Australian Dollar (AUD) is likely to consolidate in a range of 0.6555/0.6595 against US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, short-term momentum has eased slightly; AUD may still move to 0.6645, but the odds are not high, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
As long as Pound Sterling (GBP) holds below 1.3480 against US Dollar (USD), it could test 1.3405; the major support at 1.3365 is unlikely to into view.
EUR/GBP edges lower by over 0.60% at the time of writting on Monday after breaking out of recent consolidation. Momentum indicators remain supportive, with the pair eyeing 0.8800 and higher levels, while 0.8645–0.8660 serves as near-term support, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
There is a chance for Euro (EUR) to rise above 1.1775 against US Dollar (USD); the major resistance at 1.1795 is likely out of reach for now. In the longer run, price action indicates further EUR strength, likely toward 1.1795, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
US Dollar (USD) traded mixed as markets await catalysts this week – JOLTS job openings (Tuesday); ADP employment, 2Q GDP (Wednesday); FOMC, core PCE (Thursday); NFP (Friday) while anticipating more trade deals/details ahead of 1 Aug tariff deadline.
Euro (EUR) consolidated near recent highs, following confirmation of a trade deal between US and Europe, with a tariff of 15% on most EU imports while EU plans to invest $600bn in the US and increase its purchases of US energy and military equipment.
Dax futures are currently trading up 1.2% as investors welcome some clarity on trade. Whether this remains the final deal remains to be seen, but taken at face value, European corporates can now progress with some planning.
USD/CAD extends its winning streak for the third successive session, trading around 1.3730 during the European hours on Monday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the pair moves sideways within the rectangular pattern, suggesting a prevailing neutral bias.
The EUR/USD pair kicks off the new week on a positive note and climbs to the 1.1770 area during the Asian session in reaction to the optimism over a trade deal between the US and the European Union (EU).
The GBP/USD pair posts modest gains near 1.3440 during the Asian trading hours on Monday. The latest optimism fueled by a trade deal between the United States (US) and the European Union (EU) triggers a fresh wave of the global risk-on sentiment, which boosts the Pound Sterling (GBP).
The USD/CNH pair holds its ground for the third successive session, trading around 7.1690 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair moves littles as traders adopt caution ahead of meeting between US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng due on Monday in Stockholm.
The EUR/USD finished the week up by nearly 1% on Friday, yet ended the daily session flat, following economic data from the United States (US) that was worse than expected, but offset by positive trade news. With the Greenback cutting losses, the pair trades at 1.1741 virtually unchanged.
Gold price (XAU/USD) is poised to end the week on a lower note as economic data from the United States (US) and progress in trade deals with the latter weighed on safe-haven demand, driving the yellow metal lower.
Since US President Trump’s reciprocal tariffs address on April 2, the EUR is the second best performing G10 currency after the safe-haven CHF, Rabobank's FX analyst Jane Foley reports.
The Australian Dollar (AUD) is losing ground against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, pressured by rising US Treasury yields that continue to support demand for the Greenback.
The GBP/USD tumbles to a day's low after clearing the 1.3500 figure, following economic data from the United States (US) that justified the Federal Reserve’s need to maintain its current monetary policy. Conversely, UK Retail Sales disappointed investors after missing the mark.
EURUSD falls to session lows below 1.17109, bounces back above 100-hour moving average at 1.17334. Traders struggle for control as price consolidates near key levels, looking for directional conviction.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is weakening against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday as risk-on sentiment and widening interest rate differentials continue to pressure the Yen.
Gold is trading lower on Friday as risk appetite improves, trade tensions ease, and the US Dollar firms.At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading below $3,330, down over 1% on the day, pressured by rising US Treasury yields and fading demand for safe-haven assets.
The US Dollar (USD) trades with a positive tone for the second straight day on Friday, drawing strength from upbeat US economic data and fresh optimism on trade.
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range between 7.1440 and 7.1630 against Chinese Yuan (CNH). In the longer run, USD view is negative; it could drop to 7.1295, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has likely moved into a 0.6015/0.6055 consolidation phase. In the longer run, NZD could continue to rise; the next level to watch is 0.6080, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The current price movements are likely part of a 0.6570/0.6615 consolidation phase. In the longer run, short-term momentum has eased slightly; AUD may still move to 0.6645, but the odds are not high, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Pullback in Pound Sterling (GBP) could extend but is unlikely to threaten 1.3450 (there is another support level at 1.3490). In the longer run, upward momentum has largely faded; GBP is expected to trade in a range of 1.3450/1.3590, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
EUR/CHF is stabilizing after defending key support levels, with recent price action suggesting a potential base formation. A hold above 0.9290 could open the door to further gains, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
The Euro extends its gains for the second consecutive day against the Pound Sterling, reaching fresh three-week highs above 0.8700, with bulls targeting the year-to-date high of 0.8740.UK data released earlier on Friday revealed that Retail Sales increased by a softer-than-expected 0.9% rate in June
Euro (EUR) could pull back further against US Dollar (USD), but any decline is likely part of a lower range of 1.1715/1.1775. In the longer run, price action indicates further EUR strength, likely toward 1.1795, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
A less dovish ECB has sent EUR/GBP close to 0.87. Some more optimism from the German Ifo today could send EUR/GBP back to the 0.8735 high seen in April, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
USD/JPY took a turn higher as Tokyo core CPI surprised to the downside (2.9% vs 3% exp), further pushing back expectations of BoJ policy normalisation – in terms of the timing of the next rate hike. Pair was last at 147.87 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
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