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ForexLive European FX news wrap: A breather before US retail sales, more Trump headlines
Forex news from the European morning session on Feb 14, 2025
Session wrap
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US Dollar set for a weekly loss over 1.5% in horror January Retail Sales result
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is devaluing substantially towards 106.50 at the time of writing, amounting to over 1.5% loss on the week since Monday. United
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AUD/USD: Graphical levels at 0.6330/0.6360 represent crucial resistance – Societe Generale
AUD/USD recently carved out a trough near the lower band of a multi-month channel at 0.6080 and has evolved within a base, Societe Generale's FX analysts report.
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USD/CNH: Next support at 7.2500 is unlikely to come into view – UOB Group
Provided that 7.2950 is not breached, there is a chance for US Dollar (USD) to drop below 7.2685 against CNH (Chinese Yuan). The next support at 7.2500 is unlikely to come into view.
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DXY: Lacks steady upward momentum – Societe Generale
The Dollar Index (DXY) failed to cross above January high of 110.15 in recent attempt and has gradually pulled back below the 50-DMA, Societe Generale's FX analysts report.
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AUDUSD Technical Analysis – We are testing a key resistance
The AUDUSD pair is testing a key resistance zone as the greenback loses the support from tariffs fears. What’s next?
AUD
USD
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USD/JPY: Upward momentum has largely faded – UOB Group
Outlook is unclear after the sharp swings; US Dollar (USD) could trade in a choppy manner between 152.00 and 154.00 against the Japanese Yen (JPY).
Technical Analysis
USDJPY
Banks
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USD/JPY: Still watching out for reciprocal tariff – OCBC
USD/JPY fell sharply as reciprocal tariff delay led to a turnaround in UST yields. The pair was last seen at 152.60 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Technical Analysis
USDJPY
Banks
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NZD/USD Price Forecast: Refreshes two-week high near 0.5700
The NZD/USD pair posts a fresh over two-week high around 0.5700.
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NZD/USD: Slight increase in short-term upward momentum – UOB Group
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to trade in a higher range of 0.5650/0.5700 against the US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, for the time being, NZD is likely to trade in a range between 0.5595 and 0.5720, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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Banks
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DXY: Bulls are squeezed – OCBC
US Dollar (USD) longs are caught wrongfooted. Even as Trump signed an executive order to impose reciprocal tariffs, they will not come into effect until 1 Apr.
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AUD/USD: Likely to rise to 0.6355 – UOB Group
As long as Australian Dollar (AUD) remains above 0.6270 vs US Dollar (USD), there is a chance for it to rise above 0.6330. The major resistance at 0.6355 is likely out of reach for now.
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EURUSD Technical Analysis – The greenback lost the support from tariffs fears
The EURUSD pair is breaking above some key levels as the US Dollar lost its last support coming from the tariffs fears. What’s next?
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USD: Reciprocal tariffs seen as 'unworkable' – ING
The US Dollar (USD) is a little weaker in Europe today on the back of slightly lower US interest rates, ongoing optimism about an end to the war in Ukraine, and a US reciprocal tariff package which was hard to decipher.
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Banks
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USD/JPY extends downside to near 152.60 as USD weakens across the board
The USD/JPY pair falls further to near 152.60 in Friday’s European session.
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Finance Magnates
Why Is XRP Going Up: SEC Acknowledges Grayscale’s XRP ETF Filing
The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has formally acknowledged Grayscale’s 19b-4 filing for an XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF).
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GBPUSD Technical Analysis – The USD lost the support from the tariffs fears
The GBPUSD pair broke above a key resistance zone following a benign US PPI and the Trump’s reciprocal tariffs announcement. What’s next?
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USD
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EUR/USD gains on delay in Trump’s reciprocal tariffs, poor US Retail Sales data
EUR/USD extends its winning streak for the fourth trading session on Friday.
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Eurozone GDP rises 0.1% QoQ in Q4 2024, beating the preliminary estimate
The Eurozone economy witnessed a growth of 0.1% in the quarter to December of 2024, surpassing the preliminary reading of 0%, the second estimate released by Eurostat showed on Friday.
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GDP
Employment
Eurozone
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GBP/USD: Levels to watch are 1.2600 and 1.2655 – UOB Group
There appears to be enough momentum for Pound Sterling (GBP) vs US Dollar (USD) to rise further, but any advance is likely part of a higher 1.2480/1.2600 range.
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Eurozone Q4 preliminary GDP +0.1% vs 0.0% q/q expected
Latest data released by Eurostat - 14 February 2025
EUR
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EUR: A little more room to correct – ING
The components of yesterday's US January PPI release which read over to the core PCE deflator came in quite benign yesterday, ING’s FX analysts Chris Turner notes.
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EUR/USD: Buoyed by peace dividend, tariff delay – OCBC
Euro (EUR) vs US Dollar (USD) continued to trade higher on news that reciprocal tariffs does not comes into effect immediately but sometime in 1 Apr. The 6weeks+ push suggests that Trump may want to leverage on the threats to open up negotiations with some trade partners.
Technical Analysis
EURUSD
Banks
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European Commission: US President Trump’s reciprocal tariffs are a step in the wrong direction
Responding to US President Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariffs plan on Friday, the European Commission noted that “Trump's reciprocal tariffs are a step in the wrong direction.” Additional takeaways The European Union (EU) remains committed to an open and predictable global trading system that benefits everyone.
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EURUSD
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EUR/USD: Technical target for EUR is 1.0530 – UOB Group
Outlook for Euro (EUR) vs US Dollar (USD) is positive, with a technical target of 1.0530. In the longer run, scope for EUR to test 1.0495; the major resistance at 1.0530 is unlikely to come under threat, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Technical Analysis
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Banks
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Finance Magnates
Zelle's $1 Trillion Triumph: The P2P Powerhouse Outpacing PayPal
Zelle's P2P payments surpassed $1 trillion in 2024, outpacing PayPal, boosting small business transactions, and attracting younger, tech-savvy users.
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P2P payments
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EU says Trump's reciprocal tariffs are a step in the wrong direction
The European Commission is out with an opening salvo of commentary in response to Trump
EUR
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Finance Magnates
ATFX Attends ACBC NSW Chinese New Year Gala 2025
ATFX's presence at the Gala will help the company strengthen Australia-China Business Ties.
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Oleh
Fxstreet
Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data
Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Friday, according to FXStreet data.
Silver
Commodities
Metals
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Fxstreet
Gold faces pressure just ahead of a fresh all-time high
Gold’s price (XAU/USD) is ticking higher and heads to $2,935 at the time of writing on Friday, holding good cards to close out this week with a new all-time high and solid gains. The latest leg up comes after United States (US) President Donald Trump
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China January M2 money supply +7.0% vs +7.2% y/y expected
Latest November credit data for January 2025 has been released
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USDCAD Technical Analysis – We finally broke below a key support
The USDCAD pair broke below a key support yesterday following a benign US PPI and the Trump’s reciprocal tariffs announcement. What’s next?
CAD
USD
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Today's Ethereum Trading Map for Crypto Trader by tradeCompass
We analyze Ethereum futures and are bullish above $2690 and bearish below $2690
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Crypto
Crypto Technical Analysis
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ETH
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Crude Oil price today: WTI price bullish, according to FXStreet data
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price advances on Friday, according to FXStreet data.
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Gold Technical Analysis – The US PPI saves the day
Gold is approaching the recent highs as the market participants eye a new all-time high. What’s next?
Gold
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Fxstreet
Pound Sterling gains further against USD as US Retail Sales decline faster-than-expected
The Pound Sterling (GBP) posts a fresh eight-week high around 1.2600 against the US Dollar (USD) in Friday’s North American session.
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BOE
Fed
GDP
SEO
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European indices take a chill pill to start the final trading day of the week
It's been yet another blazing week for European stocks in general
Stocks
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Forex Live
Spain January final CPI +2.9% vs +3.0% y/y prelim
Latest data released by INE - 14 February 2025
EUR
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Fxstreet
WTI rises to near $71.50 amid increasing fuel demand
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude Oil price extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around $71.50 per barrel during early European hours on Friday.
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What are the main events for today?
The US Retail Sales data is the main highlight
market overview
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