Forex elemzések és előrejelzések

BoC preview: a rate cut is expected but the focus will centre on forward guidance

By Investing Live

BoC preview: a rate cut is expected but the focus will centre on forward guidance

The BoC is widely expected to cut by 25 bps bringing their policy rate to 2.25%. Will the central bank signal an end to the easing cycle or keep the market guessing on another cut?

BOC

Válasz

Fed poised to cut rates again today but will there be hints about a move in December?

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By Investing Live

Fed poised to cut rates again today but will there be hints about a move in December?

Fed chair Powell likely to err on the side of caution but markets are believing that another rate cut after today should be a given

Fed

Válasz

USD/CNH: Continued decline below 7.0860 is unlikely – UOB Group

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By Fxstreet

USD/CNH: Continued decline below 7.0860 is unlikely – UOB Group

US Dollar (USD) could test 7.0860; a continued decline below this level is unlikely. The next support at 7.0700 is also unlikely to come under threat.

Banks

Technical Analysis

USDCNH

Válasz

USD/JPY might drop further to 151.30 – UOB Group

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By Fxstreet

USD/JPY might drop further to 151.30 – UOB Group

Strong momentum suggests US Dollar (USD) could drop further to 151.30; it remains to be seen if 151.00 will come into view. In the longer run, USD could weaken, but any decline is likely part of a lower range of 151.00/152.70, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

USDJPY

Technical Analysis

Banks

Válasz

NZD/USD is likely to test 0.5800 in short term – UOB Group

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Fxstreet

NZD/USD is likely to test 0.5800 in short term – UOB Group

There is a chance for New Zealand Dollar (NZD) to test 0.5800; a clear break above this level appears unlikely.

NZDUSD

Technical Analysis

Banks

Válasz

Fed preview: what's priced in and what could surprise the market?

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By Investing Live

Fed preview: what's priced in and what could surprise the market?

The Fed is widely expected to cut interest rates by 25 bps bringing the policy rate to 3.75-4.00% and announce an end to QT. The base case is for the central bank to keep the status quo, but there's a small chance we could get a hawkish surprise

Fed

Válasz

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Fxstreet

DXY: FOMC tonight – OCBC

US Dollar (USD) continued to ease slightly from recent highs. DXY last at 98.82, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

DollarIndex

Banks

Technical Analysis

Fed

Válasz

AUD/USD: Unlikely to be able to break above 0.6630 today – UOB Group

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By Fxstreet

AUD/USD: Unlikely to be able to break above 0.6630 today – UOB Group

Australian Dollar (AUD) could continue to strengthen but is unlikely to be able to break above 0.6630 today. In the longer run, the price action continues to suggest AUD strength; the next level to watch is 0.6630, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

AUDUSD

Technical Analysis

Banks

Válasz

USD/CAD heavy ahead of BOC policy decision – BBH

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By Fxstreet

USD/CAD heavy ahead of BOC policy decision – BBH

USD/CAD trades below its 200-day moving average as markets await the Bank of Canada’s rate decision. A widely expected 25bps cut to 2.25% is unlikely to mark the start of an aggressive easing cycle, with fiscal support and firm inflation arguing against deeper cuts, BBH FX analysts report.

USDCAD

Banks

BOC

Technical Analysis

Válasz

GBP/USD might decline further to 1.3210 – UOB Group

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Fxstreet

GBP/USD might decline further to 1.3210 – UOB Group

Renewed downward momentum suggests Pound Sterling (GBP) could decline further to 1.3210, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

GBPUSD

Banks

Technical Analysis

Válasz

NZD/USD Price Forecast: Resistance at 0.5805 is likely to hold bulls

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By Fxstreet

NZD/USD Price Forecast: Resistance at 0.5805 is likely to hold bulls

The New Zealand Dollar’s recovery against the US Dollar stalled just below 0.5800 on Wednesday. The pair maintains a near-term positive trend intact so far, but the resistance area in the vicinity of 0.5800 is likely to pose a significant challenge for bulls.

NZDUSD

Technical Analysis

Currencies

Válasz

EUR/USD might test and even rise above 1.1680 – UOB Group

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By Fxstreet

EUR/USD might test and even rise above 1.1680 – UOB Group

The current price movements are likely part of a range-trading phase between 1.1630 and 1.1670.

Technical Analysis

EURUSD

Banks

Válasz

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Tests confluence support zone around 177.00, nine-day EMA

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Fxstreet

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Tests confluence support zone around 177.00, nine-day EMA

EUR/JPY extends its losses for the second successive day, trading around 177.10 during the European hours on Wednesday.

EURJPY

Crosses

Technical Analysis

Válasz

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Fxstreet

USD/CNH: Guided lower by fix – OCBC

USD/CNY continued to trade with a heavy bias, guided lower by PBOC fix – now under 7.09. USD/CNH was last at 7.0998, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Banks

USDCNH

Technical Analysis

Válasz

USD/CAD: Will the Bank of Canada cut rates again? – Commerzbank

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Fxstreet

USD/CAD: Will the Bank of Canada cut rates again? – Commerzbank

This afternoon, the Bank of Canada will begin this week's series of four G10 central bank meetings. Just under two weeks ago, the market began to anticipate another rate cut of 25 basis points, and is now consistently factoring this in with an estimated probability of around 80%.

Banks

Technical Analysis

USDCAD

BOC

Canada

Válasz

AUD: Bias remains for upside play – OCBC

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Fxstreet

AUD: Bias remains for upside play – OCBC

Australian Dollar (AUD) extended its run-up, helped by a firmer AU CPI print for 3Q while prospects of better US-China relations, firmer RMB and pro-risk appetite remain supportive of AUD. Pair was last at 0.66 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

AUDUSD

Technical Analysis

Banks

RBA

Válasz

USD: Some upside risks, but nothing like September – ING

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Fxstreet

USD: Some upside risks, but nothing like September – ING

When the Fed delivered a well-telegraphed 25bp cut in September, the US Dollar (USD) rallied. Back then, USD positioning was heavily short, and some hawkishly perceived comments by Powell exacerbated the correction, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.

DollarIndex

Banks

Technical Analysis

Fed

Válasz

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Fxstreet

USD/JPY: Bias for downside play – OCBC

USD/JPY continued to trade lower on comments from MoF officials that they are watching JPY closely and on comments from US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. Pair was last at 152.27 levels.

USDJPY

Banks

Technical Analysis

BOJ

Válasz

EUR/USD hesitates with all eyes on the Fed's monetary policy decision

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Fxstreet

EUR/USD hesitates with all eyes on the Fed's monetary policy decision

EUR/USD is trading with minor losses on Wednesday, changing hands at 1.1635 at the time of writing, yet with bearish attempts limited above 1.1618.

EURUSD

Majors

Currencies

Technical Analysis

SEO

Válasz

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Fxstreet

CAD: BoC to cut 25bp today – ING

Bank of Canada is set to cut rates by 25bp today.

Banks

USDCAD

BOC

Technical Analysis

Canada

Válasz

The ADP data released yesterday could hurt Fed's conviction for a December cut

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Investing Live

The ADP data released yesterday could hurt Fed's conviction for a December cut

The market is 100% sure on another rate cut in December, but what if the Fed casts doubt on it?

Fed

Válasz

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Fxstreet

EUR: Soft momentum on the day – ING

EUR/USD lost some ground overnight and is lagging other G10 currencies this week, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.

Banks

Technical Analysis

EURUSD

Momentum

Válasz

AUD: A rate cut seems unlikely now – Commerzbank

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Fxstreet

AUD: A rate cut seems unlikely now – Commerzbank

In September, the Reserve Bank of Australia left interest rates unchanged but hinted that it wanted to cut them further. Although it was prepared for inflation to rise slightly again over the coming months, the central bank did not appear particularly concerned.

AUDUSD

Banks

RBA

Technical Analysis

Australia

Válasz

European indices hold a more tepid mood to start the day

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Investing Live

European indices hold a more tepid mood to start the day

It's a mixed mood in the equities space with US futures keeping higher though

Stocks

Válasz

USD/CAD Price Forecast: Holds losses below 1.3950, lower rectangle boundary

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Fxstreet

USD/CAD Price Forecast: Holds losses below 1.3950, lower rectangle boundary

USD/CAD extends its losses for the third successive session, trading around 1.3930 during the early European hours on Wednesday. The short-term price momentum is weaker as the pair is falling below the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).

USDCAD

Majors

Technical Analysis

Canada

Válasz

Eurostoxx futures flat in early European trading

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Investing Live

Eurostoxx futures flat in early European trading

Not too much in it as we look to the session ahead

Stocks

Válasz

FX option expiries for 29 October 10am New York cut

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Investing Live

FX option expiries for 29 October 10am New York cut

A look at what is on the board for today

Options

Forex

Válasz

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD recovers further to $47.50; not out of the woods yet

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Fxstreet

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD recovers further to $47.50; not out of the woods yet

Silver (XAG/USD) is trading with a positive bias during the Asian session on Wednesday and looking to build on the overnight bounce from the vicinity of mid-$45.00s, or the lowest level since September 25.

Silver

Commodities

Technical Analysis

XAGUSD

Válasz

RBNZ governor Hawkesby: It is crucial that central bank has full operational independence

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Investing Live

RBNZ governor Hawkesby: It is crucial that central bank has full operational independence

Remarks by RBNZ governor, Christian Hawkesby, at the Directors and Senior Officers Workshop

RBNZ

Válasz

Federal Reserve FOMC preview - Powell seen cutting rates but holding guidance steady

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Investing Live

Federal Reserve FOMC preview - Powell seen cutting rates but holding guidance steady

Standard Chartered sees 25bp Fed cut, Powell cautious as data blackout clouds outlook.

Fed

Válasz

Australia's CBA sees no more rate cuts from RBA, cash rate at 3.6% for an extended time

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Investing Live

Australia's CBA sees no more rate cuts from RBA, cash rate at 3.6% for an extended time

Reserve Bank of Australia forecast from Commonwealth Bank of Australia

RBA

Válasz

Goldman Sachs expects a 25bp rate cut from the Bank of England in November

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Investing Live

Goldman Sachs expects a 25bp rate cut from the Bank of England in November

Goldman Sachs prior forecast was for no rate cut

GBP

BOE

Válasz

BofA sees BoJ hiking rates in January after hawkish October hold

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Investing Live

BofA sees BoJ hiking rates in January after hawkish October hold

Bank of America’s outlook points to continued USD/JPY resilience as markets price in a delayed BoJ tightening cycle.

BOJ

JPY

Válasz

Japan Chief Cabinet Secretary Kihara says has no comment on Bessent's remarks

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Investing Live

Japan Chief Cabinet Secretary Kihara says has no comment on Bessent's remarks

A lost opportunity, Kihara should have given them endorsement!

BOJ

JPY

Válasz

Coming up - Fed expected to cut rates by 25 bps, Powell seen offering limited guidance

Hírkibeszélő fórum

By Investing Live

Coming up - Fed expected to cut rates by 25 bps, Powell seen offering limited guidance

The Fed is expected to cut rates by 25 bps today, with Chair Powell likely to remain cautious and avoid new guidance. Divisions persist inside the FOMC as some officials warn about sticky inflation while others point to rising labour-market risks.

Fed

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