate
Fed's Logan suggests shifts away from targeting Fed funds rate
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Fed's Logan suggests shifts away from targeting Fed funds rate
Logan says they should target the Fed repo rate
GBPUSD technicals: GBPUSD moves to a new low and looks to test a key target at 1.33309.
GBPUSD technicals: GBPUSD moves to a new low and looks to test a key target at 1.33309.
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GBPUSD technicals: GBPUSD moves to a new low and looks to test a key target at 1.33309.
A move below the level would have traders probing more to the downside as sellers in the GBPUSD take back control.
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