ایالات متحده مزایده بیل شش ماهه
آخرین گزارش:
انتشار بعدی:
شرح
تأثیر بالقوۀ بالا
این رویداد پتانسیل قوی برای حرکت قابل توجه بازارها دارد. اگر مقدار "واقعی" به اندازه کافی با پیشبینی تفاوت داشته باشد یا اگر مقدار "قبلی" به طور قابل توجهی بازنگری شود، اطلاعات جدیدی را نشان میدهد که بازارها ممکن است به سرعت با آن تطبیق پیدا کنند.
تأثیر بالقوۀ متوسط
این رویداد ممکن است باعث حرکت متوسط بازار شود، به ویژه اگر مقدار "واقعی" از پیشبینی منحرف شود یا بازنگری قابل توجهی در مقدار "قبلی" وجود داشته باشد.
تأثیر بالقوۀ پایین
این رویداد بعید است بر قیمتگذاری بازار تأثیر بگذارد، مگر اینکه یک غافلگیری غیرمنتظره یا یک بازنگری عمده در دادههای قبلی وجود داشته باشد.
غافلگیری - ارز ممکن است تقویت شود
مقدار واقعی در یک رویداد با تاثیر متوسط یا بالا از پیشبینی منحرف شد و از نظر تاریخی میتواند باعث تقویت ارز شود..
غافلگیری - ارز ممکن است تضعیف شود
مقدار واقعی در یک رویداد با تاثیر متوسط یا بالا از پیشبینی منحرف شد و از نظر تاریخی میتواند باعث تضعیف ارز شود..
غافلگیری بزرگ - ارز به احتمال زیاد تقویت می شود
در یک رویداد با تاثیر متوسط یا بالا، 'مقدار واقعی' بیش از ۷۵٪ از انحرافات تاریخی از 'پیشبینی' فاصله گرفته است و احتمالاً باعث تقویت ارز خواهد شد.
غافلگیری بزرگ - ارز به احتمال زیاد ضعیف می شود
در یک رویداد با تاثیر متوسط یا بالا، 'مقدار واقعی' بیش از ۷۵٪ از انحرافات تاریخی از 'پیشبینی' فاصله گرفته است و احتمالاً باعث تضعیف ارز خواهد شد
| عدد سبز | بهتر از پیشبینی برای ارز (یا بازبینی قبلی بهتر بوده است) |
| عدد قرمز | دتر از پیشبینی برای ارز (یا بازبینی قبلی بدتر بوده است) |
| هاوکیش | حمایت از نرخ بهره بالاتر برای مبارزه با تورم، تقویت ارز اما فشار بر سهام. |
| داویش | طرفدار نرخهای بهره پایینتر برای تقویت رشد، تضعیف ارز اما افزایش سهام. |
| تاریخ | زمان | واقعی | پیش بینی | قبلی | غافلگیری |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3/485% |
3/495% |
||||
3/495% |
3/58% |
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3/58% |
3/635% |
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3/635% |
3/67% |
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3/67% |
3/71% |
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3/71% |
3/69% |
||||
3/69% |
3/7% |
||||
3/7% |
3/64% |
||||
3/64% |
3/66% |
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3/66% |
3/685% |
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3/685% |
3/695% |
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3/695% |
3/715% |
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3/715% |
3/705% |
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3/705% |
3/715% |
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3/715% |
3/73% |
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3/73% |
3/88% |
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3/88% |
3/915% |
||||
3/915% |
3/945% |
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3/945% |
3/97% |
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3/97% |
3/98% |
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3/98% |
4/12% |
||||
4/12% |
4/115% |
||||
4/115% |
4/125% |
||||
4/125% |
4/145% |
||||
4/145% |
4/15% |
||||
4/11% |
4/12% |
||||
4/12% |
4/155% |
||||
4/155% |
4/15% |
||||
4/15% |
4/15% |
||||
4/15% |
4/16% |
||||
4/16% |
4/14% |
||||
4/14% |
4/105% |
||||
4/105% |
4/09% |
||||
4/09% |
4/065% |
||||
4/065% |
4/05% |
||||
4/05% |
4/06% |
||||
4/06% |
4% |
||||
4% |
4/07% |
||||
4/07% |
4/085% |
||||
4/085% |
4/1% |
||||
4/1% |
4/075% |
||||
4/075% |
4/135% |
||||
4/135% |
4/18% |
||||
4/18% |
4/22% |
||||
4/22% |
4/185% |
||||
4/185% |
4/155% |
||||
4/155% |
4/14% |
||||
4/14% |
4/165% |
||||
4/165% |
4/18% |
||||
4/18% |
4/11% |
||||
4/11% |
4/135% |
||||
4/135% |
4/17% |
||||
4/17% |
4/16% |
||||
4/16% |
4/2% |
||||
4/2% |
4/305% |
||||
4/305% |
4/34% |
||||
4/34% |
4/31% |
||||
4/31% |
4/31% |
||||
4/31% |
4/26% |
||||
4/26% |
4/325% |
||||
4/325% |
4/31% |
||||
4/31% |
4/27% |
||||
4/27% |
4/305% |
||||
4/305% |
4/215% |
||||
4/215% |
4/27% |
||||
4/27% |
4/41% |
||||
4/41% |
4/53% |
||||
4/53% |
4/645% |
||||
4/645% |
4/685% |
||||
4/685% |
4/77% |
||||
4/77% |
4/795% |
||||
4/795% |
4/7% |
||||
4/7% |
4/93% |
||||
4/93% |
4/99% |
||||
4/99% |
4/985% |
||||
4/985% |
5/08% |
||||
5/08% |
5/115% |
||||
5/115% |
5/14% |
||||
5/14% |
5/15% |
||||
5/15% |
5/165% |
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5/165% |
5/155% |
||||
5/155% |
5/17% |
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5/17% |
5/16% |
||||
5/16% |
5/165% |
||||
5/165% |
5/155% |
||||
5/155% |
5/165% |
||||
5/165% |
5/16% |
||||
5/16% |
5/155% |
||||
5/155% |
5/12% |
||||
5/12% |
5/125% |
||||
5/125% |
5/105% |
||||
5/105% |
5/13% |
||||
5/13% |
5/1% |
||||
5/1% |
5/105% |
||||
5/105% |
5/13% |
||||
5/13% |
5/1% |
||||
5/1% |
5/065% |
||||
5/065% |
5/045% |
||||
5/045% |
4/985% |
||||
4/985% |
5/02% |
||||
5/02% |
4/975% |
||||
4/975% |
5/03% |
||||
5/03% |
5/045% |
||||
5/045% |
5/08% |
||||
5/08% |
5/13% |
||||
5/13% |
5/19% |
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5/19% |
5/19% |
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5/19% |
5/24% |
||||
5/24% |
5/23% |
||||
5/23% |
5/27% |
||||
5/27% |
5/26% |
||||
5/26% |
5/32% |
||||
5/32% |
5/325% |
||||
5/325% |
5/335% |
||||
5/335% |
5/32% |
||||
5/32% |
5/34% |
||||
5/34% |
5/315% |
||||
5/315% |
5/3% |
||||
5/3% |
5/3% |
||||
5/3% |
5/3% |
||||
5/3% |
5/35% |
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5/35% |
5/295% |
||||
5/295% |
5/29% |
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5/29% |
5/265% |
||||
5/265% |
5/27% |
||||
5/27% |
5/27% |
||||
5/27% |
5/25% |
||||
5/25% |
5/27% |
||||
5/27% |
5/26% |
||||
5/26% |
5/215% |
||||
5/215% |
5/17% |
||||
5/17% |
5/155% |
||||
5/155% |
5/25% |
||||
5/25% |
5/29% |
||||
5/29% |
5/17% |
||||
5/17% |
4/89% |
||||
4/98% |
4/89% |
||||
4/89% |
4/9% |
||||
4/9% |
4/84% |
||||
4/84% |
4/87% |
||||
4/87% |
4/795% |
||||
4/795% |
4/705% |
||||
4/705% |
4/65% |
||||
4/65% |
4/62% |
||||
4/62% |
4/7% |
||||
4/7% |
4/97% |
||||
4/97% |
4/94% |
||||
4/94% |
4/915% |
||||
4/915% |
4/84% |
||||
4/84% |
4/755% |
||||
4/755% |
4/68% |
||||
4/68% |
4/685% |
||||
4/685% |
4/685% |
||||
4/685% |
4/71% |
||||
4/71% |
4/635% |
||||
4/635% |
4/6% |
||||
4/6% |
4/55% |
||||
4/55% |
4/63% |
||||
4/63% |
4/57% |
||||
4/57% |
4/55% |
||||
4/55% |
4/52% |
||||
4/52% |
4/44% |
||||
4/44% |
4/49% |
||||
4/49% |
4/44% |
||||
4/44% |
4/39% |
||||
4/39% |
4/245% |
||||
4/245% |
4/03% |
||||
4/03% |
3/85% |
||||
3/85% |
3/85% |
||||
3/85% |
3/78% |
||||
3/78% |
3/465% |
||||
3/465% |
3/32% |
||||
3/32% |
3/235% |
||||
3/235% |
3/11% |
||||
3/11% |
3/02% |
||||
3/02% |
3/04% |
||||
3/04% |
2/85% |
||||
2/85% |
2/92% |
||||
2/92% |
2/91% |
||||
2/91% |
2/685% |
||||
2/685% |
2/5% |
||||
2/5% |
2/5% |
||||
2/5% |
2/39% |
||||
2/39% |
2/16% |
||||
2/16% |
1/71% |
||||
1/71% |
1/58% |
||||
1/58% |
1/53% |
||||
1/53% |
1/49% |
||||
1/49% |
1/385% |
||||
1/385% |
1/42% |
||||
1/42% |
1/37% |
||||
1/37% |
1/25% |
||||
1/25% |
1/22% |
||||
1/22% |
1/11% |
||||
1/11% |
1/05% |
||||
1/05% |
0/87% |
||||
0/87% |
0/82% |
||||
0/82% |
0/71% |
||||
0/71% |
0/67% |
||||
0/67% |
0/71% |
||||
0/71% |
0/77% |
||||
0/77% |
0/58% |
||||
0/58% |
0/5% |
||||
0/5% |
0/38% |
||||
0/38% |
0/365% |
||||
0/365% |
0/275% |
||||
0/275% |
0/22% |
||||
0/22% |
0/16% |
||||
0/21% |
0/16% |
||||
0/16% |
0/13% |
||||
0/13% |
0/105% |
||||
0/105% |
0/09% |
||||
0/09% |
0/07% |
||||
0/07% |
0/065% |
||||
0/065% |
0/065% |
||||
0/065% |
0/065% |
||||
0/065% |
0/06% |
||||
0/06% |
0/06% |
||||
0/06% |
0/055% |
||||
0/055% |
0/055% |
||||
0/055% |
0/05% |
||||
0/05% |
0/045% |
||||
0/045% |
0/05% |
||||
0/05% |
0/05% |
||||
0/05% |
0/055% |
||||
0/055% |
0/05% |
||||
0/05% |
0/05% |
||||
0/05% |
0/05% |
||||
0/05% |
0/055% |
||||
0/055% |
0/05% |
||||
0/05% |
0/05% |
||||
0/05% |
0/05% |
||||
0/05% |
0/05% |
||||
0/05% |
0/055% |
||||
0/055% |
0/055% |
||||
0/055% |
0/04% |
||||
0/04% |
0/04% |
||||
0/04% |
0/035% |
||||
0/035% |
0/03% |
||||
0/03% |
0/03% |
||||
0/03% |
0/035% |
||||
0/035% |
0/035% |
||||
0/035% |
0/035% |
||||
0/035% |
0/04% |
||||
0/04% |
0/04% |
||||
0/04% |
0/035% |
||||
0/035% |
0/04% |
||||
0/04% |
0/04% |
||||
0/04% |
0/055% |
||||
0/055% |
0/06% |
||||
0/06% |
0/06% |
||||
0/06% |
0/045% |
||||
0/045% |
0/06% |
||||
0/06% |
0/05% |
||||
0/05% |
0/07% |
||||
0/07% |
0/085% |
||||
0/085% |
0/095% |
||||
0/095% |
0/09% |
||||
0/09% |
0/09% |
||||
0/09% |
0/1% |
||||
0/1% |
0/09% |
||||
0/09% |
0/085% |
||||
0/085% |
0/09% |
||||
0/09% |
0/09% |
||||
0/09% |
0/09% |
||||
0/09% |
0/1% |
||||
0/1% |
0/11% |
||||
0/11% |
0/11% |
||||
0/11% |
0/11% |
||||
0/11% |
0/115% |
||||
0/115% |
0/115% |
||||
0/115% |
0/11% |
||||
0/11% |
0/105% |
||||
0/105% |
0/105% |
||||
0/105% |
0/12% |
||||
0/12% |
0/125% |
||||
0/125% |
0/115% |
||||
0/115% |
0/12% |
||||
0/12% |
0/12% |
||||
0/12% |
0/12% |
||||
0/12% |
0/105% |
||||
0/105% |
0/13% |
||||
0/13% |
0/13% |
||||
0/13% |
0/145% |
||||
0/145% |
0/165% |
||||
0/165% |
0/165% |
||||
0/165% |
0/175% |
||||
0/175% |
0/185% |
||||
0/185% |
0/185% |
||||
0/185% |
0/17% |
||||
0/17% |
0/16% |
||||
0/16% |
0/15% |
||||
0/15% |
0/155% |
||||
0/155% |
0/13% |
||||
0/13% |
0/15% |
||||
0/15% |
0/145% |
||||
0/145% |
0/29% |
||||
0/29% |
0/16% |
||||
0/16% |
0/1% |
||||
0/1% |
0/08% |
||||
0/08% |
0/3% |
||||
0/3% |
0/4% |
||||
0/4% |
1/01% |
||||
1/01% |
1/44% |
||||
1/44% |
1/51% |
||||
1/51% |
1/51% |
||||
1/51% |
1/52% |
||||
1/52% |
1/535% |
||||
1/535% |
1/52% |
||||
1/52% |
1/53% |
||||
1/53% |
1/52% |
||||
1/52% |
1/56% |
||||
1/56% |
1/57% |
||||
1/57% |
1/55% |
||||
1/55% |
1/52% |
||||
1/52% |
1/565% |
||||
1/565% |
1/58% |
||||
1/58% |
1/54% |
||||
1/54% |
1/55% |
||||
1/55% |
1/535% |
||||
1/535% |
1/61% |
||||
1/61% |
1/6% |
||||
1/6% |
1/62% |
||||
1/62% |
1/69% |
||||
1/69% |
1/795% |
||||
1/795% |
1/86% |
||||
1/86% |
1/87% |
||||
1/87% |
1/825% |
||||
1/825% |
1/825% |
||||
1/825% |
1/84% |
||||
1/84% |
1/84% |
||||
1/84% |
1/89% |
||||
1/89% |
1/95% |
||||
1/95% |
2/035% |
||||
2/035% |
2/01% |
||||
2/01% |
2/01% |
||||
2/01% |
2/075% |
||||
2/075% |
2/04% |
||||
2/04% |
2/03% |
||||
2/03% |
2/13% |
||||
2/13% |
2/14% |
||||
2/14% |
2/255% |
||||
2/255% |
2/32% |
||||
2/32% |
2/34% |
||||
2/34% |
2/355% |
||||
2/355% |
2/38% |
||||
2/38% |
2/395% |
||||
2/395% |
2/4% |
||||
2/4% |
2/39% |
||||
2/39% |
2/395% |
||||
2/395% |
2/38% |
||||
2/38% |
2/415% |
||||
2/415% |
2/45% |
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2/45% |
2/455% |
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2/455% |
2/46% |
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2/46% |
2/455% |
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2/455% |
2/455% |
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2/455% |
2/45% |
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2/45% |
2/44% |
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2/44% |
2/45% |
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2/45% |
2/45% |
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2/45% |
2/46% |
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2/46% |
2/47% |
||||
2/47% |
2/505% |
||||
2/505% |
2/48% |
||||
2/48% |
2/485% |
||||
2/485% |
2/48% |
||||
2/48% |
2/495% |
||||
2/495% |
2/475% |
||||
2/475% |
2/455% |
||||
2/455% |
2/465% |
||||
2/465% |
2/45% |
||||
2/45% |
2/43% |
||||
2/43% |
2/425% |
||||
2/425% |
2/415% |
||||
2/415% |
2/38% |
||||
2/38% |
2/335% |
||||
2/335% |
2/32% |
||||
2/32% |
2/29% |
||||
2/29% |
2/265% |
||||
2/265% |
2/24% |
||||
2/24% |
2/21% |
||||
2/21% |
2/185% |
||||
2/185% |
2/18% |
||||
2/18% |
2/18% |
||||
2/18% |
2/16% |
||||
2/16% |
2/14% |
||||
2/14% |
2/14% |
||||
2/14% |
2/1% |
||||
2/1% |
2/085% |
||||
2/085% |
2/085% |
||||
2/085% |
2/075% |
||||
2/075% |
2/075% |
||||
2/075% |
2/07% |
||||
2/07% |
2/03% |
||||
2/03% |
2/08% |
||||
2/08% |
2/035% |
||||
2/035% |
2% |
||||
2% |
1/99% |
||||
1/99% |
1/985% |
||||
1/985% |
1/945% |
||||
1/945% |
1/88% |
||||
1/88% |
1/905% |
||||
1/905% |
1/895% |
||||
1/895% |
1/95% |
||||
1/95% |
1/85% |
||||
1/85% |
1/83% |
||||
1/83% |
1/83% |
||||
1/83% |
1/82% |
||||
1/82% |
1/785% |
||||
1/785% |
1/65% |
||||
1/65% |
1/625% |
||||
1/625% |
1/615% |
||||
1/615% |
1/6% |
||||
1/6% |
1/575% |
||||
1/575% |
1/575% |
||||
1/575% |
1/53% |
||||
1/53% |
1/48% |
||||
1/48% |
1/46% |
||||
1/46% |
1/45% |
||||
1/45% |
1/435% |
||||
1/435% |
1/415% |
||||
1/415% |
1/36% |
||||
1/36% |
1/3% |
||||
1/3% |
1/26% |
||||
1/26% |
1/245% |
||||
1/245% |
1/24% |
||||
1/24% |
1/22% |
||||
1/22% |
1/19% |
||||
1/19% |
1/17% |
||||
1/17% |
1/18% |
||||
1/18% |
1/14% |
||||
1/14% |
1/115% |
||||
1/115% |
1/115% |
||||
1/115% |
1/115% |
||||
1/115% |
1/115% |
||||
1/115% |
1/14% |
||||
1/14% |
1/13% |
||||
1/13% |
1/13% |
||||
1/13% |
1/105% |
||||
1/105% |
1/125% |
||||
1/125% |
1/13% |
||||
1/13% |
1/11% |
||||
1/11% |
1/12% |
||||
1/12% |
1/1% |
||||
1/1% |
1/07% |
||||
1/07% |
1/06% |
||||
1/06% |
1/05% |
||||
1/05% |
1/02% |
||||
1/02% |
1/015% |
||||
1/015% |
0/975% |
||||
0/975% |
0/97% | 0/955% |
0/005% | ||
0/955% |
0/96% | 0/945% |
-0/005% | ||
0/945% |
0/95% |
||||
0/95% |
0/91% |
||||
0/91% |
0/96% | 0/905% |
-0/05% | ||
0/905% |
0/67% | 0/89% |
0/235% | ||
0/89% |
0/67% | 0/91% |
0/22% | ||
0/91% |
0/835% |
||||
0/835% |
0/67% | 0/67% |
0/165% | ||
0/67% |
0/66% | 0/67% |
0/01% | ||
0/67% |
0/6% | 0/645% |
0/07% | ||
0/645% |
0/6% | 0/62% |
0/045% | ||
0/62% |
0/61% | 0/625% |
0/01% | ||
0/625% |
0/61% | 0/6% |
0/015% | ||
0/6% |
0/65% | 0/605% |
-0/05% | ||
0/605% |
0/59% |
||||
0/59% |
0/65% | 0/63% |
-0/06% | ||
0/63% |
0/65% | 0/66% |
-0/02% | ||
0/66% |
0/645% |
||||
0/645% |
0/645% |
||||
0/645% |
0/615% |
||||
0/615% |
0/61% |
||||
0/61% |
0/605% |
||||
0/605% |
0/625% |
||||
0/625% |
0/535% |
||||
0/535% |
0/5% |
||||
0/5% |
0/475% |
||||
0/475% |
0/47% |
||||
0/47% |
0/495% |
||||
0/495% |
0/49% |
||||
0/49% |
0/42% |
||||
0/42% |
0/5% |
||||
0/5% |
0/54% |
||||
0/54% |
0/47% |
||||
0/47% |
0/48% |
||||
0/48% |
0/45% |
||||
0/45% |
0/445% |
||||
0/445% |
0/395% |
||||
0/395% |
0/425% |
||||
0/425% |
0/43% |
||||
0/43% |
0/39% |
||||
0/39% |
0/34% |
||||
0/34% |
0/34% |
||||
0/34% |
0/4% |
||||
0/4% |
0/4% |
||||
0/4% |
0/43% |
||||
0/43% |
0/475% |
||||
0/475% |
0/48% |
||||
0/48% |
0/37% |
||||
0/37% |
0/38% |
||||
0/38% |
0/395% |
||||
0/395% |
0/33% | 0/4% |
0/065% | ||
0/4% |
0/48% | 0/35% |
-0/08% | ||
0/35% |
0/48% | 0/35% |
-0/13% | ||
0/35% |
0/48% | 0/385% |
-0/13% | ||
0/385% |
0/48% | 0/475% |
-0/095% | ||
0/475% |
0/45% | 0/44% |
0/025% | ||
0/44% |
0/45% | 0/51% |
-0/01% | ||
0/51% |
0/45% | 0/475% |
0/06% | ||
0/475% |
0/45% | 0/48% |
0/025% | ||
0/48% |
0/45% | 0/455% |
0/03% | ||
0/455% |
0/39% | 0/41% |
0/065% | ||
0/41% |
0/39% | 0/42% |
0/02% | ||
0/42% |
0/39% | 0/465% |
0/03% | ||
0/465% |
0/39% | 0/415% |
0/075% | ||
0/415% |
0/55% | 0/37% |
-0/135% | ||
0/37% |
0/55% | 0/47% |
-0/18% | ||
0/47% |
0/55% | 0/5% |
-0/08% | ||
0/5% |
0/55% |
||||
0/55% |
0/515% |
||||
0/515% |
0/585% |
||||
0/585% |
0/535% |
||||
0/535% |
0/415% |
||||
0/415% |
0/35% |
||||
0/35% |
0/33% |
||||
0/33% |
0/34% |
||||
0/34% |
0/28% |
||||
0/28% |
0/155% |
||||
0/155% |
0/11% |
||||
0/11% |
0/08% |
||||
0/08% |
0/065% |
||||
0/065% |
0/105% |
||||
0/105% |
0/115% |
||||
0/115% |
0/26% |
||||
0/26% |
0/275% |
||||
0/275% |
0/27% |
||||
0/27% |
0/2% |
||||
0/2% |
0/245% |
||||
0/245% |
0/245% |
||||
0/245% |
0/165% |
||||
0/165% |
0/145% |
||||
0/145% |
0/135% |
||||
0/135% |
0/1% |
||||
0/1% |
0/085% |
||||
0/085% |
0/11% |
||||
0/11% |
0/08% |
||||
0/08% |
0/1% |
||||
0/1% |
0/08% |
||||
0/08% |
0/07% |
||||
0/07% |
0/085% |
||||
0/085% |
0/08% |
||||
0/08% |
0/085% |
||||
0/085% |
0/07% |
||||
0/07% |
0/095% |