الولايات المتحدة 6 أشهر بيل المزاد
أحدث إصدار :
الإصدار القادم:
دليل
تأثير عالي الاحتمال
هذا الحدث لديه إمكانية قوية لتحريك الأسواق بشكل كبير. إذا اختلفت القيمة الفعلية بدرجة كافية عن التوقعات أو إذا تم تنقيح القيمة السابقة بشكل كبير، فقد يشير ذلك إلى معلومات جديدة قد تتفاعل معها الأسواق بسرعة.
تأثير متوسط الاحتمال
هذا الحدث قد يتسبب في تحركات معتدلة بالسوق، خاصة إذا كانت القيمة الفعلية مختلفة عن التوقعات أو إذا كان هناك تعديل ملحوظ في القيمة السابقة.
تأثير منخفض الاحتمال
هذا الحدث من غير المحتمل أن يؤثر على أسعار السوق إلا إذا حدثت مفاجأة غير متوقعة أو تعديل كبير للبيانات السابقة.
مفاجأة - قد تقوى العملة.
انحرفت القيمة الفعلية عن التوقعات في حدث متوسط أو مرتفع التأثير، ووفقًا للسوابق التاريخية، قد يدعم ذلك العملة..
مفاجأة - قد تضعف العملة.
انحرفت القيمة الفعلية عن التوقعات في حدث متوسط أو مرتفع التأثير، ووفقًا للسوابق التاريخية، قد يُضعف ذلك العملة..
مفاجأة كبيرة - العملة مرشحة للارتفاع.
انحرفت القيمة الفعلية عن التوقعات بأكثر من 75% من الانحرافات التاريخية في حدث متوسط أو مرتفع التأثير، وقد يدعم ذلك العملة..
مفاجأة كبيرة - عملة مرشحة للانخفاض.
انحرفت القيمة الفعلية عن التوقعات بأكثر من 75% من الانحرافات التاريخية في حدث متوسط أو مرتفع التأثير، وقد يُضعف ذلك العملة.
| رقم أخضر | أفضل من التوقعات بالنسبة للعملة (أو التعديل السابق كان أفضل) |
| رقم أحمر | أسوأ من التوقعات بالنسبة للعملة (أو التعديل السابق كان أفضل) |
| متشدد (Hawkish) | يدعم رفع أسعار الفائدة لمحاربة التضخم، مما يعزز قوة العملة لكنه قد يضغط على أسواق الأسهم. |
| متساهل (Dovish) | يفضل خفض أسعار الفائدة لتعزيز النمو، مما يضعف العملة ولكنه يدعم ارتفاع الأسهم. |
| التاريخ | وقت | فعلي | تنبؤ بالمناخ | سابق | مفاجأة |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3.485% |
3.495% |
||||
3.495% |
3.58% |
||||
3.58% |
3.635% |
||||
3.635% |
3.67% |
||||
3.67% |
3.71% |
||||
3.71% |
3.69% |
||||
3.69% |
3.7% |
||||
3.7% |
3.64% |
||||
3.64% |
3.66% |
||||
3.66% |
3.685% |
||||
3.685% |
3.695% |
||||
3.695% |
3.715% |
||||
3.715% |
3.705% |
||||
3.705% |
3.715% |
||||
3.715% |
3.73% |
||||
3.73% |
3.88% |
||||
3.88% |
3.915% |
||||
3.915% |
3.945% |
||||
3.945% |
3.97% |
||||
3.97% |
3.98% |
||||
3.98% |
4.12% |
||||
4.12% |
4.115% |
||||
4.115% |
4.125% |
||||
4.125% |
4.145% |
||||
4.145% |
4.15% |
||||
4.11% |
4.12% |
||||
4.12% |
4.155% |
||||
4.155% |
4.15% |
||||
4.15% |
4.15% |
||||
4.15% |
4.16% |
||||
4.16% |
4.14% |
||||
4.14% |
4.105% |
||||
4.105% |
4.09% |
||||
4.09% |
4.065% |
||||
4.065% |
4.05% |
||||
4.05% |
4.06% |
||||
4.06% |
4% |
||||
4% |
4.07% |
||||
4.07% |
4.085% |
||||
4.085% |
4.1% |
||||
4.1% |
4.075% |
||||
4.075% |
4.135% |
||||
4.135% |
4.18% |
||||
4.18% |
4.22% |
||||
4.22% |
4.185% |
||||
4.185% |
4.155% |
||||
4.155% |
4.14% |
||||
4.14% |
4.165% |
||||
4.165% |
4.18% |
||||
4.18% |
4.11% |
||||
4.11% |
4.135% |
||||
4.135% |
4.17% |
||||
4.17% |
4.16% |
||||
4.16% |
4.2% |
||||
4.2% |
4.305% |
||||
4.305% |
4.34% |
||||
4.34% |
4.31% |
||||
4.31% |
4.31% |
||||
4.31% |
4.26% |
||||
4.26% |
4.325% |
||||
4.325% |
4.31% |
||||
4.31% |
4.27% |
||||
4.27% |
4.305% |
||||
4.305% |
4.215% |
||||
4.215% |
4.27% |
||||
4.27% |
4.41% |
||||
4.41% |
4.53% |
||||
4.53% |
4.645% |
||||
4.645% |
4.685% |
||||
4.685% |
4.77% |
||||
4.77% |
4.795% |
||||
4.795% |
4.7% |
||||
4.7% |
4.93% |
||||
4.93% |
4.99% |
||||
4.99% |
4.985% |
||||
4.985% |
5.08% |
||||
5.08% |
5.115% |
||||
5.115% |
5.14% |
||||
5.14% |
5.15% |
||||
5.15% |
5.165% |
||||
5.165% |
5.155% |
||||
5.155% |
5.17% |
||||
5.17% |
5.16% |
||||
5.16% |
5.165% |
||||
5.165% |
5.155% |
||||
5.155% |
5.165% |
||||
5.165% |
5.16% |
||||
5.16% |
5.155% |
||||
5.155% |
5.12% |
||||
5.12% |
5.125% |
||||
5.125% |
5.105% |
||||
5.105% |
5.13% |
||||
5.13% |
5.1% |
||||
5.1% |
5.105% |
||||
5.105% |
5.13% |
||||
5.13% |
5.1% |
||||
5.1% |
5.065% |
||||
5.065% |
5.045% |
||||
5.045% |
4.985% |
||||
4.985% |
5.02% |
||||
5.02% |
4.975% |
||||
4.975% |
5.03% |
||||
5.03% |
5.045% |
||||
5.045% |
5.08% |
||||
5.08% |
5.13% |
||||
5.13% |
5.19% |
||||
5.19% |
5.19% |
||||
5.19% |
5.24% |
||||
5.24% |
5.23% |
||||
5.23% |
5.27% |
||||
5.27% |
5.26% |
||||
5.26% |
5.32% |
||||
5.32% |
5.325% |
||||
5.325% |
5.335% |
||||
5.335% |
5.32% |
||||
5.32% |
5.34% |
||||
5.34% |
5.315% |
||||
5.315% |
5.3% |
||||
5.3% |
5.3% |
||||
5.3% |
5.3% |
||||
5.3% |
5.35% |
||||
5.35% |
5.295% |
||||
5.295% |
5.29% |
||||
5.29% |
5.265% |
||||
5.265% |
5.27% |
||||
5.27% |
5.27% |
||||
5.27% |
5.25% |
||||
5.25% |
5.27% |
||||
5.27% |
5.26% |
||||
5.26% |
5.215% |
||||
5.215% |
5.17% |
||||
5.17% |
5.155% |
||||
5.155% |
5.25% |
||||
5.25% |
5.29% |
||||
5.29% |
5.17% |
||||
5.17% |
4.89% |
||||
4.98% |
4.89% |
||||
4.89% |
4.9% |
||||
4.9% |
4.84% |
||||
4.84% |
4.87% |
||||
4.87% |
4.795% |
||||
4.795% |
4.705% |
||||
4.705% |
4.65% |
||||
4.65% |
4.62% |
||||
4.62% |
4.7% |
||||
4.7% |
4.97% |
||||
4.97% |
4.94% |
||||
4.94% |
4.915% |
||||
4.915% |
4.84% |
||||
4.84% |
4.755% |
||||
4.755% |
4.68% |
||||
4.68% |
4.685% |
||||
4.685% |
4.685% |
||||
4.685% |
4.71% |
||||
4.71% |
4.635% |
||||
4.635% |
4.6% |
||||
4.6% |
4.55% |
||||
4.55% |
4.63% |
||||
4.63% |
4.57% |
||||
4.57% |
4.55% |
||||
4.55% |
4.52% |
||||
4.52% |
4.44% |
||||
4.44% |
4.49% |
||||
4.49% |
4.44% |
||||
4.44% |
4.39% |
||||
4.39% |
4.245% |
||||
4.245% |
4.03% |
||||
4.03% |
3.85% |
||||
3.85% |
3.85% |
||||
3.85% |
3.78% |
||||
3.78% |
3.465% |
||||
3.465% |
3.32% |
||||
3.32% |
3.235% |
||||
3.235% |
3.11% |
||||
3.11% |
3.02% |
||||
3.02% |
3.04% |
||||
3.04% |
2.85% |
||||
2.85% |
2.92% |
||||
2.92% |
2.91% |
||||
2.91% |
2.685% |
||||
2.685% |
2.5% |
||||
2.5% |
2.5% |
||||
2.5% |
2.39% |
||||
2.39% |
2.16% |
||||
2.16% |
1.71% |
||||
1.71% |
1.58% |
||||
1.58% |
1.53% |
||||
1.53% |
1.49% |
||||
1.49% |
1.385% |
||||
1.385% |
1.42% |
||||
1.42% |
1.37% |
||||
1.37% |
1.25% |
||||
1.25% |
1.22% |
||||
1.22% |
1.11% |
||||
1.11% |
1.05% |
||||
1.05% |
0.87% |
||||
0.87% |
0.82% |
||||
0.82% |
0.71% |
||||
0.71% |
0.67% |
||||
0.67% |
0.71% |
||||
0.71% |
0.77% |
||||
0.77% |
0.58% |
||||
0.58% |
0.5% |
||||
0.5% |
0.38% |
||||
0.38% |
0.365% |
||||
0.365% |
0.275% |
||||
0.275% |
0.22% |
||||
0.22% |
0.16% |
||||
0.21% |
0.16% |
||||
0.16% |
0.13% |
||||
0.13% |
0.105% |
||||
0.105% |
0.09% |
||||
0.09% |
0.07% |
||||
0.07% |
0.065% |
||||
0.065% |
0.065% |
||||
0.065% |
0.065% |
||||
0.065% |
0.06% |
||||
0.06% |
0.06% |
||||
0.06% |
0.055% |
||||
0.055% |
0.055% |
||||
0.055% |
0.05% |
||||
0.05% |
0.045% |
||||
0.045% |
0.05% |
||||
0.05% |
0.05% |
||||
0.05% |
0.055% |
||||
0.055% |
0.05% |
||||
0.05% |
0.05% |
||||
0.05% |
0.05% |
||||
0.05% |
0.055% |
||||
0.055% |
0.05% |
||||
0.05% |
0.05% |
||||
0.05% |
0.05% |
||||
0.05% |
0.05% |
||||
0.05% |
0.055% |
||||
0.055% |
0.055% |
||||
0.055% |
0.04% |
||||
0.04% |
0.04% |
||||
0.04% |
0.035% |
||||
0.035% |
0.03% |
||||
0.03% |
0.03% |
||||
0.03% |
0.035% |
||||
0.035% |
0.035% |
||||
0.035% |
0.035% |
||||
0.035% |
0.04% |
||||
0.04% |
0.04% |
||||
0.04% |
0.035% |
||||
0.035% |
0.04% |
||||
0.04% |
0.04% |
||||
0.04% |
0.055% |
||||
0.055% |
0.06% |
||||
0.06% |
0.06% |
||||
0.06% |
0.045% |
||||
0.045% |
0.06% |
||||
0.06% |
0.05% |
||||
0.05% |
0.07% |
||||
0.07% |
0.085% |
||||
0.085% |
0.095% |
||||
0.095% |
0.09% |
||||
0.09% |
0.09% |
||||
0.09% |
0.1% |
||||
0.1% |
0.09% |
||||
0.09% |
0.085% |
||||
0.085% |
0.09% |
||||
0.09% |
0.09% |
||||
0.09% |
0.09% |
||||
0.09% |
0.1% |
||||
0.1% |
0.11% |
||||
0.11% |
0.11% |
||||
0.11% |
0.11% |
||||
0.11% |
0.115% |
||||
0.115% |
0.115% |
||||
0.115% |
0.11% |
||||
0.11% |
0.105% |
||||
0.105% |
0.105% |
||||
0.105% |
0.12% |
||||
0.12% |
0.125% |
||||
0.125% |
0.115% |
||||
0.115% |
0.12% |
||||
0.12% |
0.12% |
||||
0.12% |
0.12% |
||||
0.12% |
0.105% |
||||
0.105% |
0.13% |
||||
0.13% |
0.13% |
||||
0.13% |
0.145% |
||||
0.145% |
0.165% |
||||
0.165% |
0.165% |
||||
0.165% |
0.175% |
||||
0.175% |
0.185% |
||||
0.185% |
0.185% |
||||
0.185% |
0.17% |
||||
0.17% |
0.16% |
||||
0.16% |
0.15% |
||||
0.15% |
0.155% |
||||
0.155% |
0.13% |
||||
0.13% |
0.15% |
||||
0.15% |
0.145% |
||||
0.145% |
0.29% |
||||
0.29% |
0.16% |
||||
0.16% |
0.1% |
||||
0.1% |
0.08% |
||||
0.08% |
0.3% |
||||
0.3% |
0.4% |
||||
0.4% |
1.01% |
||||
1.01% |
1.44% |
||||
1.44% |
1.51% |
||||
1.51% |
1.51% |
||||
1.51% |
1.52% |
||||
1.52% |
1.535% |
||||
1.535% |
1.52% |
||||
1.52% |
1.53% |
||||
1.53% |
1.52% |
||||
1.52% |
1.56% |
||||
1.56% |
1.57% |
||||
1.57% |
1.55% |
||||
1.55% |
1.52% |
||||
1.52% |
1.565% |
||||
1.565% |
1.58% |
||||
1.58% |
1.54% |
||||
1.54% |
1.55% |
||||
1.55% |
1.535% |
||||
1.535% |
1.61% |
||||
1.61% |
1.6% |
||||
1.6% |
1.62% |
||||
1.62% |
1.69% |
||||
1.69% |
1.795% |
||||
1.795% |
1.86% |
||||
1.86% |
1.87% |
||||
1.87% |
1.825% |
||||
1.825% |
1.825% |
||||
1.825% |
1.84% |
||||
1.84% |
1.84% |
||||
1.84% |
1.89% |
||||
1.89% |
1.95% |
||||
1.95% |
2.035% |
||||
2.035% |
2.01% |
||||
2.01% |
2.01% |
||||
2.01% |
2.075% |
||||
2.075% |
2.04% |
||||
2.04% |
2.03% |
||||
2.03% |
2.13% |
||||
2.13% |
2.14% |
||||
2.14% |
2.255% |
||||
2.255% |
2.32% |
||||
2.32% |
2.34% |
||||
2.34% |
2.355% |
||||
2.355% |
2.38% |
||||
2.38% |
2.395% |
||||
2.395% |
2.4% |
||||
2.4% |
2.39% |
||||
2.39% |
2.395% |
||||
2.395% |
2.38% |
||||
2.38% |
2.415% |
||||
2.415% |
2.45% |
||||
2.45% |
2.455% |
||||
2.455% |
2.46% |
||||
2.46% |
2.455% |
||||
2.455% |
2.455% |
||||
2.455% |
2.45% |
||||
2.45% |
2.44% |
||||
2.44% |
2.45% |
||||
2.45% |
2.45% |
||||
2.45% |
2.46% |
||||
2.46% |
2.47% |
||||
2.47% |
2.505% |
||||
2.505% |
2.48% |
||||
2.48% |
2.485% |
||||
2.485% |
2.48% |
||||
2.48% |
2.495% |
||||
2.495% |
2.475% |
||||
2.475% |
2.455% |
||||
2.455% |
2.465% |
||||
2.465% |
2.45% |
||||
2.45% |
2.43% |
||||
2.43% |
2.425% |
||||
2.425% |
2.415% |
||||
2.415% |
2.38% |
||||
2.38% |
2.335% |
||||
2.335% |
2.32% |
||||
2.32% |
2.29% |
||||
2.29% |
2.265% |
||||
2.265% |
2.24% |
||||
2.24% |
2.21% |
||||
2.21% |
2.185% |
||||
2.185% |
2.18% |
||||
2.18% |
2.18% |
||||
2.18% |
2.16% |
||||
2.16% |
2.14% |
||||
2.14% |
2.14% |
||||
2.14% |
2.1% |
||||
2.1% |
2.085% |
||||
2.085% |
2.085% |
||||
2.085% |
2.075% |
||||
2.075% |
2.075% |
||||
2.075% |
2.07% |
||||
2.07% |
2.03% |
||||
2.03% |
2.08% |
||||
2.08% |
2.035% |
||||
2.035% |
2% |
||||
2% |
1.99% |
||||
1.99% |
1.985% |
||||
1.985% |
1.945% |
||||
1.945% |
1.88% |
||||
1.88% |
1.905% |
||||
1.905% |
1.895% |
||||
1.895% |
1.95% |
||||
1.95% |
1.85% |
||||
1.85% |
1.83% |
||||
1.83% |
1.83% |
||||
1.83% |
1.82% |
||||
1.82% |
1.785% |
||||
1.785% |
1.65% |
||||
1.65% |
1.625% |
||||
1.625% |
1.615% |
||||
1.615% |
1.6% |
||||
1.6% |
1.575% |
||||
1.575% |
1.575% |
||||
1.575% |
1.53% |
||||
1.53% |
1.48% |
||||
1.48% |
1.46% |
||||
1.46% |
1.45% |
||||
1.45% |
1.435% |
||||
1.435% |
1.415% |
||||
1.415% |
1.36% |
||||
1.36% |
1.3% |
||||
1.3% |
1.26% |
||||
1.26% |
1.245% |
||||
1.245% |
1.24% |
||||
1.24% |
1.22% |
||||
1.22% |
1.19% |
||||
1.19% |
1.17% |
||||
1.17% |
1.18% |
||||
1.18% |
1.14% |
||||
1.14% |
1.115% |
||||
1.115% |
1.115% |
||||
1.115% |
1.115% |
||||
1.115% |
1.115% |
||||
1.115% |
1.14% |
||||
1.14% |
1.13% |
||||
1.13% |
1.13% |
||||
1.13% |
1.105% |
||||
1.105% |
1.125% |
||||
1.125% |
1.13% |
||||
1.13% |
1.11% |
||||
1.11% |
1.12% |
||||
1.12% |
1.1% |
||||
1.1% |
1.07% |
||||
1.07% |
1.06% |
||||
1.06% |
1.05% |
||||
1.05% |
1.02% |
||||
1.02% |
1.015% |
||||
1.015% |
0.975% |
||||
0.975% |
0.97% | 0.955% |
0.005% | ||
0.955% |
0.96% | 0.945% |
-0.005% | ||
0.945% |
0.95% |
||||
0.95% |
0.91% |
||||
0.91% |
0.96% | 0.905% |
-0.05% | ||
0.905% |
0.67% | 0.89% |
0.235% | ||
0.89% |
0.67% | 0.91% |
0.22% | ||
0.91% |
0.835% |
||||
0.835% |
0.67% | 0.67% |
0.165% | ||
0.67% |
0.66% | 0.67% |
0.01% | ||
0.67% |
0.6% | 0.645% |
0.07% | ||
0.645% |
0.6% | 0.62% |
0.045% | ||
0.62% |
0.61% | 0.625% |
0.01% | ||
0.625% |
0.61% | 0.6% |
0.015% | ||
0.6% |
0.65% | 0.605% |
-0.05% | ||
0.605% |
0.59% |
||||
0.59% |
0.65% | 0.63% |
-0.06% | ||
0.63% |
0.65% | 0.66% |
-0.02% | ||
0.66% |
0.645% |
||||
0.645% |
0.645% |
||||
0.645% |
0.615% |
||||
0.615% |
0.61% |
||||
0.61% |
0.605% |
||||
0.605% |
0.625% |
||||
0.625% |
0.535% |
||||
0.535% |
0.5% |
||||
0.5% |
0.475% |
||||
0.475% |
0.47% |
||||
0.47% |
0.495% |
||||
0.495% |
0.49% |
||||
0.49% |
0.42% |
||||
0.42% |
0.5% |
||||
0.5% |
0.54% |
||||
0.54% |
0.47% |
||||
0.47% |
0.48% |
||||
0.48% |
0.45% |
||||
0.45% |
0.445% |
||||
0.445% |
0.395% |
||||
0.395% |
0.425% |
||||
0.425% |
0.43% |
||||
0.43% |
0.39% |
||||
0.39% |
0.34% |
||||
0.34% |
0.34% |
||||
0.34% |
0.4% |
||||
0.4% |
0.4% |
||||
0.4% |
0.43% |
||||
0.43% |
0.475% |
||||
0.475% |
0.48% |
||||
0.48% |
0.37% |
||||
0.37% |
0.38% |
||||
0.38% |
0.395% |
||||
0.395% |
0.33% | 0.4% |
0.065% | ||
0.4% |
0.48% | 0.35% |
-0.08% | ||
0.35% |
0.48% | 0.35% |
-0.13% | ||
0.35% |
0.48% | 0.385% |
-0.13% | ||
0.385% |
0.48% | 0.475% |
-0.095% | ||
0.475% |
0.45% | 0.44% |
0.025% | ||
0.44% |
0.45% | 0.51% |
-0.01% | ||
0.51% |
0.45% | 0.475% |
0.06% | ||
0.475% |
0.45% | 0.48% |
0.025% | ||
0.48% |
0.45% | 0.455% |
0.03% | ||
0.455% |
0.39% | 0.41% |
0.065% | ||
0.41% |
0.39% | 0.42% |
0.02% | ||
0.42% |
0.39% | 0.465% |
0.03% | ||
0.465% |
0.39% | 0.415% |
0.075% | ||
0.415% |
0.55% | 0.37% |
-0.135% | ||
0.37% |
0.55% | 0.47% |
-0.18% | ||
0.47% |
0.55% | 0.5% |
-0.08% | ||
0.5% |
0.55% |
||||
0.55% |
0.515% |
||||
0.515% |
0.585% |
||||
0.585% |
0.535% |
||||
0.535% |
0.415% |
||||
0.415% |
0.35% |
||||
0.35% |
0.33% |
||||
0.33% |
0.34% |
||||
0.34% |
0.28% |
||||
0.28% |
0.155% |
||||
0.155% |
0.11% |
||||
0.11% |
0.08% |
||||
0.08% |
0.065% |
||||
0.065% |
0.105% |
||||
0.105% |
0.115% |
||||
0.115% |
0.26% |
||||
0.26% |
0.275% |
||||
0.275% |
0.27% |
||||
0.27% |
0.2% |
||||
0.2% |
0.245% |
||||
0.245% |
0.245% |
||||
0.245% |
0.165% |
||||
0.165% |
0.145% |
||||
0.145% |
0.135% |
||||
0.135% |
0.1% |
||||
0.1% |
0.085% |
||||
0.085% |
0.11% |
||||
0.11% |
0.08% |
||||
0.08% |
0.1% |
||||
0.1% |
0.08% |
||||
0.08% |
0.07% |
||||
0.07% |
0.085% |
||||
0.085% |
0.08% |
||||
0.08% |
0.085% |
||||
0.085% |
0.07% |
||||
0.07% |
0.095% |