Japan’s services producer prices rose 3.0% in September, up from 2.7% in August, according to BOJ data. The steady rise, led by labour-intensive sectors, supports the central bank’s view that higher wages will sustain inflation near 2%. The BOJ is expected to hold its policy rate at 0.5% at this week’s meeting.
Escrivá’s comments reinforce market expectations that the European Central Bank will remain on hold through year-end, with inflation back at target and growth uneven across the bloc. The euro may stay range-bound as investors shift focus to early 2026 easing prospects.
The Australian regulator has filed a Federal Court case against Microsoft and its Australian unit, alleging they misled about 2.7 million customers over Microsoft 365 pricing and plan changes after integrating Copilot AI.
Next week focus lies on the US-China trade talks, rate decisions from the Fed, BoC, BoJ and ECB, while Australian CPI and Chinese PMIs will also be key.
USD/CHF remains subdued on Friday, yet the pair trades below 0.8000, poised to finish the week with modest gains of over 0.25%. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 0.7956, virtually unchanged.
Gold price erases earlier losses, rises over 0.10% on Friday following the release of the September inflation report in the US, which showed that prices climbed but would not deter the Federal Reserve (Fed) from cutting rates next week.
The run higher after the US CPI found willing sellers vs the 200 hour MA. The price is now trading at new lows. What is the risk? Where are the targets?
EUR/GBP advances during the North American session on Friday, even though Retail Sales in the UK exceeded estimates, but a softer inflation reading increased the odds for further easing by the Bank of England. The cross trades at 0.8744, up 0.74% and hitting a four-week high at the time of writing.
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade between 7.1220 and 7.1320. In the longer run, USD could drop to 7.1130; a clear break below this level will shift the focus to 7.1000, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Upward momentum is starting to build, but for a continued advance, US Dollar (USD) must first close above 153.00, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The New Zealand Dollar pares previous gains and retreats below 0.5740 on Friday, from Weekly highs around 0.5760, with market movement subdued as traders await the release of the US Consumer Price Index later today.The US Dollar is trading within recent ranges against its main peers amid uncertainty
A lot has happened in financial markets this week, just not in FX markets. EUR/USD started the week at around 1.165 and is not far from that level this morning.
AUD could edge higher to 0.6530; it does not appear to have sufficient momentum to reach 0.6555. In the longer run, for the time being, AUD is expected to trade in a sideways range of 0.6445/0.6555, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Pound Sterling (GBP) could test the 1.3295 level; a sustained drop below this level is unlikely. In the longe run, for a continued decline, GBP must first close below 1.3295, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
US Dollar (USD) continued to consolidate near recent high though price action was subdued. Focus today on US CPI (830pm SGT). DXY last at 99.05 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Today’s US CPI for September ends a long drought of hard data due to the shutdown. But we don’t expect it to generate a material pick-up in FX volatility. Our call for core CPI is 0.3% MoM and 3.2% YoY – very close to the consensus 0.3%/3.1%.
The Loonie came under some pressure overnight after Trump announced he’s ending all trade negotiations as retaliation for an Ontario-sponsored anti-tariff ad, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
Euro (EUR) is likely to trade in a range between 1.1590 and 1.1635. In the longer run, downward momentum is building; EUR is likely to trade with a downward bias, potentially retesting the 1.1540 level, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USD/CAD extends its gains for the second successive session, trading around 1.4010 during the European hours on Friday. The technical analysis of the daily chart suggests a potential for a bullish reversal as the pair rebounds from the lower boundary of the ascending channel pattern.
EUR/USD remains trading within previous ranges, unable to find acceptance above 1.1620, despite the upbeat German and Eurozone business activity figures released earlier on Friday.
The EUR/JPY cross trades in positive territory for the fourth consecutive day around 177.45 during the early European session on Friday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) softens against the Euro (EUR), even as core inflation in Japan accelerated in September for the first time since May.
While Japan's headline inflation accelerated to 2.9%, a slowdown in the BOJ's preferred underlying gauge and weak service prices make a near-term rate hike unlikely.
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