US Dollar (USD) snapped decline overnight as US data - initial jobless claims, prelim services PMI surprised to the upside while UST yields drifted higher. DXY was last at 97.71 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
After a torrid few days, the dollar managed to find a little support yesterday. The domestic data was mildly encouraging in that weekly jobless claims fell again, the service sector pushed the US composite PMI to the highest levels since last December, and June new home sales were not too weak.
Euro (EUR) consolidated overnight after 4 days of rally. Pause comes as markets re-evaluate prospects of trade deals. EU believe a trade deal with US is within reach ahead of 1 August deadline. Pair was last seen at 1.1740 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
EUR/USD had a good rally during yesterday's European Central Bank press conference after President Christine Lagarde described the economy as resilient and a little better than expected, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
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The Euro downside attempts found buyers at the 172.50 area earlier on Friday, which sent the pair back to the 172.90 area, at a short distance to the one-year highs of 173.25.The pair is on track for a nine-week rally, which is starting to give signs of exhaustion.
AUD/JPY edges lower after two days of losses, trading around 96.90 during the Asian hours on Friday. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows that the currency cross remains within the ascending channel pattern, suggesting a prevailing bullish bias.
The EUR/USD drops over 0.20% on Thursday after solid economic data from the United States (US) weighed on the shared currency, which benefited from the European Central Bank (ECB) holding rates unchanged. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.1749, having reached a daily high of 1.1789.
Gold price retreats during the North American session, down by over 0.50% on Thursday following the release of strong labor market data despite weakening manufacturing activity, according to the S&P Global Flash PMI survey.
The Australian Dollar (AUD) is pulling back after hitting an eight-month high against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday. The pair reached a session high of 0.6625 before easing to trade near 0.6596 at the time of writing.
Silver (XAG/USD) edges lower on Thursday after marking a fresh 14-year high of $39.53 on Wednesday, as improving global trade sentiment boosted risk appetite and dented demand for traditional safe-haven assets like precious metals.
The GBP/USD rally stalls as the Greenback stages a recovery, pushing the pair down over 0.24% after registering three straight days of gains that fell short of cracking the 1.3600 figure.
USDCAD sits in a tight battle zone; a break on either side could define the next directional move amid mixed Canadian retail data and ongoing trade tensions.
EUR/GBP is edging higher on Thursday as traders digest economic data from both regions and a measured tone from the European Central Bank (ECB).At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 0.8685, holding just below key resistance at 0.8738, as attention turns to diverging growth signals and c
The US Dollar (USD) takes a breather on Thursday after sliding to a two-week low on Wednesday as renewed optimism around global trade deals boosted market sentiment.
The Euro (EUR) is soft, down a modest 0.2% against the US Dollar (USD) as we head into Thursday’s NA session and the 8:15am ET ECB policy decision (followed by the 8:45am ET press conference), Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
Wall Street futures anticipate a mixed opening on Thursday, as the enthusiasm about trade deals wears off. Dow Jones futures are trading 0.30% lower at the time of writing, while S&P 500 Index futures trade 0.10% higher and the Nasdaq Index advances 0.3%, pointing to new record highs.
Risk for US Dollar (USD) remains on the downside against Chinese Yuan (CNH); the significant support level at 7.1295 is probably out of reach for now. In the longer run, USD view is negative; it could drop to 7.1295, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range of 145.95/146.95 against Japanese Yen (JPY). In the longer run, rapid increase in momentum indicates USD could weaken to 145.75, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
As long as New Zealand Dollar (NZD) holds above 0.6015 against US Dollar (USD), it may test 0.6060 before leveling off. In the longer run, NZD could continue to rise; the next level to watch is 0.6080, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
AUD/USD remains supported above its 50-DMA, with positive momentum pointing to further upside toward 0.6685 and beyond. Short-term support holds near 0.6500, Societe Generale's FX analysts report.
EUR/USD is recovering after finding support near 1.1555, but the pair faces a key test at 1.1830. A failure to break above this resistance could trigger a period of consolidation, Societe Generale's FX analysts report.
While negative divergence is forming, Euro (EUR) could edge above 1.1795 against US Dollar (USD); the major resistance at 1.1830 is likely out of reach for now.
The dollar didn’t suffer in the first half of July from trade tensions re-escalating. And it is equally finding no benefit from positive trade deal news.
Amidst all the discussions about potential trade deals with the US (see yesterday's article on Japan and today's article on the EU), one important point has been overlooked. Switzerland has not yet received a letter threatening tariffs from 1 August.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) has continued to strengthen overnight, remaining the best performer in G10 since the start of the week, up 1.8% against the US Dollar (USD), ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
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