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USD softens as weak jobs data reinforce dovish Fed risks – Scotiabank
USD softens as weak jobs data reinforce dovish Fed risks – Scotiabank
The US Dollar (USD) remains under pressure as soft labor data and speculation about a more dovish Fed tilt weigh on sentiment, even as OIS markets resist pricing deeper cuts.
DollarIndex
Fed
Banks
Employment
Jobs survey from Revelio Labs sees 9K US job losses in November
Jobs survey from Revelio Labs sees 9K US job losses in November
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Jobs survey from Revelio Labs sees 9K US job losses in November
With no non-farm payrolls report, that's the best we've got
Chicago Fed unemployment tracker 4.44% vs 4.46% prior
Chicago Fed unemployment tracker 4.44% vs 4.46% prior
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Chicago Fed unemployment tracker 4.44% vs 4.46% prior
The Chicago Fed tried to adjust without non-farm payrolls
US: Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 191K last week
US: Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 191K last week
The number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance went down to 191K for the week ending November 29, according to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday.
Employment
UnitedStates
EconomicIndicator
US initial jobless claims 191K versus 220K estimate
US initial jobless claims 191K versus 220K estimate
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US initial jobless claims 191K versus 220K estimate
The weekly initial and continuing jobless claims
EURJPY slips as Yen strengthens on rising BoJ rate hike expectations
EURJPY slips as Yen strengthens on rising BoJ rate hike expectations
The Euro (EUR) weakens against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Thursday as the Yen outperforms major peers, buoyed by growing speculation that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) could raise interest rates at its upcoming December 19 monetary policy meeting.
EURJPY
Japan
BOJ
InterestRate
Eurozone
USD/CAD picks up from 1.3940 lows ahead of US and Canadian data
USD/CAD picks up from 1.3940 lows ahead of US and Canadian data
The US Dollar is showing moderate gains against its Canadian counterpart on Thursday, trading at 1.3970 after bouncing from five-week lows near 1.3940.
USDCAD
Currencies
Majors
US November Challenger layoffs 71.321k vs 153.074k prior
US November Challenger layoffs 71.321k vs 153.074k prior
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US November Challenger layoffs 71.321k vs 153.074k prior
Latest data released by Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc. - 4 December 2025
investingLive European markets wrap: Yen extends gains as BOJ looks poised to hike rates
investingLive European markets wrap: Yen extends gains as BOJ looks poised to hike rates
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investingLive European markets wrap: Yen extends gains as BOJ looks poised to hike rates
Market news from the European morning session on 4 December 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Europe
Gold consolidates near $4,200 amid Fed rate cut expectations
Gold consolidates near $4,200 amid Fed rate cut expectations
Gold (XAU/USD) holds steady on Thursday, moving quietly within the $4,160-$4,260 range as investors adopt a wait-and-see approach ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy meeting next week.
Gold
XAUUSD
SEO
Technical Analysis
Fed
 USD/JPY extends losses to fresh two-week lows near 154.50
 USD/JPY extends losses to fresh two-week lows near 154.50
The US Dollar-Yen recovery attempt seen during Thursday’s early Asian session was capped at 155.50, and the pair resumed its broader bearish trend during the European trading session, breaching Monday’s low of 154.65 to hit fresh two-week lows near 154.50 at the time of writing.
USDJPY
Currencies
Majors
BOJ
AUD/USD rallies further around 0.6600 as RBA seems done with rate cuts
AUD/USD rallies further around 0.6600 as RBA seems done with rate cuts
The AUD/USD pair extends its winning streak for the tenth trading day on Thursday.
AUDUSD
Fed
RBA
InterestRate
Inflation
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD is looking for direction at $4,200
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD is looking for direction at $4,200
Gold (XAU/USD) is posting minor losses for the third consecutive day on Thursday, weighed by lower demand for safe havens amid a moderate risk appetite. The precious metal, however, remains supported above the mid-range of the $4,100s with the $4,264 high at a short distance.
XAUUSD
Gold
Commodities
Technical Analysis
USD/CNH recovers from one-year low – BBH
USD/CNH recovers from one-year low – BBH
USD/CNH bounced from a one-year-plus low as the PBOC set a higher-than-expected fixing, signaling managed support for yuan appreciation. A stronger Yuan could help China pivot towards consumer-led growth, while the USD/CNH downtrend remains intact, BBH FX analysts report.
Banks
USDCNY
USDCNH
PBOC
Technical Analysis
USD/JPY slides below 155 amid strong JGB demand – BBH
USD/JPY slides below 155 amid strong JGB demand – BBH
USD/JPY dipped below 155.00 as strong demand for Japan’s 30-year government bonds pushed yields lower, highlighting investor appetite ahead of the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) December rate decision, BBH FX analysts report.
USDJPY
Banks
BOJ
Technical Analysis
GBP/USD holds gains above 200-DMA – BBH
GBP/USD holds gains above 200-DMA – BBH
GBP/USD remains supported after yesterday’s rally, trading above its 200-day moving average, even as the DMP survey signals moderate wage growth, BBH FX analysts report.
GBPUSD
Banks
BOE
USD mixed as markets anticipate Fed cuts – BBH
USD mixed as markets anticipate Fed cuts – BBH
US Dollar (USD) remains mixed as bets on Fed rate cuts rise amid disappointing ADP payrolls and signs of easing inflation pressures. US labor market shows strain with negative job trends, even as services activity holds up, keeping focus on upcoming job cuts and claims data, BBH FX analysts report.
DollarIndex
Banks
Fed
Fed cut expected to boost EUR/USD – Danske Bank
Fed cut expected to boost EUR/USD – Danske Bank
EUR/USD may rise as markets price in a December Fed rate cut, with structural factors and energy markets providing additional support.
EURUSD
Banks
Gas
Fed
Eurozone Retail Sales remain flat on month in October vs. 0.1% growth prior
Eurozone Retail Sales remain flat on month in October vs. 0.1% growth prior
The Eurozone Retail Sales, which is a key measure of consumer spending, remains flat month-on-month (MoM) in October, while it was expected to grow by 0.1%, reported by Eurostat on Thursday. In September, the consumer spending measure rose by 0.1%, revised from a negative 0.1%.
EURUSD
Eurozone
RetailSales
Eurozone October retail sales 0.0% vs 0.0% m/m expected
Eurozone October retail sales 0.0% vs 0.0% m/m expected
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Eurozone October retail sales 0.0% vs 0.0% m/m expected
Latest data released by Eurostat - 4 December 2025
EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Euro bounces from 0.8737 lows with bears still in control
EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Euro bounces from 0.8737 lows with bears still in control
The Euro is picking up from five-week lows near 0.8735 on Thursday, as the Pound loses steam, following Wednesday’s rally. The pair, however, maintains its bearish trend intact, with technical indicators pointing lower and investors upbeat about the details of the UK budget.
EURGBP
Technical Analysis
Currencies
Crosses
USD/BRL consolidates near September lows – Société Générale
USD/BRL consolidates near September lows – Société Générale
USD/BRL remains range-bound after hitting an interim low near 5.27, with momentum indicators showing potential for a pause in the downtrend, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
Banks
USDBRL
Technical Analysis
USD/JPY falls below 155 amid softer US Dollar – MUFG
USD/JPY falls below 155 amid softer US Dollar – MUFG
USD/JPY dropped below 155 as a weaker dollar and lower US yields provided support, while markets anticipate a potential BoJ rate hike.
USDJPY
Banks
Technical Analysis
BOJ
EUR/USD extends uptrend after channel breakout – Société Générale
EUR/USD extends uptrend after channel breakout – Société Générale
EUR/USD has broken above the upper boundary of a descending channel, extending its upward momentum while holding support at 1.1550, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
UpTrend
China state-owned banks reportedly buying dollars to tame the surging yuan
China state-owned banks reportedly buying dollars to tame the surging yuan
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China state-owned banks reportedly buying dollars to tame the surging yuan
Reuters reports, citing people with knowledge of the matter
CNY
CNH
Forex
USD weakens below 99 as dollar sell-off continues – MUFG
USD weakens below 99 as dollar sell-off continues – MUFG
The US Dollar (USD) fell below 99, benefiting the pound, NOK, AUD, and NZD, amid signs of weak labor demand and easing service-sector inflation pressures.
DollarIndex
Banks
Technical Analysis
Fundamental Analysis
EURUSD
UK November construction PMI 39.4 vs 44.1 expected
UK November construction PMI 39.4 vs 44.1 expected
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UK November construction PMI 39.4 vs 44.1 expected
Latest data released by S&P Global - 4 December 2025
Silver price today: Silver falls, according to FXStreet data
Silver price today: Silver falls, according to FXStreet data
Silver prices (XAG/USD) fell on Thursday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $57.11 per troy ounce, down 2.36% from the $58.49 it cost on Wednesday.
Silver
Commodities
Metals
CHF: Swiss inflation shows early signs of stabilization – Commerzbank
CHF: Swiss inflation shows early signs of stabilization – Commerzbank
Swiss inflation data for November indicate stabilization, keeping pressure on further rate cuts low and supporting the Swiss Franc (CHF).
Banks
USDCHF
Switzerland
EURCHF
SNB
GBP resilient amid budget scrutiny – DBS
GBP resilient amid budget scrutiny – DBS
The Pound Sterling (GBP) shrugged off Autumn Budget worries, supported by orderly gilt markets and cautious OBR growth forecasts. Softening US Dollar (USD) and Fed-cut expectations continue to drive GBP gains, DBS' Senior FX Strategist Philip Wee notes.
GBPUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
Light changes among major currencies to start the session
Light changes among major currencies to start the session
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Light changes among major currencies to start the session
Not a whole lot in it as we get things going in European morning trade
Forex
USD faces pressure as Fed policy expectations diverge – Commerzbank
USD faces pressure as Fed policy expectations diverge – Commerzbank
US monetary policy expectations may be too hawkish, with political pressures potentially driving looser policy and weighing on the US Dollar (USD).
DollarIndex
Banks
Fed
NZD/USD bounces up from session lows and approaches 0.5800
NZD/USD bounces up from session lows and approaches 0.5800
The New Zealand Dollar bears have been contained above the mid-range of the 0.5700s on Thursday, and the pair bounced up in the early European session, returning to levels five-month highs, near 0.5780.
NZDUSD
Currencies
Fed
RBNZ
Pound Sterling trades broadly upbeat against US Dollar amid firm Fed dovish bets
Pound Sterling trades broadly upbeat against US Dollar amid firm Fed dovish bets
The Pound Sterling (GBP) clings to gains near its over-a-month high around 1.3350 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Thursday.
GBPUSD
BOE
Fed
DollarIndex
SEO
USDJPY Technical Analysis: The JPY gains as the BoJ prepares for a rate hike
USDJPY Technical Analysis: The JPY gains as the BoJ prepares for a rate hike
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USDJPY Technical Analysis: The JPY gains as the BoJ prepares for a rate hike
The USDJPY pair continues to move lower as speculations for a December BoJ hike grow larger. What's next?
JPY
USD
EUR/USD hesitates near highs with all eyes on US Jobless Claims
EUR/USD hesitates near highs with all eyes on US Jobless Claims
EUR/USD keeps trading back and forth on Wednesday, and holds marginal gains on the daily chart at 1.1670, after hitting the highest levels in more than six weeks, at 1.1682.
EURUSD
Currencies
Fundamental Analysis
Technical Analysis
SEO
Germany November construction PMI 45.2 vs 42.8 prior
Germany November construction PMI 45.2 vs 42.8 prior
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Germany November construction PMI 45.2 vs 42.8 prior
Latest data released by HCOB - 4 December 2025
DXY slides below 99 amid softer US data – DBS
DXY slides below 99 amid softer US data – DBS
The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell below 99 as weak ADP payrolls and easing ISM prices reinforce expectations of a December Fed rate cut.
DollarIndex
Fed
Banks
ECB’s Cipollone: There are still many risks in the pipeline
ECB’s Cipollone: There are still many risks in the pipeline
European Central Bank (ECB) executive board member Piero Cipollone said in an interview with Nikkei during the European trading session on Thursday that monetary policy adjustments would be required if economic conditions don’t act in line with expectations.
EURUSD
ECB
DollarIndex
Japanese yen gains pick up as BOJ looks to win first showdown against Takaichi
Japanese yen gains pick up as BOJ looks to win first showdown against Takaichi
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Japanese yen gains pick up as BOJ looks to win first showdown against Takaichi
A rate hike by the BOJ later this month looks all but settled
JPY
Forex
Broker Rebates