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investingLive Americas FX news wrap 3 Dec: ADP employment report weaker than expectations
investingLive Americas FX news wrap 3 Dec: ADP employment report weaker than expectations
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investingLive Americas FX news wrap 3 Dec: ADP employment report weaker than expectations
Forex news for North American trading on Dec 3, 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Nth America
EUR/USD strengthens as weak US labor data pushes cut odds to 90%
EUR/USD strengthens as weak US labor data pushes cut odds to 90%
EUR/USD surges over 0.40% on Wednesday after economic data in the US reinforced bets that the Federal Reserve would cut rates at the December 9-10 meeting. The pair trades at 1.1668 after bouncing off daily lows of 1.1617.
Fundamental Analysis
Technical Analysis
EURUSD
Majors
SEO
Economic calendar in Asia Thursday, December 4, 2025 - Australian trade data
Economic calendar in Asia Thursday, December 4, 2025 - Australian trade data
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Economic calendar in Asia Thursday, December 4, 2025 - Australian trade data
Asian Economic Calendar: Key events and consensus expectations for 04 December 2025
economic calendar
Dow Jones Industrial Average gains 420 points as rate cut hopes climb
Dow Jones Industrial Average gains 420 points as rate cut hopes climb
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) rose 420 points on Wednesday, sparked by renewed market optimism that the US economy is performing so poorly that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will be forced to deliver a third straight interest rate cut in December.
DowJones
Equities
SEO
AUD/USD gains as US Dollar falters on Fed Chair speculation, RBA hawkish tone
AUD/USD gains as US Dollar falters on Fed Chair speculation, RBA hawkish tone
AUD/USD trades firmly on Wednesday, around 0.6590 at the time of writing, up 0.50% on the day.
AUDUSD
FX Today: Attention shifts to the US employment data
FX Today: Attention shifts to the US employment data
The US Dollar (USD) remained well on the defensive on Wednesday, receding to levels last seen in late October amid mounting bets for another interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve at its meeting next week.
DollarIndex
EURUSD
Currencies
Employment
Fed
Gasparino: Wall Street does not like Hassett.
Gasparino: Wall Street does not like Hassett.
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Gasparino: Wall Street does not like Hassett.
Hassett lacks credibility is what they say.
WTI edges higher even as EIA data signals weaker demand
WTI edges higher even as EIA data signals weaker demand
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) edges higher on Wednesday after a brief dip as traders digest the latest US Energy Information Administration (EIA) crude inventory report. At the time of writing, WTI is trading near $59.10, up nearly 1.00% on the day.
WTI
Oil
Technical Analysis
SupportResistance
Nvidia's CEO Jenson Huang seen entering Speaker Johnson's office
Nvidia's CEO Jenson Huang seen entering Speaker Johnson's office
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Nvidia's CEO Jenson Huang seen entering Speaker Johnson's office
Look for insiders buyers on Capital Hill (Ha-Ha).
US Treasury’s Bessent: No one understands Fed's balance sheet function
US Treasury’s Bessent: No one understands Fed's balance sheet function
United States (US) Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that he would, going forward, press for the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Board of Governors to veto appointments of candidates who have not satisfied the threshold of living in their respective districts for at least three years.
UnitedStates
Fed
Macroeconomics
ECB’s Lagarde: Underlying inflation remains consistent
ECB’s Lagarde: Underlying inflation remains consistent
European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde said that growth in economic activity should benefit from increased household spending and a resilient labor market, testifying before the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs of the European Parliament, in Brussels on Wednesday.
ECB
EURUSD
CentralBanks
Inflation
InterestRate
The weekly EIA oil inventory data is delayed
The weekly EIA oil inventory data is delayed
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The weekly EIA oil inventory data is delayed
There are some reports trickling that the crude oil inventory is at 0.574 build (vs -841M drawdown est) but that is not confirmed.
GBP/USD soars to one-month high as speculation over Hassett fuels Fed-pivot bets
GBP/USD soars to one-month high as speculation over Hassett fuels Fed-pivot bets
GBP/USD rallies on Wednesday during the North American session, surpassing the 1.3300 figure as market participants price in a more dovish Federal Reserve (Fed), as rumors grow that the White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett could become the next Chair, taking Jerome Powell’s reins.
GBPUSD
Majors
Currencies
Fundamental Analysis
Fed
EUR/USD climbs toward six-week highs as weak US data pressures the Dollar
EUR/USD climbs toward six-week highs as weak US data pressures the Dollar
The Euro (EUR) trades on the front foot against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday as the Greenback remains under sustained selling pressure amid dovish Federal Reserve expectations, while traders digest the latest US services sector data.
EURUSD
UnitedStates
PMI
Employment
Fed
Microsoft: We did not lower our AI sales quotas
Microsoft: We did not lower our AI sales quotas
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Microsoft: We did not lower our AI sales quotas
The Information reported a lower of the sales quota
JPY advances on narrowing yield spreads to 2022 Lows – Scotiabank
JPY advances on narrowing yield spreads to 2022 Lows – Scotiabank
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is strengthening again, up 0.3% against the US Dollar (USD) as USD/JPY moves back toward Monday’s lows and threatens a broader retracement of its mid-November weakness, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
USDJPY
Banks
BOJ
Japan
NZD/USD gains on strong Chinese data, US labor market weakness
NZD/USD gains on strong Chinese data, US labor market weakness
NZD/USD holds in positive territory around 0.5750 on Wednesday, up 0.20% on the day at the time of writing.
NZDUSD
GBP outperforms G10 peers as risk appetite improves – Scotiabank
GBP outperforms G10 peers as risk appetite improves – Scotiabank
The Pound Sterling (GBP) is the day’s top G10 performer after Norwegian Krone (NOK), with sentiment-driven buying pushing GBP higher as risk reversals recover to late-August levels, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
Banks
GBPUSD
Currencies
BOE
EUR: Euroarea’s political situation somewhat improves – Scotiabank
EUR: Euroarea’s political situation somewhat improves – Scotiabank
The Euro (EUR) is up 0.3% against the US Dollar (USD) and a mid-performer among the G10, climbing to fresh local highs at levels last seen in late October.
EURUSD
Banks
ECB
Bonds
CAD edges higher as softer USD and risk-on tone support – Scotiabank
CAD edges higher as softer USD and risk-on tone support – Scotiabank
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) gained modestly as a weaker US Dollar (USD), firmer risk sentiment, and stronger commodity prices helped lift the currency toward its estimated fair value.
USDCAD
Banks
Canada
Oil
US Treasury’s Bessent: Regional Fed banks don't necessarily represent their districts
US Treasury’s Bessent: Regional Fed banks don't necessarily represent their districts
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Wednesday that he is advocating that regional Federal Reserve (Fed) bank presidents must have lived in their district for three years, per Reuters.
UnitedStates
Fed
CentralBanks
Macroeconomics
USD softens as Trump signals Hassett for Fed Chair – Scotiabank
USD softens as Trump signals Hassett for Fed Chair – Scotiabank
The US Dollar (USD) twitched nervously yesterday as President Trump referred to CEA head Hassett as the 'potential' Fed chair.
DollarIndex
Banks
Fed
Treasury Secretary Bessent: Trump has normalized the idea of a 15-20% tariff
Treasury Secretary Bessent: Trump has normalized the idea of a 15-20% tariff
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Treasury Secretary Bessent: Trump has normalized the idea of a 15-20% tariff
Treasury Secretary Bessent speaking at the New York Times Deal Book summit
USD/CAD declines as soft ADP report reinforces dovish Fed outlook
USD/CAD declines as soft ADP report reinforces dovish Fed outlook
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday as the Greenback remains under broad pressure amid a firmly dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) outlook. At the time of writing, USD/CAD is trading around 1.3950, edging close to one-month lows as bearish momentum builds.
USDCAD
BOC
Fed
Employment
InterestRate
US September industrial production 0.1% versus 0.0% expected
US September industrial production 0.1% versus 0.0% expected
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US September industrial production 0.1% versus 0.0% expected
US industrial production and capacity utilization for the month of September 2025
Lagarde speech: Eurozone growth supported by household spending, labour market
Lagarde speech: Eurozone growth supported by household spending, labour market
In her introductory statement before the European Parliament’s Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs (ECON), European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde said the Eurozone economy should gain support from improving household spending and a resilient labour market.
Microsoft lower AI sales quotas.
Microsoft lower AI sales quotas.
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Microsoft lower AI sales quotas.
Stocks move lower. Microsoft is down -2% in premarket trading
Stocks
EUR/CHF steady as Swiss inflation slides to 0.0% ahead of SNB meeting
EUR/CHF steady as Swiss inflation slides to 0.0% ahead of SNB meeting
The Euro (EUR) trades flat against the Swiss Franc (CHF) on Wednesday as traders digest a fresh batch of Swiss inflation figures alongside Eurozone Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) surveys and Producer Price Index (PPI) data.
EURCHF
Eurozone
PMI
Switzerland
CPI
ADP National employment for November -32K vs 10K est.
ADP National employment for November -32K vs 10K est.
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ADP National employment for November -32K vs 10K est.
The monthly ADP employment numbers for the month of November 2025.
Breaking: US ISM Services PMI surpasses consensus in November
Breaking: US ISM Services PMI surpasses consensus in November
Fresh data from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) showed the Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) picking up to 52.6 in November from 52.4, beating expectations of 52.1 and signalling a bit more momentum in the sector.
Breaking
EURUSD
PMI
Fed
EconomicIndicator
AUD: Australia Q3 GDP comes slightly below forecast – MUFG
AUD: Australia Q3 GDP comes slightly below forecast – MUFG
Australia’s economy expanded 0.4% in Q3, below the RBA’s 0.5% forecast, though Q2 growth was revised up to 0.7%, keeping the annual pace near 2%.
Banks
Australia
AUDUSD
RBA
GDP
investingLive European FX news wrap: Swiss CPI misses again, USD falls as yields retreat
investingLive European FX news wrap: Swiss CPI misses again, USD falls as yields retreat
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investingLive European FX news wrap: Swiss CPI misses again, USD falls as yields retreat
Forex news from the European morning session on Dec 3, 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Europe
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