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China needs fiscal push to fix trade war damage, says PBOC adviser
China needs fiscal push to fix trade war damage, says PBOC adviser
A PBOC adviser warned that China's economy is fragile despite high exports and needs a major fiscal push, not monetary easing, to repair trade war damage.
China
pboc
PBOC sets USD/ CNY mid-point today at 7.0928 (vs. estimate at 7.1192)
PBOC sets USD/ CNY mid-point today at 7.0928 (vs. estimate at 7.1192)
PBOC CNY reference rate setting for the trading session ahead.
CNY
China
CNH
pboc
PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1192 – Reuters estimate
PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1192 – Reuters estimate
PBOC CNY reference rate setting for the trading session ahead.
CNY
CNH
pboc
RBA Governor Bullock makes no mention of interest rates or economy in speech on payments
RBA Governor Bullock makes no mention of interest rates or economy in speech on payments
There will be a Q&A to follow, this is likely to be more of interest to traders
AUD traders - Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullock speaking imminently (live link)
AUD traders - Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullock speaking imminently (live link)
Last week we had soft jobs data, next week the CPI is due. Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullock speech sandwiched between the two!
RBA
AUD
GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Extends advance, eyes on 204.00
GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Extends advance, eyes on 204.00
The GBP/JPY extended its gains on Thursday, ending up 0.19% at around 203.30, up so far in the week close to 0.55%. At the time of writing, as Friday’s Asian session begins, the cross-pair trades at 203.36 virtually unchanged.
GBPJPY
Technical Analysis
Currencies
Crosses
Aberdeen says December BoE rate cut more likely after inflation surprise
Aberdeen says December BoE rate cut more likely after inflation surprise
Aberdeen says an unexpected stall in UK inflation, supported by moderating wage growth, has made a December rate cut by the Bank of England more likely.
GBP
BOE
EUR/USD steady near 1.16 as traders brace for US inflation data
EUR/USD steady near 1.16 as traders brace for US inflation data
EUR/USD holds firm during the North American session on Thursday, as the Dollar post modest gains of over 0.05% as market participants wait for the release of September’s US inflation data. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.1617 after hitting a low of 1.1585.
Majors
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
Macroeconomics
SEO
UBS Sees EUR/CHF rising to 0.94 as the probability of SNB intervention gains
UBS Sees EUR/CHF rising to 0.94 as the probability of SNB intervention gains
UBS forecasts the euro will rally to 0.94 against the franc, driven by expected SNB intervention to weaken the 'safe-haven' currency.
CHF
SNB
AUDUSD Technicals: AUDUSD switches the bias from bearish earlier today, but bullish
AUDUSD Technicals: AUDUSD switches the bias from bearish earlier today, but bullish
The 100 day MA at 0.6533 looms on the topside as a key level to get to and through to increase the bullish bias.
WTI Price Forecast: Crude Oil challenges 50-day SMA as US sanctions spark fresh rally
WTI Price Forecast: Crude Oil challenges 50-day SMA as US sanctions spark fresh rally
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) surges on Thursday, extending its rally for the third consecutive day after the United States (US) imposed sanctions on Russian energy majors Rosneft and Lukoil, stoking supply concerns.
WTI
Oil
Technical Analysis
SupportResistance
Gold bounces above $4,100 as buyers step in ahead of US CPI
Gold bounces above $4,100 as buyers step in ahead of US CPI
Gold price recovers some ground on Thursday after posting back-to-back bearish daily candles, courtesy of traders booking profits ahead of the release of September’s US inflation report, along with a slight tempering of US President Donald Trump's trade rhetoric on China.
Gold
XAUUSD
Technical Analysis
Fundamental Analysis
SEO
GBP/USD slips as softer UK inflation boosts BoE dovish bets
GBP/USD slips as softer UK inflation boosts BoE dovish bets
GBP/USD retreats on Thursday, down over 0.21% after the latest inflation report in the United Kingdom (UK) increased the odds for a Bank of England (BoE) rate cut by the end of the year. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.3326 after reaching a high of 1.3360.
GBPUSD
Fundamental Analysis
Technical Analysis
Majors
Currencies
EURUSD Technicals: The EURUSD is trading to a new high after support held on the downside.
EURUSD Technicals: The EURUSD is trading to a new high after support held on the downside.
The EURUSD stalled the fall at a swing area between 1.15816 and 1.1597. The 100 and 200 hour MAs converged at 1.16268 is a key target and barometer for both buyers and sellers now
EUR soft and drifting back below 1.16 – Scotiabank
EUR soft and drifting back below 1.16 – Scotiabank
The Euro (EUR) is trading defensively and drifting back below 1.16 as it fades a portion of Wednesday’s gains, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
EURUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
USDCHF Technicals: Sellers making a play in the USDCHF. Price dips back below 200 hour MA.
USDCHF Technicals: Sellers making a play in the USDCHF. Price dips back below 200 hour MA.
The 200 hour MA comes in at 0.7986 in the USDCHF. Key barometer for buyers and sellers today.
CHF
USD
Introducing the “Patient Hunter” Trading Strategy. Tesla stock post-earnings example.
Introducing the “Patient Hunter” Trading Strategy. Tesla stock post-earnings example.
The Patient Hunter waits where others quit, striking only when the prey opportunity is probably rare.
Stock Picks
Stock Earnings
Stocks
The USD is higher vs EUR, JPY & GBP as the NA session begins. What are the charts saying?
The USD is higher vs EUR, JPY & GBP as the NA session begins. What are the charts saying?
The EURUSD and GBPUSD are starting the session near a key swing area. The USDJPY is stretching back toward the October high (and highest level since February).
Gold firms as investors weigh US-China talks and Russia sanctions
Gold firms as investors weigh US-China talks and Russia sanctions
Gold (XAU/USD) fluctuates within a tight range on Thursday, consolidating after a sharp correction from historic highs.
Gold
XAUUSD
SEO
Technical Analysis
TradeWar
GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Pound crawls towards 204.00 on Yen weakness
GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Pound crawls towards 204.00 on Yen weakness
The British Pound is has reverted to Wednesday’s pullback and trades at the upper range of the 203.00s, as news that the new Japanese government should be preparing a large stimulus program is hammering the Yen on Thursday.Reuters has reported, citing a government document, that Prime Minister Takai
GBPJPY
Technical Analysis
Currencies
Crosses
USD/CNH: Likely to trade between 7.1220 and 7.1320 – UOB Group
USD/CNH: Likely to trade between 7.1220 and 7.1320 – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade between 7.1220 and 7.1320. In the longer run, USD could drop to 7.1130; a clear break below this level will shift the focus to 7.1000, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Banks
Technical Analysis
USDCNH
USD/JPY: Likely to trade trade between 150.00 and 153.00 – UOB Group
USD/JPY: Likely to trade trade between 150.00 and 153.00 – UOB Group
Outlook is mixed; US Dollar (USD) could trade between 150.00 and 153.00 for now, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USDJPY
Technical Analysis
Banks
NZD/USD: Likely to trade in a range of 0.5725/0.5755 – UOB Group
NZD/USD: Likely to trade in a range of 0.5725/0.5755 – UOB Group
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to trade in a range of 0.5725/0.5755. In the longer run, outlook for NZD remains neutral, but a narrower range of 0.5700/0.5770 is likely enough to contain the price movements for now, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
NZDUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
USD/CAD trades steadily near 1.40 – BBH
USD/CAD trades steadily near 1.40 – BBH
USD/CAD holds flat near 1.40 as traders eye potential catalysts from a US-Canada trade deal and next month’s pro-growth Canadian budget, BBH FX analysts report.
USDCAD
Banks
Canada
Technical Analysis
AUD/USD: Expected to trade in a sideways range of 0.6445/0.6555 – UOB Group
AUD/USD: Expected to trade in a sideways range of 0.6445/0.6555 – UOB Group
Australian Dollar (AUD) is likely to trade in a range between 0.6475 and 0.6510. In the longer run, for the time being, AUD is expected to trade in a sideways range of 0.6445/0.6555, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
AUDUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
GBP/USD: Likely to trade in a sideways range of 1.3330/1.3380 – UOB Group
GBP/USD: Likely to trade in a sideways range of 1.3330/1.3380 – UOB Group
Downward momentum has eased with the rebound; Pound Sterling (GBP) is likely to trade in a sideways range of 1.3330/1.3380. In the longer run, GBP is likely to edge lower within a lower range of 1.3310/1.3435, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Technical Analysis
GBPUSD
Banks
DXY: Mild upside risk – OCBC
DXY: Mild upside risk – OCBC
US Dollar (USD) consolidated near 5-day high, but price action remains lacklustre. DXY last at 99 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
DollarIndex
Banks
Technical Analysis
USD: The foreign exchange market is currently indifferent to higher tariffs – Commerzbank
USD: The foreign exchange market is currently indifferent to higher tariffs – Commerzbank
Back in the spring, practically everything revolved around tariffs, and even the slightest announcement could cause turmoil in the foreign exchange markets. Now, however, the market is hardly reacting to the threat of 100% tariffs on pharmaceuticals.
DollarIndex
Banks
Technical Analysis
Fed
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Could target record highs on a successful break above 177.00
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Could target record highs on a successful break above 177.00
EUR/JPY extends its gains for the third successive session, trading around 177.00 during the European hours on Thursday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that bullish bias is strengthening as the currency cross remains within the ascending channel pattern.
EURJPY
Technical Analysis
Crosses
USD/JPY: Interim upside risks – OCBC
USD/JPY: Interim upside risks – OCBC
USD/JPY continued to trade higher post-parliament vote but the move higher was also driven by the broad rebound in USD, instead of just policy uncertainty. Pair was last at 152.59 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
USDJPY
Technical Analysis
Banks
USD: Holding pattern – ING
USD: Holding pattern – ING
Based on yesterday’s price action, we reiterate our view that the USD’s rebound is getting tired and probably requires some hawkish repricing to keep going. As discussed over the week, we don’t think tomorrow’s US CPI will offer that opportunity as we expect a consensus 0.3% MoM core print.
Banks
DollarIndex
Oil
Commodities
Technical Analysis
EUR/USD: Likely to trade in a range between 1.1580 and 1.1625 – UOB Group
EUR/USD: Likely to trade in a range between 1.1580 and 1.1625 – UOB Group
Euro (EUR) is likely to trade in a range between 1.1580 and 1.1625. In the longer run, downward momentum is building; EUR is likely to trade with a downward bias, potentially retesting the 1.1540 level, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Technical Analysis
EURUSD
Banks
TRY: Uncertain size of rate cuts after higher-than-expected inflation – ING
TRY: Uncertain size of rate cuts after higher-than-expected inflation – ING
The Central Bank of Turkey will decide on another rate cut today. We expect a 150bp rate cut to 39%; however, the story is more unclear than usual.
Banks
USDTRY
Turkey
Technical Analysis
CBRT
Gold: Bulls need to reclaim 4130 – OCBC
Gold: Bulls need to reclaim 4130 – OCBC
Gold has yet to recover after the steep decline from all-time high, but pace of decline is starting to moderate. XAU last seen at 4114.34 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Gold
Banks
XAUUSD
Technical Analysis
Metals
EUR: Heading into a non-event ECB – ING
EUR: Heading into a non-event ECB – ING
EUR/USD is hovering around 1.160, a level that, in our view, can work as an anchor again today and possibly for a few more days should US CPI fail to add much to the US Dollar (USD) narrative, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
EURUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
EUR/GBP Price Forecasts: Trapped in a tightening range around 0.8700
EUR/GBP Price Forecasts: Trapped in a tightening range around 0.8700
The Euro is giving away most of the gains taken on Wednesday on Thursday, amid the softer-than-expected UK inflation data, and returns below 0.8700.
EURGBP
Technical Analysis
Crosses
Currencies
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Remains below 1.4000, tests lower ascending channel boundary
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Remains below 1.4000, tests lower ascending channel boundary
USD/CAD moves little after two days of losses, trading around 1.3990 during the early European hours on Thursday. The technical analysis of the daily chart suggests a weakening of a prevailing bullish bias as the pair is attempting to break below the ascending channel pattern.
USDCAD
Majors
Technical Analysis
EUR/USD languishes ahead of the Eurozone Consumer Confidence release
EUR/USD languishes ahead of the Eurozone Consumer Confidence release
EUR/USD drifterd moderately lower during Thursday's European session and trades at 1.1590 at the time of writing, down from the previous day's highs at 1.1620.
EURUSD
Currencies
Technical Analysis
Fed
SEO
Broker Rebates