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ECB's Kocher: We are at the end of the rate cut cycle, or very close to it
ECB's Kocher: We are at the end of the rate cut cycle, or very close to it
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ECB's Kocher: We are at the end of the rate cut cycle, or very close to it
Comments from the ECB policymaker, Martin Kocher
USD/CNY: Lower fix again – OCBC
USD/CNY: Lower fix again – OCBC
USD/CNY fix was set lower again this morning at 7.0968 vs 7.0995 yesterday. USD/CNH last seen at 7.1270, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Banks
USDCNH
Technical Analysis
PBOC
USDCNY
EUR/USD: The double-edged sword of French politics – ING
EUR/USD: The double-edged sword of French politics – ING
EUR/USD is enjoying a little more support as US rates soften and French PM Sébastien Lecornu looks set to survive two no-confidence votes in French parliament today – this after the Socialists were bought off with a delay in pension reforms, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
EURUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Testing support at the 1.4025 area
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Testing support at the 1.4025 area
The US Dollar is trimming gains against the Canadian Dollar for the second consecutive day on Thursday.
USDCAD
Technical Analysis
Currencies
Oil
EUR/USD wavers near highs with ECB, Fed speakers on focus
EUR/USD wavers near highs with ECB, Fed speakers on focus
EUR/USD is trading higher for the third consecutive day on Thursday and changes hands at 1.1645 at the time of writing.
EURUSD
Currencies
Majors
SEO
Technical Analysis
ECB's Wunsch: Probability of another cut has been receding
ECB's Wunsch: Probability of another cut has been receding
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ECB's Wunsch: Probability of another cut has been receding
Comments from the ECB policymaker, Pierre Wunsch
European equities see light changes at the open today
European equities see light changes at the open today
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European equities see light changes at the open today
A more tentative mood for now but US futures are slowly nudging higher on the day
Stocks
S&P 500 Analysis for Today: tradeCompass Maps Key Resistance and Bearish Setup (Oct 16)
S&P 500 Analysis for Today: tradeCompass Maps Key Resistance and Bearish Setup (Oct 16)
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S&P 500 Analysis for Today: tradeCompass Maps Key Resistance and Bearish Setup (Oct 16)
S&P 500 analysis for today: bearish bias below 6730, bullish above 6740. tradeCompass outlines VWAP and value-area targets for today's traders.
S&P Technical Analysis
S&P Futures
S&P Futures Technical Analysis
Stocks
Eurostoxx futures -0.2% in early European trading
Eurostoxx futures -0.2% in early European trading
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Eurostoxx futures -0.2% in early European trading
A slightly softer mood after the mixed showing yesterday
Stocks
FX option expiries for 16 October 10am New York cut
FX option expiries for 16 October 10am New York cut
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FX option expiries for 16 October 10am New York cut
A look at what is on the board for today
Options
Forex
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: First upside barrier emerges near 177.00
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: First upside barrier emerges near 177.00
The EUR/JPY cross gains ground near 176.15 during the early European session on Thursday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakens against the Euro (EUR) as political uncertainty in Japan would set the stage for the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to delay raising interest rates.
Crosses
EURJPY
Technical Analysis
BOJ's Tamura declines to comment on whether he will favour a rate hike this month
BOJ's Tamura declines to comment on whether he will favour a rate hike this month
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BOJ's Tamura declines to comment on whether he will favour a rate hike this month
Tamura was one of two dissenters in last month's BOJ monetary policy meeting
BofA sees China deflation easing slowly, CPI likely to stay negative in Q4
BofA sees China deflation easing slowly, CPI likely to stay negative in Q4
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BofA sees China deflation easing slowly, CPI likely to stay negative in Q4
Bank of America said China’s CPI and PPI deflation narrowed in September, reflecting base effects and policy support. It expects PPI deflation to continue easing but sees CPI likely remaining negative in Q4 amid sluggish demand.
China
pboc
BoA say China loan demand weak, infrastructure may lift Q4 credit. But, pushing on string?
BoA say China loan demand weak, infrastructure may lift Q4 credit. But, pushing on string?
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BoA say China loan demand weak, infrastructure may lift Q4 credit. But, pushing on string?
BofA says China’s credit pulse remains soft as weak property and investment demand curb loan growth.
China
pboc
Australia’s jobless rate jumps to 4.5%, fuelling RBA rate-cut bets for November - recap
Australia’s jobless rate jumps to 4.5%, fuelling RBA rate-cut bets for November - recap
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Australia’s jobless rate jumps to 4.5%, fuelling RBA rate-cut bets for November - recap
A surprise spike in joblessness strengthens the case for another RBA rate cut, even as inflation proves stubborn.
RBA
AUD
BOJ's Tamura says the Bank should lift rates closer towards neutral
BOJ's Tamura says the Bank should lift rates closer towards neutral
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BOJ's Tamura says the Bank should lift rates closer towards neutral
Bank of Japan board member Tamura voted for a rate hike at last month's meeting
Central bank heads from Japan, China, South Korea held a three way meeting
Central bank heads from Japan, China, South Korea held a three way meeting
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Central bank heads from Japan, China, South Korea held a three way meeting
Bank of Japan Governor Ueda chaired the get together
BOJ
pboc
KRW
PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.0968 (vs. estimate at 7.1186)
PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.0968 (vs. estimate at 7.1186)
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PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.0968 (vs. estimate at 7.1186)
PBOC CNY reference rate setting for the trading session ahead.
CNY
CNH
pboc
PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1186 – Reuters estimate
PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1186 – Reuters estimate
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PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1186 – Reuters estimate
PBOC CNY reference rate setting for the trading session ahead.
CNY
CNH
pboc
Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Uchida is expected to speak Thursday, October 16, 2025
Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Uchida is expected to speak Thursday, October 16, 2025
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Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Uchida is expected to speak Thursday, October 16, 2025
Uchida delivers a speech at annual meeting of credit unions. I also have Tamura speaking.
EUR/USD surges above 1.16 on Fed dovish bets, trade-war woes
EUR/USD surges above 1.16 on Fed dovish bets, trade-war woes
EUR/USD traded with gains on Wednesday, up by 0.35% and above the 1.1600 figure for the second straight day as the Greenback is pressured by firm expectations of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the escalation of the trade-war between the US and China.
Fundamental Analysis
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
Majors
SEO
RBA Kent says within neutral estimates, neutral not good guide to near-term path right now
RBA Kent says within neutral estimates, neutral not good guide to near-term path right now
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RBA Kent says within neutral estimates, neutral not good guide to near-term path right now
Reserve Bank of Australia Assistant Governor (Financial Markets) Christopher Kent
Gold rallies past $4,200 on safe-haven rush amid US political, trade chaos
Gold rallies past $4,200 on safe-haven rush amid US political, trade chaos
Gold (XAU/USD) price rallies for the fourth consecutive trading day on Wednesday, up by more than 1.40% and hitting a record high of $4,218 as the trade-war escalates and geopolitical uncertainty pushes investors to the safe-haven metal.
Gold
XAUUSD
Technical Analysis
Fundamental Analysis
SEO
The NZDUSD trades up and down with the 100 hour MA stalling the topside
The NZDUSD trades up and down with the 100 hour MA stalling the topside
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The NZDUSD trades up and down with the 100 hour MA stalling the topside
The 100 hour MA for the NZDUSD will be a key barometer for the buyers and sellers
NZD
USD
NZD/USD extends losses amid RBNZ’s dovish stance and US-China trade tensions
NZD/USD extends losses amid RBNZ’s dovish stance and US-China trade tensions
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) remains on the defensive against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, extending its losing streak to a seventh consecutive session as investors continue to punish the Kiwi despite a broadly weaker Greenback.
NZDUSD
NewZealand
UnitedStates
Technical Analysis
SupportResistance
Beige Book shows now signs of US acceleration
Beige Book shows now signs of US acceleration
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Beige Book shows now signs of US acceleration
Highlights from the October 15 Beige Book
EURUSD retests the 100 day MA and key swing area
EURUSD retests the 100 day MA and key swing area
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EURUSD retests the 100 day MA and key swing area
The swing area in the EURUSD is between 1.16449 and 1.16596. The 100 day MA is at 1.16417. Cluster of resistance being tested in the EURUSD.
EUR
USD
GBP/USD climbs as Bessent softens US stance, Powell’s dovish tilt
GBP/USD climbs as Bessent softens US stance, Powell’s dovish tilt
The Pound Sterling (GBP) recovers some ground, advancing 0.60% against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday during the North American session, as China-US tensions ease on comments of US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent.
GBPUSD
Fundamental Analysis
Majors
Technical Analysis
Fed
AUDUSD technicals: The 100 hour MA target stalls the rally on the first look. What now?
AUDUSD technicals: The 100 hour MA target stalls the rally on the first look. What now?
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AUDUSD technicals: The 100 hour MA target stalls the rally on the first look. What now?
The AUDUSD is higher on the day, extending toward the high from yesterday and the 100 hour MA at 0.65188. Can the buyers keep the momentum going?
AUD
USD
ECB's Nagel: German economy is improving
ECB's Nagel: German economy is improving
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ECB's Nagel: German economy is improving
Comments from the Bundesbank leader
USDCAD Technicals: The USDCAD remains above the old ceiling.Can momentum be reestablished?
USDCAD Technicals: The USDCAD remains above the old ceiling.Can momentum be reestablished?
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USDCAD Technicals: The USDCAD remains above the old ceiling.Can momentum be reestablished?
The USDCAD has key support between swing area at 1.4010 to 1.4021. The 38.2% of the 2025 trading range is in that area.
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