Following the announcement of the deal with Japan, it seems that negotiations with the EU are also gathering momentum. Yesterday, the US Treasury Secretary stated that the Japan deal was not a blueprint for the EU, as the latter had not yet presented any such 'innovative' ideas.
The ECB announces monetary policy today and is widely expected to keep rates on hold. Trade and the euro’s strength are the two hot topics in Frankfurt today.
Silver (XAG/USD) is trading lower for the second consecutive day on Thursday, as the risk-on mood weighs on demand for the safe-haven precious metals, but the pair has a significant support at the $38.75 area (July 22 lows), which is keeping the bullish structure in place so far.News that the EU is
EUR/JPY breaks its five-day winning streak, trading around 171.90 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The bullish bias is strengthening as the technical analysis of the daily chart shows that the currency cross moves upwards within the ascending channel pattern.
Gold price drops below $3,400 on news that the United States (US) and the European Union (EU) are close to signing an agreement, similar to the one signed by Washington and Tokyo on Tuesday. Consequently, the Greenback edges lower, a tailwind for the golden metal.
The Euro (EUR) reverses its intraday losses against the Swiss Franc (CHF) on Tuesday, with the EUR/CHF cross rebounding to trade around 0.9331 during the American trading hours.
USD/JPY is experiencing its third consecutive day of losses on Wednesday as traders reassess positioning in the wake of a newly announced trade agreement between the US and Japan.
The GBP/USD rose more than 0.30% on Wednesday, boosted by an upbeat risk appetite following the announcement of the US-Japan trade deal, which increased demand for high-beta currencies like the British Pound and other commodity currencies.
Silver (XAG/USD) is treading water on Wednesday after a sharp two-day run to mark fresh multi-year highs. The metal consolidating just below the key $39.50 mark during the American trading hours.
The US Dollar (USD) is edging lower on Wednesday, extending its three-day slide as traders continue to tread cautiously ahead of the August 1 tariff deadline. Market sentiment has improved slightly following news of a trade agreement between the US and Japan.
The Euro (EUR) is soft, down 0.2% against the US Dollar (USD) and underperforming all of the G10 currencies into Wednesday’s NA session, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
Soft underlying tone is likely to lead to a lower range of 7.1635/7.1800 rather than a sustained decline. In the longer run, USD is expected to trade in a range between 7.1550 and 7.1920, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Strong momentum suggests further US Dollar (USD) weakness against Japanese Yuan (CNH), but any decline might not be able to break the major support at 145.75.
Mild upward pressure suggests AUD could edge higher, but it is unlikely to reach 0.6575. In the longer run, there has been a light increase in upward momentum; AUD could edge higher toward 0.6575, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
This morning, Trump announced he reached a trade deal with Japan, with tariffs on Japanese imports set at 15% while Japan will invest $550bn into the US. Pair was last at 146.43, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Pound Sterling (GBP) is likely to consolidate between 1.3475 and 1.3535 against US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, a clear break above 1.3535 would indicate that GBP could rise to 1.3575, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Japanese markets are showing signs of strength, but political uncertainty is capping yen gains. Despite bullish signals from equities and rates, USD/JPY remains stuck near 147, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
The Japanese yen is virtually unchanged this morning. However, this is not due to a lack of news. Rather both sides seem to be roughly balancing each other out, Commerzbank's FX analyst Volkmar Baur notes.
There is potential for Euro (EUR) to rise above 1.1765 against US Dollar (USD); overbought conditions suggest it might not be able to hold above this level.
Equity markets are trading higher around the world on news that President Trump has announced a trade deal between the US and Japan, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
US Dollar (USD) fell further overnight amid continued decline in UST yields. DXY was last at 97.42 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
The Nikkei 225 has confirmed a bullish breakout above its multi-month range, powered by an inverse head and shoulders pattern. Momentum remains strong, with targets set near last year’s highs and beyond, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
Dow Jones Futures rises ahead of the US market opening on Wednesday, trading around 44,850, up by 0.32%, during European hours. Meanwhile, S&P 500 Futures are up by 0.28% to 6,360, and Nasdaq 100 Futures appreciate 0.13% to trade near 23,250.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is remaining steady after three days of losses and trading around 97.40 during the early European hours on Wednesday.
The S&P 500's bullish momentum is strong. Watch this video for a professional technical analysis breakdown, and if I were you, I wouldn't think about shorting... yet.
GBP/JPY has retraced its recent losses, trading around 198.80 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. A look at the daily chart suggested the currency cross is moving upwards within an ascending channel pattern, suggesting a persistent bullish bias.
The USD/CAD pair enters a bearish consolidation phase during the Asian session and oscillates in a narrow trading band around the 1.3600 mark, near a two-week low touched earlier this Wednesday.
Silver price rally continued during the week, posting gains of over 0.94% on Tuesday and reaching 14-year highs, levels last seen in September 2011. At the time of writing, XAG/USD trades at $39.25.
EUR/USD remains above the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 1.1704, trading with gains of over 0.50% due to an improvement in risk appetite weighing on the US Dollar, even though fears that the European Union (EU) and the United States (US) might fail to reach a deal before the August 1 deadline
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