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Eurostoxx futures +1.0% in early European trading
The good mood continues in Europe
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Forex Today: US Dollar stays under pressure as mood improves
Here is what you need to know on Thursday, February 13: The US Dollar (USD) struggles to find demand early Thursday after having failed to capitalize on January inflation data on Wednesday.
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UK Preliminary GDP rises 0.1% QoQ in Q4 vs. -0.1% expected
The UK economy expanded 0.1% QoQ in the three months to December 2024 after showing no growth in the third quarter.
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Germany January final CPI +2.3% vs +2.3% y/y prelim
Latest data released by Destatis - 13 February 2025
EUR
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UK Q4 preliminary GDP +0.1% vs -0.1% q/q expected
Latest data released by ONS - 13 February 2025
GBP
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UK December monthly GDP +0.4% vs +0.1% m/m expected
Latest data released by ONS - 13 February 2025
GBP
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Oleh
Fxstreet
FX option expiries for Feb 13 NY cut
FX option expiries for Feb 13 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time via DTCC can be found below.
Options
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ECB’s Vujčić: Market expectation for three more rate cuts this year not unreasonable
European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Boris Vujčić noted on Thursday that the market is pricing in three more rate cuts this year and added that those expectations are not unreasonable, per Reuters.
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AUD/JPY remains steady around 97.00 despite rising hawkish tone surrounding BoJ outlook
AUD/JPY remains steady after registering gains in the previous three sessions, trading around 97.00 during Asian hours on Thursday.
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USD/CHF attracts some sellers to near 0.9100 on a weaker US Dollar
The USD/CHF pair weakens to near 0.9110, snapping the fifth-day winning streak during the early European session on Thursday.
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Dollar on the backfoot ahead of European trading
Trouble, trouble for the dollar after the events yesterday
market overview
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Fxstreet
BoE’s Pill urges caution on interest rate cuts
Bank of England (BoE) Chief Economist Huw Pill told Reuters on Thursday that he “urges caution on interest rate cuts.” Further comments I do expect we can cut rates further.
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US Dollar Index (DXY) touches fresh weekly low around 107.60; downside seems limited
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, extends the previous day's retracement slide from over a one-week high and drifts lower through the Asian session on Thursday.
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ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Awaiting Trump’s reciprocal tariffs (EUR up!)
Forex news for Asian trading on Thursday, February 13, 2025
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EUR/USD appreciates to near 1.0450 ahead of German HICP inflation data
The EUR/USD pair continues its upward momentum for the third straight session, hovering around 1.0430 during Asian trading hours on Thursday.
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China has proposed holding a Trump / Putin summit
Wall Street Journal report
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rub
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GBP/USD rises above 1.2450 ahead of UK GDP data
GBP/USD extends its winning streak for the third consecutive day, trading around 1.2460 during Thursday’s Asian session.
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Trump will be signing more executive orders on Thursday, February 13 - reciprocal tariffs?
At 1300 US Eastern time, which is 1800 GMT
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NZD/USD moves below 0.5650 following RBNZ Inflation Expectations
NZD/USD continues to decline for the second consecutive day, trading around 0.5640 during Thursday’s Asian session.
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Japanese Yen strengthens further against a broadly weaker USD
The Japanese Yen (JPY) attracts some buyers following the release of stronger-than-expected Japan's Producer Price Index (PPI) on Thursday, which reaffirms bets that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will hike rates further.
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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD gains traction above $32.00 on trade war concerns
Silver price (XAG/USD) edges higher to $32.25 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday.
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About 75,000 workers have accepted Trump’s buyout program
Reuters info
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Australian Dollar holds gains, downside risks emerge amid potential US reciprocal tariffs
The Australian Dollar (AUD) gains ground against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, following a rise in Australia’s Consumer Inflation Expectations.
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RBNZ Survey: NZ two-year inflation expectations decline to 2.06% QoQ in Q1 2025
New Zealand's (NZ) inflation expectations were a mixed bag on a 12-month and a two-year time frame for the first quarter of 2025, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) latest monetary conditions survey showed on Thursday.
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USD/INR gains ground as traders await Trump, Modi meeting
The Indian Rupee (INR) weakens on Thursday, pressured by the renewed US Dollar (USD) demand.
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PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1719 vs. 7.1710 previous
The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) set the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead on Thursday at 7.1719 as compared to the previous day's fix of 7.1710 and 7.3000 Reuters estimates.
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UK Housing Market Cools Despite Upbeat Surveyors; Positive Outlook Ahead
UK housing market shows cooling trend in January, but a positive outlook is supported by easing mortgage pressures.
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PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.3000 – Reuters estimate
PBOC CNY reference rate setting for the trading session ahead.
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Australian Inflation Expectations survey for February 2025 4.6% (prior was 4.0%)
Melbourne Institute Survey of Consumer Inflation Expectations in Australia
AUD
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WTI tumbles to near $71.00 as Trump says Putin agrees to start negotiations to end war in Ukraine
WTI attracts some sellers to around $71.10 in Thursday’s early Asian session.
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Japan PPI for January is +4.2%y/y (expected +4.0% prior +3.8%)
For the m/m, comes in at +0.3% (vs. expected +0.3% and prior of +0.3%)
JPY
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EUR/USD regains some ground, but remains hobbled by key technicals
EUR/USD churned on Wednesday, testing the low end through most of the intraday session before breaking higher after investors tried to shake up an unexpected upswing in US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation.
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GBP/JPY soars as hot US inflation weakens Yen
The GBP/JPY rose sharply during Wednesday’s session, posting gains of over 1.22% or 230 plus pips after a hot US inflation report sent the Greenback higher and pushed the Japanese Yen (JPY) lower against most G8 FX currencies.
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GBP/USD churns ahead of UK GDP growth check
GBP/USD is coiled around 1.2450, churning the charts near middling technical ground as Pound Sterling traders await the UK’s latest Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth figures.
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White House says Trump reciprocal tariffs could come by Thursday
The White House said late Wednesday that US President Donald Trump could announce his reciprocal tariff plan before he meets with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Thursday, per CNBC.
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Trump's reciprocal tariffs - more on timing
Thursday seems to be betting
Politics
USD
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Fxstreet
USD/CAD holds positive ground above 1.4300 as US CPI rises, Oil prices fall
The USD/CAD pair trades on a stronger note near 1.4305 during the late American session on Wednesday.
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NZD/USD Price Analysis: Bulls struggle to hold key support as sellers resurface
The NZD/USD pair saw mild losses on Wednesday, retreating to 0.5650 as selling pressure returned after Tuesday’s attempt to regain higher ground.
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Technical Analysis
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Australian Dollar turns down after US CPI and Powell’s testimony
The Australian Dollar (AUD) extends its sideways consolidation as AUD/USD softens to around 0.6260 in Wednesday’s session, falling 0.30% on the day.
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New Zealand data: January Card retail sales -1.6% m/m (prior +2.4) & -0.5% y/y (prior -1)
Data for purchases made in New Zealand on debit, credit and store cards.
NZD
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