West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Crude Oil prices drift lower for the third consecutive day on Friday amid growing concerns over slowing US demand and a supply glut in the coming quarters.
UBS forecasts the Fed will reduce rates by 75bp between now and Q1 2026, with Chair Powell’s comments on slowing job creation reinforcing the case for easing.
The GBP/JPY prints back-to-back bullish candles, posting solid gains of 0.11% on Thursday, though it remains shy of re-testing the current year-to-date (YTD) high of 201.72.
The BoJ is set to hold rates steady at 0.5% on Friday, with Governor Ueda expected to stress caution over the impact of U.S. tariffs and slowing American growth on Japan’s recovery.
EUR/USD retreats after reaching a yearly high above 1.1900 and falls 0.22% on Thursday, as goodish economic data from the United States (US) and a hawkish perception of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell boosted the US Dollar.
MUFG expects the BoJ to hold rates at 0.50% this week and now sees the next hike delayed until January 2026, citing tariff uncertainty and a softer growth outlook.
Silver (XAG/USD) trims earlier intraday losses on Thursday, recovering from a five-day low marked on Wednesday in the aftermath of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate cut decision. At the time of writing, the white metal is trading near $41.81, rebounding from an intraday trough of $41.20.
Gold Price retreats during the North American session and is down 0.39% in the aftermath of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rate cut decision on Wednesday and better than expected Initial Jobs Claims data. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $3,643 after hitting a daily high of $3,673.
The Euro (EUR) is entering Thursday’s NA session with a modest 0.2% gain against the US Dollar (USD) following a bullish reversal of its early European session losses, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is trading flat against the US Dollar (USD), having recovered its Asian session losses through the start of early European trade, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
Slight uptick in upward momentum is likely to lead US Dollar (USD) trading in a higher range of 7.0930/7.1130. In the longer run, USD must break and hold below 7.0860 before further downside is likely, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range of 146.30/147.35. In the longer run, downward momentum has slowed, but there is a slim chance for USD to revisit the 145.45 level, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Markets’ initial interpretation of the Fed interest rate cut was firmly dovish: aside from Miran’s 50bp dissenting vote, the Dot Plot was revised to show two more cuts this year. The result was a drop in front-end yields and the dollar.
Outlook is mixed; Australian Dollar (AUD) could trade in a range between 0.6635 and 0.6685. In the longer run, advance in AUD from early last week has come to an end; AUD is likely to consolidate in a range of 0.6600/0.6710, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The Bank of England (BOE) will likely keep rates on hold today, following a hawkish cut in August. Markets are also pricing in no chance of a cut today, but the November decision still appears to be hanging in the balance.
Pound Sterling (GBP) is likely to trade in a range between 1.3600 and 1.3665. In the longer run, the odds of GBP rising to 1.3765 have diminished noticeably, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
GBP/USD has retreated to its breakout point after surging toward 1.3725, but with momentum gauges still supportive, holding above 1.3470 would keep the broader uptrend intact, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
EUR/JPY advances more than a quarter of a percent, trading around 174.40 during the European hours on Thursday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bullish bias as the currency cross moves upwards within the ascending channel pattern.
The current price movements are likely part of a consolidation phase between 1.1785 and 1.1865. In the longer run, there is still a chance, albeit not a high one for EUR to rise toward 1.1955, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
EUR/USD was trading back below 1.180 after touching 1.1920 immediately following the FOMC announcement. Some positioning readjustments are probably contributing to the sharp EUR/USD drop during and after Powell’s press conference, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
EUR/USD pared previous losses on Thursday's early European session but failed to find acceptance above 1.1850The pair has eased to 1.1820, as investors turn their focus from the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy decision to US Jobless Claims and Manufacturing figures, due later on the US sessi
The US Dollar is trading higher against the Canadian Dollar amid broad-based Greenback strength as investors digest recent rate cuts by the Fed and the BoC.
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