The USD/INR pair falls on Tuesday for a third consecutive day, as a pullback in global Crude Oil prices and a weaker Greenback improved the outlook for India’s trade balance.
The Euro (EUR) is up a modest 0.2% vs. the US Dollar (USD), consolidating around 1.16 and threatening a break of its recent multi-year high, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne EUR and Eric Theoret report.
While the 'ceasefire' between Israel and Iran declared by President Trump yesterday looks fragile—Israel is reportedly ordering a new strike on Iran after an alleged breach of the truce—markets continue to trade as if the conflict is over.
According to US President Trump, there is allegedly a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. First, Iran is to lay down its weapons for 12 hours, followed by Israel for 12 hours, so that the war will be over within 24 hours.
US Dollar (USD) could edge lower against Chinese Yuan (CNH), but any decline is unlikely to break below the major support at 7.1620. In the longer run, USD has likely moved into a 7.1620/7.2200 range trading phase, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
EUR/HUF is staging a tentative rebound after defending key trendline support near 398. However, the 200-DMA and upper band of its recent range at 405 remain a critical test.
There is a chance for Pound Sterling (GBP) to test 1.3580 before the risk of a pullback increases. In the longer run, outlook appears mixed; GBP could trade in a range of 1.3420/1.3655 for now, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Markets are materially scaling back geopolitical risk as President Trump declared that a ceasefire between Iran and Israel is in place following measured retaliatory strikes on US positions in Qatar yesterday.
Eurozone PMIs came in largely in line with expectations yesterday, signalling that business sentiment has stabilised after the tariff scare but still points to stagnation, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
Silver price (XAG/USD) retraces its recent gains registered in the previous session, trading around $36.00 per troy ounce during the early European hours on Tuesday.
The USD/CAD pair trades in negative territory around 1.3720 during the early European session on Tuesday. The Greenback weakens against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as a ceasefire between Iran and Israel comes into effect following four waves of Iranian attacks on Israeli-occupied territories.
EUR/JPY halts its three-day winning streak, trading around 168.80 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. According to the technical analysis of the daily chart, the currency cross attempts to break above the ascending channel pattern, strengthening the bullish bias.
The AUD/JPY consolidates within the 93.80-94.70 range for the third straight trading day, yet it is slightly up 0.21%, trading at 94.35 as Tuesday’s Asian session begins.
Silver prices stabilized as the week began, rising 0.39%, as slight risk aversion amid heightened geopolitical tensions provided support. XAG/USD reached a daily high of $36.36 before settling at $36.14, ending three days of losses.
Gold prices remain bid during the North American session as breaking news revealed Iran’s attack on US bases in Qatar, in retaliation for the over-the-weekend attack on Iran's nuclear installations by the White House.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) reverses its decline from a five-week low, strengthening against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, as the Greenback loses ground after mixed US PMI data and dovish remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Bowman.
The Pound Sterling advances during the North American session, up 0.37% against the US Dollar, as risk appetite improved amid developments in the Middle East. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades at 1.3500.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is edging lower after a strong start on Monday as markets monitor the risks of an Iranian retaliation against the United States (US) and look ahead to Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming testimony on Tuesday.
The direction of oil prices this morning reflects the market’s cumulative view on what it deems to be the current level of risk regarding the Middle East crisis. Brent oil spiked higher at the open only to fall back to below levels traded towards the end of last week.
Gold prices are recovering during the US session on Monday, as escalating geopolitical tensions and shifts in the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate narrative have led to a resurgence in bullish momentum.
Pound Sterling (GBP) is weak and down 0.5% against the US Dollar (USD), a mid-performer among the G10 in an environment of broad-based USD strength, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note.
The Euro (EUR) is weak, down 0.5% against the US Dollar (USD) and a mid-performer among the G10 in an environment of broad-based USD strength, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note.
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