United States USD

United States Fed Bowman Speech

Impact:
Medium
Source: Federal Reserve

Latest Release:

Date:
Actual:
 
Forecast:
Previous/Revision:  
Period:
What Does It Measure?
The United States Federal Reserve's Bowman Speech measures economic outlook and signals pertaining to monetary policy, representing insights from a Federal Reserve governor regarding inflation, interest rates, and economic conditions. The primary focus is on monetary policy direction, with implications for financial stability and economic growth, often assessing labor markets and inflation indicators.
Frequency
The Bowman Speech is typically delivered on an ad-hoc basis, with no set frequency, and its release is usually announced prior to the event.
Why Do Traders Care?
Traders closely monitor such speeches as they provide crucial insights into potential shifts in monetary policy, which can significantly influence financial markets, including currencies, equities, and bonds. The speech's content can lead to volatility in markets, as traders adjust their positions based on the governor's outlook and guidance.
What Is It Derived From?
The content of the Bowman Speech is derived from a combination of current economic data, research, and the Federal Reserve's internal assessments, reflecting the governor's interpretation of economic conditions and projections. This speech is not based on a quantitative index but instead on qualitative assessments of macroeconomic indicators.
Description
The Bowman Speech serves to communicate the Federal Reserve's perspective on the economy and monetary policy, addressing key issues such as inflation, employment trends, and future interest rate decisions. It can influence market sentiment as stakeholders interpret the nuances of the remarks, which are often scrutinized for any hints of policy direction.
Additional Notes
The Bowman Speech is typically considered a coincident economic measure that provides insights into current economic conditions. As it relates to broader economic trends, it often aligns with other key indicators like inflation reports and employment statistics, influencing sentiment across various sectors and regions.
Bullish or Bearish for Currency and Stocks
A dovish tone: Signaling lower interest rates or economic support, is usually good for the USD but bad for Stocks due to cheaper borrowing costs.

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the 'Actual' value differs enough from the forecast or if the 'Previous' value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the 'Actual' deviates from the forecast or there's a notable revision to the 'Previous' value.

Low Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there's an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
Actual deviated from Forecast on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
Actual deviated from Forcast on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency

Green Number Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.
Date Time Actual Forecast Previous Surprise
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Broker Rebates