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Recap - Japan’s service inflation quickens, reinforcing BOJ’s confidence ahead of meeting
Recap - Japan’s service inflation quickens, reinforcing BOJ’s confidence ahead of meeting
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Recap - Japan’s service inflation quickens, reinforcing BOJ’s confidence ahead of meeting
Japan’s services producer prices rose 3.0% in September, up from 2.7% in August, according to BOJ data. The steady rise, led by labour-intensive sectors, supports the central bank’s view that higher wages will sustain inflation near 2%. The BOJ is expected to hold its policy rate at 0.5% at this week’s meeting.
PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1146 – Reuters modelled estimate
PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1146 – Reuters modelled estimate
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PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1146 – Reuters modelled estimate
PBOC CNY reference rate setting for the trading session ahead.
CNY
CNH
pboc
ECB’s Escrivá signals extended policy pause as inflation meets target and growth diverges.
ECB’s Escrivá signals extended policy pause as inflation meets target and growth diverges.
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ECB’s Escrivá signals extended policy pause as inflation meets target and growth diverges.
Escrivá’s comments reinforce market expectations that the European Central Bank will remain on hold through year-end, with inflation back at target and growth uneven across the bloc. The euro may stay range-bound as investors shift focus to early 2026 easing prospects.
ECB
EUR
Australia sues Microsoft, says Copilot rollout misled 2.7 million customers on pricing
Australia sues Microsoft, says Copilot rollout misled 2.7 million customers on pricing
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Australia sues Microsoft, says Copilot rollout misled 2.7 million customers on pricing
The Australian regulator has filed a Federal Court case against Microsoft and its Australian unit, alleging they misled about 2.7 million customers over Microsoft 365 pricing and plan changes after integrating Copilot AI.
SPX
Nasdaq
Preview - BOJ expected to hold rates as Takaichi’s fiscal tilt and U.S. risks weigh
Preview - BOJ expected to hold rates as Takaichi’s fiscal tilt and U.S. risks weigh
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Preview - BOJ expected to hold rates as Takaichi’s fiscal tilt and U.S. risks weigh
BOJ seen standing pat this week as Japan’s new leadership and U.S. slowdown cloud the policy path.
Newsquawk Week Ahead: US-China trade talks, FOMC, BoC, BoJ, ECB and Aussie CPI
Newsquawk Week Ahead: US-China trade talks, FOMC, BoC, BoJ, ECB and Aussie CPI
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Newsquawk Week Ahead: US-China trade talks, FOMC, BoC, BoJ, ECB and Aussie CPI
Next week focus lies on the US-China trade talks, rate decisions from the Fed, BoC, BoJ and ECB, while Australian CPI and Chinese PMIs will also be key.
BOC
BOJ
JPY
CNH
Fed
AUD
CAD
USD
USD/CHF Price Forecast: Stays range-bound below 0.8000
USD/CHF Price Forecast: Stays range-bound below 0.8000
USD/CHF remains subdued on Friday, yet the pair trades below 0.8000, poised to finish the week with modest gains of over 0.25%. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 0.7956, virtually unchanged.
Technical Analysis
USDCHF
Currencies
Majors
Stocks trading at new highs as buyers plow in ahead of key earnings next week
Stocks trading at new highs as buyers plow in ahead of key earnings next week
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Stocks trading at new highs as buyers plow in ahead of key earnings next week
Microsoft, Meta, Alphabet, Amazon, Apple are all expected to announce earnings next week
Stocks
Gold rebounds after softer US CPI data reinforces Fed cut bets
Gold rebounds after softer US CPI data reinforces Fed cut bets
Gold price erases earlier losses, rises over 0.10% on Friday following the release of the September inflation report in the US, which showed that prices climbed but would not deter the Federal Reserve (Fed) from cutting rates next week.
Gold
XAUUSD
Technical Analysis
Fundamental Analysis
SEO
EURUSD technicals: The EURUSD is trading between 100/200 hour MA going into the weekend
EURUSD technicals: The EURUSD is trading between 100/200 hour MA going into the weekend
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EURUSD technicals: The EURUSD is trading between 100/200 hour MA going into the weekend
The neutral area has between the 100 hour MA below at 1.1613 and the 200 hour MA at 1.16326 will give traders a clue on a break.
EUR
USD
GBPUSD Technicals: The GBPUSD falls to new lows after 200 hour MA capped the rally
GBPUSD Technicals: The GBPUSD falls to new lows after 200 hour MA capped the rally
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GBPUSD Technicals: The GBPUSD falls to new lows after 200 hour MA capped the rally
The run higher after the US CPI found willing sellers vs the 200 hour MA. The price is now trading at new lows. What is the risk? Where are the targets?
GBP
USD
EUR/GBP jumps to four-week high as BoE dovish bets offset strong UK data
EUR/GBP jumps to four-week high as BoE dovish bets offset strong UK data
EUR/GBP advances during the North American session on Friday, even though Retail Sales in the UK exceeded estimates, but a softer inflation reading increased the odds for further easing by the Bank of England. The cross trades at 0.8744, up 0.74% and hitting a four-week high at the time of writing.
EURGBP
Fundamental Analysis
Currencies
Technical Analysis
Crosses
USDCAD Technicals:Trade news and CPI send the USDCAD higher and lower.Price action settles
USDCAD Technicals:Trade news and CPI send the USDCAD higher and lower.Price action settles
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USDCAD Technicals:Trade news and CPI send the USDCAD higher and lower.Price action settles
Trump terminates trade negotiations with Canada sends the USDCAD higher, but US CPI slows the rise. The price settles between the 100/200 hour MA.
CAD
USD
US stocks jumped at the open as CPI is cooler than expectations
US stocks jumped at the open as CPI is cooler than expectations
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US stocks jumped at the open as CPI is cooler than expectations
Chips stocks higher with Intel up 6% after earnings beat. Major indices on pace for record closing levels.
Stocks
The USD is higher ahead of the CPI data at 8:30 AM ET. What are the technicals saying?
The USD is higher ahead of the CPI data at 8:30 AM ET. What are the technicals saying?
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The USD is higher ahead of the CPI data at 8:30 AM ET. What are the technicals saying?
What are the technicals that are driving the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD ahead of the release?
USD/CNH: Likely to trade between 7.1220 and 7.1320 – UOB Group
USD/CNH: Likely to trade between 7.1220 and 7.1320 – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade between 7.1220 and 7.1320. In the longer run, USD could drop to 7.1130; a clear break below this level will shift the focus to 7.1000, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Banks
Technical Analysis
USDCNH
USD/JPY must close above 153.00 to continue rising – UOB Group
USD/JPY must close above 153.00 to continue rising – UOB Group
Upward momentum is starting to build, but for a continued advance, US Dollar (USD) must first close above 153.00, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USDJPY
Technical Analysis
Banks
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Drifts below 0.5740 ahead of US CPI data release
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Drifts below 0.5740 ahead of US CPI data release
The New Zealand Dollar pares previous gains and retreats below 0.5740 on Friday, from Weekly highs around 0.5760, with market movement subdued as traders await the release of the US Consumer Price Index later today.The US Dollar is trading within recent ranges against its main peers amid uncertainty
NZDUSD
Technical Analysis
Majors
Currencies
How have interest rate expectations changed after this week's events?
How have interest rate expectations changed after this week's events?
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How have interest rate expectations changed after this week's events?
The most notable changes were seen on the BoE and BoC pricing. The US CPI can still bring some action.
market overview
EUR/USD movements seem unremarkable for now – Commerzbank
EUR/USD movements seem unremarkable for now – Commerzbank
A lot has happened in financial markets this week, just not in FX markets. EUR/USD started the week at around 1.165 and is not far from that level this morning.
Banks
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
NZD/USD is facing mild upward pressure – UOB Group
NZD/USD is facing mild upward pressure – UOB Group
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is facing mild upward pressure and may test 0.5770; a clear break above this level appears unlikely.
NZDUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
AUD/USD: Expected to trade in a sideways range – UOB Group
AUD/USD: Expected to trade in a sideways range – UOB Group
AUD could edge higher to 0.6530; it does not appear to have sufficient momentum to reach 0.6555. In the longer run, for the time being, AUD is expected to trade in a sideways range of 0.6445/0.6555, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
AUDUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
GBP/USD might test the 1.3295 level – UOB Group
GBP/USD might test the 1.3295 level – UOB Group
Pound Sterling (GBP) could test the 1.3295 level; a sustained drop below this level is unlikely. In the longe run, for a continued decline, GBP must first close below 1.3295, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Banks
Technical Analysis
GBPUSD
JPY: Stability in sight – Commerzbank
JPY: Stability in sight – Commerzbank
Inflation in Japan was again above the central bank's target in September, at 2.9% overall, for the 42nd consecutive month.
USDJPY
Japan
Banks
BOJ
Technical Analysis
DXY: Watching the delayed CPI report – OCBC
DXY: Watching the delayed CPI report – OCBC
US Dollar (USD) continued to consolidate near recent high though price action was subdued. Focus today on US CPI (830pm SGT). DXY last at 99.05 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
DollarIndex
Banks
Technical Analysis
USD: Long-awaited CPI may not tell us much – ING
USD: Long-awaited CPI may not tell us much – ING
Today’s US CPI for September ends a long drought of hard data due to the shutdown. But we don’t expect it to generate a material pick-up in FX volatility. Our call for core CPI is 0.3% MoM and 3.2% YoY – very close to the consensus 0.3%/3.1%.
Banks
DollarIndex
Technical Analysis
Fed
USD/JPY: Upside risks on the day – OCBC
USD/JPY: Upside risks on the day – OCBC
USD/JPY continued to trade higher. Pair was last at 152.93 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
USDJPY
Banks
Technical Analysis
CAD: Trump ends negotiations with Canada – ING
CAD: Trump ends negotiations with Canada – ING
The Loonie came under some pressure overnight after Trump announced he’s ending all trade negotiations as retaliation for an Ontario-sponsored anti-tariff ad, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
Banks
USDCAD
Technical Analysis
Canada
BOC
EUR/USD: Likely to trade in a range between 1.1590 and 1.16355 – UOB Group
EUR/USD: Likely to trade in a range between 1.1590 and 1.16355 – UOB Group
Euro (EUR) is likely to trade in a range between 1.1590 and 1.1635. In the longer run, downward momentum is building; EUR is likely to trade with a downward bias, potentially retesting the 1.1540 level, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Technical Analysis
EURUSD
Banks
Gold: Downward consolidation for the time being – OCBC
Gold: Downward consolidation for the time being – OCBC
Gold consolidated, following the steep decline. XAU/USD last seen at 4070 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Banks
Gold
XAUUSD
Technical Analysis
Metals
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Moves above 1.4000, nine-day EMA due to bullish reversal potential
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Moves above 1.4000, nine-day EMA due to bullish reversal potential
USD/CAD extends its gains for the second successive session, trading around 1.4010 during the European hours on Friday. The technical analysis of the daily chart suggests a potential for a bullish reversal as the pair rebounds from the lower boundary of the ascending channel pattern.
USDCAD
Majors
Technical Analysis
Canada
Bullish
European stocks open higher to kick start final day of the week
European stocks open higher to kick start final day of the week
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European stocks open higher to kick start final day of the week
A positive start but the risk mood hinges on the US CPI report later today
Stocks
EUR/USD wavers near weekly lows ahead of US inflation, PMI releases
EUR/USD wavers near weekly lows ahead of US inflation, PMI releases
EUR/USD remains trading within previous ranges, unable to find acceptance above 1.1620, despite the upbeat German and Eurozone business activity figures released earlier on Friday.
EURUSD
Majors
Technical Analysis
PMI
SEO
FX option expiries for 24 October 10am New York cut
FX option expiries for 24 October 10am New York cut
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FX option expiries for 24 October 10am New York cut
A look at what is on the board for today
Options
Forex
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Constructive view prevails near 177.50
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Constructive view prevails near 177.50
The EUR/JPY cross trades in positive territory for the fourth consecutive day around 177.45 during the early European session on Friday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) softens against the Euro (EUR), even as core inflation in Japan accelerated in September for the first time since May.
Crosses
EURJPY
Technical Analysis
Recap - Japan's core inflation rises to 2.9% but Bank of Japan expected to wait
Recap - Japan's core inflation rises to 2.9% but Bank of Japan expected to wait
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Recap - Japan's core inflation rises to 2.9% but Bank of Japan expected to wait
While Japan's headline inflation accelerated to 2.9%, a slowdown in the BOJ's preferred underlying gauge and weak service prices make a near-term rate hike unlikely.
BOJ
JPY
Is Intel Stock a Buy After Its Full 9.1% Earnings Rise?
Is Intel Stock a Buy After Its Full 9.1% Earnings Rise?
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Is Intel Stock a Buy After Its Full 9.1% Earnings Rise?
The quarterly earnings report was positive, but is it good enough to buy from here? How much more meat is left?
Stock Picks
Stock Earnings
Stocks
Broker Rebates