Standard Chartered on BTC, maintains a bullish long-term outlook, forecasting Bitcoin could reach $200,000 by the end of 2025.

  • Bitcoin's price movements are driven by broader market risks rather than factors specific to the cryptocurrency.
  • On a volatility-adjusted basis, Bitcoin has performed similarly to major assets like Tesla, Meta, and Apple.
  • A recovery in Bitcoin’s price may depend on a broader rebound in risk assets or positive developments, such as sovereign Bitcoin purchases.
  • Clarity on tariffs or swift Federal Reserve rate cuts could act as catalysts for a Bitcoin rebound.
  • Estimates suggest a 75% probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut by May.

Caveat:

  • The Fed’s decision next week is expected to keep rates unchanged but may impact risk assets, potentially pushing Bitcoin toward $70,000, with Ethereum and Solana following the trend.
  • If Bitcoin falls below $76,500, it could test key support around $69,000.

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Bitcoin update:

btcusd chart update 12 March 2025 2
Source: Forex Live