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Shutdown? M'eh. UBS says the Federal Reserve will cut in October anyway.
Shutdown? M'eh. UBS says the Federal Reserve will cut in October anyway.
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Shutdown? M'eh. UBS says the Federal Reserve will cut in October anyway.
UBS said a U.S. government shutdown would block the release of key economic data, but expects the Fed to press ahead with a 25bp cut in October, relying on private surveys and its own data to guide policy.
EUR/USD edges higher as US shutdown fears weigh on the Dollar
EUR/USD edges higher as US shutdown fears weigh on the Dollar
EUR/USD registers gains of over 0.20% on Monday amid worries of a possible government shutdown in the US, while data in the Eurozone, showed that sentiment improved but failed to propel the shared currency higher. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.1726 after hitting a daily low of 1.1701.
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
Fundamental Analysis
Majors
SEO
Saturday is the (time) line in the sand for the yen - Koizumi PM win could lift JPY
Saturday is the (time) line in the sand for the yen - Koizumi PM win could lift JPY
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Saturday is the (time) line in the sand for the yen - Koizumi PM win could lift JPY
MUFG says a Koizumi win in Japan’s LDP leadership race could lift the yen, with reduced political uncertainty paving the way for a BOJ rate hike in October. Rival Sanae Takaichi, aligned with “Abenomics,” favours looser policy.
BOJ
JPY
RBA hold, preview. TD Securities: RBA unlikely to signal cuts as labour market stays firm.
RBA hold, preview. TD Securities: RBA unlikely to signal cuts as labour market stays firm.
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RBA hold, preview. TD Securities: RBA unlikely to signal cuts as labour market stays firm.
TD Securities says RBA testimony points to no urgency for rate cuts, with domestic data firming, the job market still near full employment, and signs of an economic upturn. Cuts this year look harder to justify unless labour conditions deteriorate.
Goldman Sachs: Jobs data could decide equity-bond market split
Goldman Sachs: Jobs data could decide equity-bond market split
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Goldman Sachs: Jobs data could decide equity-bond market split
Goldman Sachs says equities are pricing in a soft landing with fiscal-driven growth into 2026, while bonds are bracing for labour-market weakness. The split puts extra weight on the jobs report and other key data releases.
RBA today - preview: Westpac tips cash rate hold, still sees November cut as base case.
RBA today - preview: Westpac tips cash rate hold, still sees November cut as base case.
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RBA today - preview: Westpac tips cash rate hold, still sees November cut as base case.
Westpac sees the RBA holding rates at 3.6% in September, with an August inflation surprise set to temper its messaging. The bank still expects cuts in November, February and May, though it warns easing may be slower or smaller if labour-market softening offsets inflation risks.
Economic calendar in Asia Tuesday, September 30, 2025  - RBA, BOJ, China PMIs
Economic calendar in Asia Tuesday, September 30, 2025  - RBA, BOJ, China PMIs
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Economic calendar in Asia Tuesday, September 30, 2025 - RBA, BOJ, China PMIs
It's a packed agenda of events during the Asian time zone today
BOJ
RBA
economic calendar
Stocks close higher with modest gains.
Stocks close higher with modest gains.
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Stocks close higher with modest gains.
The Nasdaq led the way with a gain of 0.47%
Stocks
What has changed with China's stock market
What has changed with China's stock market
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What has changed with China's stock market
Is China about to try a different form of capitalism
China Stock Market
USDCAD bounces off support target.  Can the buyers restart the buying?
USDCAD bounces off support target.  Can the buyers restart the buying?
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USDCAD bounces off support target. Can the buyers restart the buying?
The 100 hour moving average and high of a swing area near 1.3904 stalls the fall for the USDCAD on the first look
CAD
USD
Gold surges near $3,830 as US government shutdown fears spurs haven demand
Gold surges near $3,830 as US government shutdown fears spurs haven demand
Gold price advances close to 2% on Monday and trades near record highs of $3,833 as market participants seeking safety bought the yellow metal amid fears of a government shutdown in the United States. XAU/USD trades at $3,827 at the time of writing.
Gold
XAUUSD
Fundamental Analysis
Technical Analysis
SEO
USDJPY Technicals: The USDJPY remains between two moving averages
USDJPY Technicals: The USDJPY remains between two moving averages
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USDJPY Technicals: The USDJPY remains between two moving averages
The 200-day MA is support on the downside, and the 100-hour MA is resistance on the topside for USDJPY traders.
JPY
USD
GBP/USD rises as Fed rate cut bets grow, US shutdown risks loom
GBP/USD rises as Fed rate cut bets grow, US shutdown risks loom
The GBP/USD pair advances on Monday as the US Dollar (USD) trims some of last week’s gains as a busy economic docket in the US approaches. The pair trades at 1.3430, up 0.24%.
GBPUSD
Majors
Fundamental Analysis
Technical Analysis
Currencies
Gold trades to new all-time highs
Gold trades to new all-time highs
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Gold trades to new all-time highs
Price of gold extends to $3832.79. The $4000 level is getting closer.
Gold
Crude oil trading to new lows for the day back below 200 hour moving average at $63.83
Crude oil trading to new lows for the day back below 200 hour moving average at $63.83
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Crude oil trading to new lows for the day back below 200 hour moving average at $63.83
The run to the upside last week took the price up to $66.42.
EURUSD Technicals: Price extends above 100-hour MA but falls short of 200-hour MA
EURUSD Technicals: Price extends above 100-hour MA but falls short of 200-hour MA
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EURUSD Technicals: Price extends above 100-hour MA but falls short of 200-hour MA
Buyers and sellers in the EURUSD battle it out between the two key MAs
EUR
USD
USDCAD technicals: USDCAD has defined the close support and resistance to start the week.
USDCAD technicals: USDCAD has defined the close support and resistance to start the week.
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USDCAD technicals: USDCAD has defined the close support and resistance to start the week.
The swing area and 100-hour MA near 1.3900 is support. The 200-day MA at 1.3970 is resistance. Trader will be leaning against the levels and looking for the break.
CAD
USD
AUDUSD technicals:AUDUSD continues run higher started on Friday, but finds target selling
AUDUSD technicals:AUDUSD continues run higher started on Friday, but finds target selling
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AUDUSD technicals:AUDUSD continues run higher started on Friday, but finds target selling
The AUDUSD found willing sellers against the 100 hour MA at 0.65725
WTI Price Forecast: Sellers hold control below 200-day SMA, downside bias intact
WTI Price Forecast: Sellers hold control below 200-day SMA, downside bias intact
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil kicks off the week on a softer footing, resuming its downside correction after peaking at a seven-week high on Friday. At the time of writing, WTI trades near $63.75 per barrel, down nearly 2.0% on the day.
WTI
Oil
Technical Analysis
Video game maker Electronic Arts to be taken private at $210 per share
Video game maker Electronic Arts to be taken private at $210 per share
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Video game maker Electronic Arts to be taken private at $210 per share
A report of a deal trickled out Friday afternoon
Stocks
Gold rallies to record highs above $3,800 as US shutdown fears grow
Gold rallies to record highs above $3,800 as US shutdown fears grow
Gold (XAU/USD) shines bright at the start of the new week, climbing past $3,800 for the first time. The yellow metal continues its historic run, printing yet another all-time high near $3,833 on Monday.
Gold
SEO
Technical Analysis
The USD starts the US session lower with the USDJPY leading the charge
The USD starts the US session lower with the USDJPY leading the charge
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The USD starts the US session lower with the USDJPY leading the charge
What are the technical chart telling traders for the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD? I will go through what levels are in play and why as the new trading week begins for US traders.
USD/CNH: Above 7.1500, the next level to watch is 7.1600 – UOB Group
USD/CNH: Above 7.1500, the next level to watch is 7.1600 – UOB Group
Upward momentum continues to increase; if US Dollar (USD) breaks above 7.1500, the next level to watch is 7.1600, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Banks
Technical Analysis
USDCNH
EUR is seeing marginal gains – Scotiabank
EUR is seeing marginal gains – Scotiabank
The Euro (EUR) is entering Monday’s NA session with a marginal 0.1% gain as it attempts to extend its modest recovery from last week’s lows, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
EURUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
ECB
USD/JPY: Odds of reaching 150.90 – UOB Group
USD/JPY: Odds of reaching 150.90 – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) could rise further to 150.15, with lesser odds of reaching 150.90, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USDJPY
Technical Analysis
Banks
NZD/USD appears to have entered a consolidation phase between 0.5760 and 0.5790 – UOB Group
NZD/USD appears to have entered a consolidation phase between 0.5760 and 0.5790 – UOB Group
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) appears to have entered a consolidation phase between 0.5760 and 0.5790. In the longer run, the outlook for NZD remains negative; the next level to watch is 0.5730, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
NZDUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
AUD/USD has room to test 0.6565 – UOB Group
AUD/USD has room to test 0.6565 – UOB Group
Recovery in Australian Dollar (AUD) has room to test 0.6565; a continued rise above this level is unlikely. In the longer run, the price action continues to suggest AUD weakness, likely toward 0.6500, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
AUDUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
EUR/GBP Price Forecasts: Showing signs of topping at 0.8750
EUR/GBP Price Forecasts: Showing signs of topping at 0.8750
The Euro is trading with marginal losses for the second consecutive day on Monday.
EURGBP
Technical Analysis
Crosses
Currencies
Goldman Sachs stays bullish on stocks going into year-end
Goldman Sachs stays bullish on stocks going into year-end
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Goldman Sachs stays bullish on stocks going into year-end
The firm turns overweight on global equities from neutral over the 3-month horizon
GBP/USD: Likely to trade in a range between 1.3375 and 1.3430 – UOB Group
GBP/USD: Likely to trade in a range between 1.3375 and 1.3430 – UOB Group
Pound Sterling (GBP) is likely to trade in a range between 1.3375 and 1.3430. In the longer run, downward momentum is starting to slow, but only a breach of 1.3445 would indicate that the weakness in GBP has stabilised, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
GBPUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
Australian central bank likely to wait and see tomorrow – Commerzbank
Australian central bank likely to wait and see tomorrow – Commerzbank
Tomorrow morning, the Australian central bank will hold its regular meeting, bringing this nerve-wracking month of nine G10 central bank meetings to a close.
Banks
AUDUSD
RBA
Australia
Technical Analysis
GBP: Focus on the UK Labour Party conference – ING
GBP: Focus on the UK Labour Party conference – ING
Pound Sterling (GBP) has been underperforming since around the middle of September, with plenty of focus on whether the UK is 'going bust' or will require an IMF bail-out – neither of which is likely, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
GBPUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
BOE
EUR: Spain leads the way – ING
EUR: Spain leads the way – ING
While Germany continues its soul-searching on the future path for growth and France remains mired in budget uncertainty, Spain is doing very well, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
EURUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
USD: A follow-up to performance since Trump's election – Commerzbank
USD: A follow-up to performance since Trump's election – Commerzbank
In the months leading up to and following the November 2024 election, the USD performed similarly to how it did in 2016/17, i.e. before and after Donald Trump's first election as US President.
DollarIndex
Banks
Technical Analysis
US Elections
Fed
Broker Rebates