Rebound in New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has scope to test 0.6025 against US Dollar (USD), but a sustained break above this level is unlikely. In the longer run, NZD must break and hold below 0.5940 before further declines are likely, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) cut rate 25bp to bring policy rate down to 0%, as widely anticipated. USD/CHF was last at 0.8165 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
US Dollar (USD) was a touch softer this morning alongside brent and gold. Dollar Index (DXY) gapped down today; last at 98.60 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Rebound in Pound Sterling (GBP) could test 1.3500 before a pause or pullback against US Dollar (USD) is likely; the strong resistance at 1.3520 is unlikely to come under threat.
The US Dollar keeps trading in a bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows against a weaker Yen and is on track to close the week 0.8% higher, despite the strong Japanese inflation figures seen earlier today.
The current price movements are likely part of a range trading phase between 1.1470 and 1.1540. In the longer run, Euro (EUR) is likely to trade in a range against US Dollar (USD) for now, probably between 1.1400 and 1.1570, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The EUR/USD has failed to return above the 1.1500 level on Monday and has turned lower, to reach levels right above the last two weeks' lows, at 1.1450.
The USD/CAD pair holds steady near 1.3700 during the early European trading hours on Friday. However, fears of US involvement in Middle East conflict could spark demand for the US Dollar (USD), a safe-haven currency.
EUR/CAD extends its winning streak for the fifth consecutive day, trading around 1.5780 during the Asian hours on Friday. Technical analysis on the daily chart indicates a strengthening bullish bias as the currency cross moves upwards within the ascending channel pattern.
Silver (XA/USD) is seen prolonging its retracement slide from the highest level since February 2012 touched earlier this week and losing ground for the third consecutive day on Friday.
The GBP/USD pair continues to gain ground for the second successive session, trading around 1.3500 during the Asian hours on Friday. The bullish bias persists as the daily chart’s technical analysis indicates that the pair remains within the ascending channel pattern.
Silver price retreats on Thursday after back-to-back bearish days, as investors seeking safety buy the US Dollar (USD), pushing the US Dollar Index (DXY) to a six-day high of 99.15. Rising tensions in the Middle East grow as the US could be dragged into the conflict.
EUR/USD is virtually unchanged on Thursday amid deteriorating risk appetite and growing speculation that the United States (US) could become involved in the Middle East conflict.
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) remains under pressure on Thursday, with NZD/USD sliding toward 0.5980 as the US Dollar extends gains. The pair broke below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.6012 and the lower edge of a rising wedge pattern, a move that suggests bullish momentum has faded.
Gold price registers modest gains on Thursday as geopolitical tensions rose due to increasing rumors that the United States (US) might become involved in the Israel–Iran conflict. Nevertheless, a slightly hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) caps the golden metal's advance.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) trades within familiar levels after hitting a four-week low of 1.3383, recovers and posts gains of over 0.03% against the US Dollar (USD) following the Bank of England's (BoE) decision to keep rates unchanged.
The Silver (XAG/USD) edges lower for the second consecutive day on Thursday, retreating from a fresh multi-year high of $37.32 touched on Wednesday, as traders lock in profits following the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious policy pause.
The Indian Rupee (INR) extends its losing streak for a third consecutive day against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, sliding to a three-month low as the escalating Middle East conflict fuels fresh supply worries and keeps Crude Oil prices elevated.
Pound Sterling (GBP) is soft and trading defensively into Thursday’s NA session with markets unphased by the BoE’s as-expected hold at 4.25% but offering some reaction to a 7-3 hold-cut split, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
Euro (EUR) is quietly consolidating within a tight range just below 1.15, holding flat vs. the US Dollar (USD) and treading water in light US-holiday trade, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is modestly weaker on the session but losses may be moderating above 1.37 for now, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range between 7.1830 and 7.2030 against Chinese Yuan (CNH). In the longer run, USD has likely moved into a 7.1620/7.2200 range trading phase, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade between 144.40 and 145.50 against Japanese Yen (JPY). In the longer run, there has been a tentative buildup in momentum; for a sustained advance, USD must first break and hold above 145.50, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The US Dollar is faring better than the Japanese Yen in the current risk-averse scenario, with geopolitical concerns driving markets, which keeps the USD/JPY trending higher, with bulls testing resistance at the 145.35 level.Investors' fears of an escalation of the Middle East conflict have been boo
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to trade in a sideways range of 0.6000/0.6045 against US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, NZD is expected to trade in a range between 0.5980 and 0.6080, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USD/CHF is attempting a modest rebound from 0.8030, but remains below key resistance at 0.8350, keeping the broader downtrend intact, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
The two major US macro events yesterday (the FOMC and TIC data) left very few marks on FX. Markets are understandably attaching limited value to dot plot projections given the high uncertainty of the tariff impact and recent oil volatility.
AUD/JPY retraces its recent gains registered in the previous day, trading around 94.10 during the European hours on Thursday. As per the technical analysis of the daily chart, the currency cross moves upwards within an ascending channel pattern, indicating a bullish bias.
Non-directional price movements for now; AUD is likely to trade between 0.6475 and 0.6540. In the longer run, AUD appears to have moved into a range-trading phase between 0.6430 and 0.6550, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
In the FX space, geopolitical concerns appear to have overshadowed the FOMC outcome. Last at 99 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
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