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The USD is moving lower after the US retail sales miss.
US stocks indices remain marginally lower ahead of the open. Yields are lower
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Finance Magnates
VARA Warns on Memecoins as Capitalization Hits $120B: MOEI Partners with Shiba Inu
Dubai’s VARA recently issued a consumer alert addressing the risks associated with advertisements promoting subscriptions to memecoins.
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Fxstreet
US Retail Sales decline 0.9% in January vs -0.1% expected
Retail Sales in the US declined by 0.9% in January to $723.9 billion, the US Census Bureau announced on Friday.
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Canadian consumer spending struggled in January - RBC
Highlights of the RBC Canadian consumer spending tracker
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US export prices for January +1.3% versus 0.3% estimate. Import prices +0.3% vs +0.4%
US import and export prices for January 2025
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US retail sales for January. -0.9% versus -0.1% est. Control group -0.8% versus 0.3% est.
Details of US retail sales for the month of January 2025
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Canada manufacturing sales for December 0.3% vs 0.7% expected
Canada manufacturing sales and wholesale trade
CAD
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Fxstreet
GBP extends gains through upper 1.25s – Scotiabank
Pound Sterling (GBP) is up modestly vs US Dollar (USD) on the session at writing after backing off slightly from the overnight peak just shy of 1.26—its highest level since the end of last year, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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EUR steady on the day, firmer on the week – Scotiabank
The Euro (EUR) is little changed on the day against the US Dollar (USD) but has racked up a solid net gain on the week, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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A busy economic calendar today in the North American session
Retail sales, industrial production, and business inventories highlight the releases
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CAD extends rebound through resistance at 1.4250/60 – Scotiabank
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is up only smalls on the day and is lagging most of its G10 peers in their recovery against the big dollar on the week but the push under 1.42 is quite impressive from my point of view, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD rallies above $33 despite Trump tariff fears ease
Silver price (XAG/USD) surges over 2.5% to near $33.30 in Friday’s North American session, the highest level seen in more than three months.
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Kickstart the NA session with at technical look at the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD
The USD is marginally lower. Stocks are lower in pre-market and US yields are mixed to start the US trading day
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USD: Longs reduce exposure on tariff delay – Scotiabank
The US Dollar (USD) is generally softer on the day and is ending the week with a sizeable loss that leaves the DXY trading at its lowest level since mid-December.
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ForexLive European FX news wrap: A breather before US retail sales, more Trump headlines
Forex news from the European morning session on Feb 14, 2025
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Oleh
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US Dollar set for a weekly loss over 1.5% in horror January Retail Sales result
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is devaluing substantially towards 106.50 at the time of writing, amounting to over 1.5% loss on the week since Monday. United
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AUD/USD: Graphical levels at 0.6330/0.6360 represent crucial resistance – Societe Generale
AUD/USD recently carved out a trough near the lower band of a multi-month channel at 0.6080 and has evolved within a base, Societe Generale's FX analysts report.
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USD/CNH: Next support at 7.2500 is unlikely to come into view – UOB Group
Provided that 7.2950 is not breached, there is a chance for US Dollar (USD) to drop below 7.2685 against CNH (Chinese Yuan). The next support at 7.2500 is unlikely to come into view.
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DXY: Lacks steady upward momentum – Societe Generale
The Dollar Index (DXY) failed to cross above January high of 110.15 in recent attempt and has gradually pulled back below the 50-DMA, Societe Generale's FX analysts report.
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AUDUSD Technical Analysis – We are testing a key resistance
The AUDUSD pair is testing a key resistance zone as the greenback loses the support from tariffs fears. What’s next?
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USD/JPY: Upward momentum has largely faded – UOB Group
Outlook is unclear after the sharp swings; US Dollar (USD) could trade in a choppy manner between 152.00 and 154.00 against the Japanese Yen (JPY).
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USD/JPY: Still watching out for reciprocal tariff – OCBC
USD/JPY fell sharply as reciprocal tariff delay led to a turnaround in UST yields. The pair was last seen at 152.60 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
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NZD/USD Price Forecast: Refreshes two-week high near 0.5700
The NZD/USD pair posts a fresh over two-week high around 0.5700.
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NZD/USD: Slight increase in short-term upward momentum – UOB Group
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to trade in a higher range of 0.5650/0.5700 against the US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, for the time being, NZD is likely to trade in a range between 0.5595 and 0.5720, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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DXY: Bulls are squeezed – OCBC
US Dollar (USD) longs are caught wrongfooted. Even as Trump signed an executive order to impose reciprocal tariffs, they will not come into effect until 1 Apr.
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AUD/USD: Likely to rise to 0.6355 – UOB Group
As long as Australian Dollar (AUD) remains above 0.6270 vs US Dollar (USD), there is a chance for it to rise above 0.6330. The major resistance at 0.6355 is likely out of reach for now.
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EURUSD Technical Analysis – The greenback lost the support from tariffs fears
The EURUSD pair is breaking above some key levels as the US Dollar lost its last support coming from the tariffs fears. What’s next?
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USD: Reciprocal tariffs seen as 'unworkable' – ING
The US Dollar (USD) is a little weaker in Europe today on the back of slightly lower US interest rates, ongoing optimism about an end to the war in Ukraine, and a US reciprocal tariff package which was hard to decipher.
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USD/JPY extends downside to near 152.60 as USD weakens across the board
The USD/JPY pair falls further to near 152.60 in Friday’s European session.
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Finance Magnates
Why Is XRP Going Up: SEC Acknowledges Grayscale’s XRP ETF Filing
The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has formally acknowledged Grayscale’s 19b-4 filing for an XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF).
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GBPUSD Technical Analysis – The USD lost the support from the tariffs fears
The GBPUSD pair broke above a key resistance zone following a benign US PPI and the Trump’s reciprocal tariffs announcement. What’s next?
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EUR/USD gains on delay in Trump’s reciprocal tariffs, poor US Retail Sales data
EUR/USD extends its winning streak for the fourth trading session on Friday.
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Eurozone GDP rises 0.1% QoQ in Q4 2024, beating the preliminary estimate
The Eurozone economy witnessed a growth of 0.1% in the quarter to December of 2024, surpassing the preliminary reading of 0%, the second estimate released by Eurostat showed on Friday.
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GBP/USD: Levels to watch are 1.2600 and 1.2655 – UOB Group
There appears to be enough momentum for Pound Sterling (GBP) vs US Dollar (USD) to rise further, but any advance is likely part of a higher 1.2480/1.2600 range.
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Eurozone Q4 preliminary GDP +0.1% vs 0.0% q/q expected
Latest data released by Eurostat - 14 February 2025
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EUR: A little more room to correct – ING
The components of yesterday's US January PPI release which read over to the core PCE deflator came in quite benign yesterday, ING’s FX analysts Chris Turner notes.
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EUR/USD: Buoyed by peace dividend, tariff delay – OCBC
Euro (EUR) vs US Dollar (USD) continued to trade higher on news that reciprocal tariffs does not comes into effect immediately but sometime in 1 Apr. The 6weeks+ push suggests that Trump may want to leverage on the threats to open up negotiations with some trade partners.
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European Commission: US President Trump’s reciprocal tariffs are a step in the wrong direction
Responding to US President Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariffs plan on Friday, the European Commission noted that “Trump's reciprocal tariffs are a step in the wrong direction.” Additional takeaways The European Union (EU) remains committed to an open and predictable global trading system that benefits everyone.
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EUR/USD: Technical target for EUR is 1.0530 – UOB Group
Outlook for Euro (EUR) vs US Dollar (USD) is positive, with a technical target of 1.0530. In the longer run, scope for EUR to test 1.0495; the major resistance at 1.0530 is unlikely to come under threat, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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Finance Magnates
Zelle's $1 Trillion Triumph: The P2P Powerhouse Outpacing PayPal
Zelle's P2P payments surpassed $1 trillion in 2024, outpacing PayPal, boosting small business transactions, and attracting younger, tech-savvy users.
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