Forex Nachrichten und Analyse
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EUR/USD: Slippery slope if 1.10 breaks – Societe Generale
EUR/USD: Slippery slope if 1.10 breaks – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux highlights renewed Dollar strength pressuring EUR/USD towards the key 1.10 level, with the pair already below its 200-week moving average and challenging the May 2025 trough.
EURUSD
Banks
Silver price today: Silver falls, according to FXStreet data
Silver price today: Silver falls, according to FXStreet data
Silver prices (XAG/USD) fell on Thursday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $50.91 per troy ounce, down 1.57% from the $51.72 it cost on Wednesday.
Silver
Commodities
Metals
Oil: Hormuz mine strikes support Brent rebound – Commerzbank
Oil: Hormuz mine strikes support Brent rebound – Commerzbank
Commerzbank Research highlights escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, with reported mine strikes on tankers and disrupted LNG flows, as a key driver of Oil’s rebound.
Oil
Banks
Commodities
WTI
Brent
CEE FX: Strong Dollar and energy rebound weigh – ING
CEE FX: Strong Dollar and energy rebound weigh – ING
ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky notes that rising global energy prices and a stronger Dollar are pressuring Central and Eastern European currencies. EUR/PLN is near 4.420, EUR/CZK at its highest since mid-October, and EUR/HUF above 365. ING maintains a bearish view on CEE FX, expecting further downside for regional currencies as markets follow the broader global narrative ahead of local GDP data and CNB minutes.
Banks
Hungary
Poland
EURHUF
CzechRepublic
US Dollar: Fed repricing supports stronger levels – MUFG
US Dollar: Fed repricing supports stronger levels – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman highlights that the US Dollar has extended gains, pushing the Dollar Index to a fresh year-to-date high as markets price a faster pace of Federal Reserve rate hikes.
DollarIndex
Fed
Banks
Levels
Euro holds gains against Canadian Dollar despite ECB rate hike doubts, rising oil prices
Euro holds gains against Canadian Dollar despite ECB rate hike doubts, rising oil prices
EUR/CAD inches higher after two days of losses, trading around 1.5810 during European hours on Thursday. However, the currency cross may face further challenges as the Euro (EUR) remains under pressure.
Eurozone
Macroeconomics
EURCAD
Crosses
Canada
US labor market: Watching claims and wages – UBS
US labor market: Watching claims and wages – UBS
Paul Donovan at UBS points out that US initial jobless claims may draw attention in a quiet data calendar, alongside upcoming Housing data.
Employment
UnitedStates
Banks
Macroeconomics
India: RBI seen hiking if CPI tops 6% – Commerzbank
India: RBI seen hiking if CPI tops 6% – Commerzbank
Commerzbank Research expects India’s October CPI inflation to rise above 6% year‑on‑year, driven by high Oil prices, strong domestic demand and an unfavourable base. The report notes RBI’s projections keep inflation near the top of its target band through mid‑2027, implying further rate hikes. OIS pricing suggests cumulative tightening of nearly 90bp by February 2027.
India
Inflation
CPI
Banks
Macroeconomics
UK GDP: Growth stays resilient – UBS
UK GDP: Growth stays resilient – UBS
UBS economist Paul Donovan notes that UK GDP has maintained recent strength, with further gains in the third quarter driven mainly by Services. He highlights that UK consumers have seen small positive real income growth and still have scope to lower savings rates, supporting ongoing consumption.
UnitedKingdom
GDP
Macroeconomics
Banks
Plaee Plugs Into Underdog, and Operators Skip the CFTC Queue
Plaee Plugs Into Underdog, and Operators Skip the CFTC Queue
Underdog and Plaee announced a technology partnership that gives operators on Plaee’s white-label stack access to event contracts on Underdog’s CFTC-regulated exchange.
prediction markets
USD/CHF Price Forecast: Bears testing support at previous highs around 0.8315
USD/CHF Price Forecast: Bears testing support at previous highs around 0.8315
The US Dollar (USD) posts moderate losses against the Swiss Franc (CHF) on Thursday, trimming gains after a 1.7% rally over the previous two days pushed momentum indicators into overbought levels on intraday charts.
USDCHF
Technical Analysis
Majors
Currencies
MAS Markets Hires Swiss Finance Corporation's Gareth Palmer for FX Sales
MAS Markets Hires Swiss Finance Corporation's Gareth Palmer for FX Sales
MAS Markets has hired Gareth Palmer from Swiss Finance Corporation to sell electronic currency trading to institutions. The London-based liquidity provider announced the appointment today (Thursday).
MAS Markets
First Abu Dhabi Bank
WTI Price Forecast: Downside bias persists while below 100-SMA hurdle near $86.80
WTI Price Forecast: Downside bias persists while below 100-SMA hurdle near $86.80
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – attracts some dip-buyers on Thursday, climbing back above the $86.00 mark during the first half of the European session.
Oil
Commodities
MiddleEast
Technical Analysis
WTI
Equiti Clients Can Now Trade Directly From TradingView Charts
Equiti Clients Can Now Trade Directly From TradingView Charts
Equiti Group clients can now place forex and CFD orders directly from TradingView charts. The UAE-based broker and TradingView announced the connection today (Thursday).
US Dollar: Hawkish skew supports upside risks – ING
US Dollar: Hawkish skew supports upside risks – ING
ING strategists led by Francesco Pesole note the Dollar’s rally is driven by hawkish Federal Reserve rhetoric and stronger US inflation, pushing DXY back to April 2025 levels. They stress this is a rates-driven move, with real front-end differentials supporting Dollar momentum. The team continues to see upside risks in coming days, with PPI flagged as a potential catalyst for another USD leg higher.
DollarIndex
Fed
Banks
Macroeconomics
USD/JPY: Verbal intervention as pair nears 160 – MUFG
USD/JPY: Verbal intervention as pair nears 160 – MUFG
Lee Hardman at MUFG notes that USD/JPY has rebounded toward 160.00 as the stronger US Dollar and hawkish Fed repricing unwind September’s BoJ-driven correction.
USDJPY
Banks
Currencies
Majors
Dow Jones futures remain steady amid hawkish Fed rate outlook, Nvidia leadership turmoil
Dow Jones futures remain steady amid hawkish Fed rate outlook, Nvidia leadership turmoil
Dow Jones futures remain steady around 52,580 during the European hours on Thursday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures decline 0.43% to trade around 7,610, and Nasdaq 100 futures fall 0.92% to trade around 28,210.
DowJones
SP500
Nasdaq
Macroeconomics
Equities
Global equities: Nvidia turmoil raises chip and AI risks – Rabobank
Global equities: Nvidia turmoil raises chip and AI risks – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Global Daily notes that Nvidia’s board is reportedly discussing removing Jensen Huang as CEO after personal and export-control related allegations, creating turbulence for global equities given heavy US and AI concentration.
Equities
Nasdaq
Banks
eToro Adds 65 Exchange-Traded Futures in Australia, Where It Holds 45% of CFD Traders
eToro Adds 65 Exchange-Traded Futures in Australia, Where It Holds 45% of CFD Traders
Australian clients of eToro can now trade 65 futures contracts listed by CME Group, the company said today (Thursday). The contracts cover metals, equity indices, energy, currencies, crops and inte...
etoro
CME Group
Australia
Brent: Inflation expectations rise on price rebound – Deutsche Bank
Brent: Inflation expectations rise on price rebound – Deutsche Bank
Jim Reid’s team at Deutsche Bank reports that Brent Oil prices rebounded by 1.2% after two days of declines, even without a clear headline driver. This move fed into higher inflation expectations, with 1‑year Euro inflation swaps rising to 3.02%.
Oil
Brent
Banks
EUR/USD: Downside risks toward 1.10 – ING
EUR/USD: Downside risks toward 1.10 – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole highlights that divergent central bank rhetoric between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank is weighing on the Euro against the Dollar. Wider two-year swap differentials favour USD, leaving EUR/USD at risk of testing 1.100 in coming days. ING expects that level to offer solid support, arguing a decisive break below 1.100 would likely require markets to price a 50bp Fed hike in December.
EURUSD
Fed
ECB
Banks
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD slips below $51.50 ahead of US key economic data
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD slips below $51.50 ahead of US key economic data
Silver price (XAG/USD) depreciates after posting modest gains in the previous day, trading around $51.40 per troy ounce during the European hours on Thursday. Dollar-denominated Silver falls as a stronger US Dollar (USD) weighs on the precious metal.
XAGUSD
Macroeconomics
Commodities
Metals
Euro finds temporary support near 1.1066 against US Dollar, outlook remains uncertain
Euro finds temporary support near 1.1066 against US Dollar, outlook remains uncertain
The Euro (EUR) finds cushion after posting a fresh 18-month low near 1.1066 against the US Dollar (USD) during the day, trading almost flat at around 1.1090 in the European trade. The EUR/USD pair rebounds slightly on Thursday as the US Dollar gives back some of its early gains.
EURUSD
ECB
Fed
InterestRate
Inflation
Japanese Yen decline halts a few pips shy of 160.00 as intervention risks grow
Japanese Yen decline halts a few pips shy of 160.00 as intervention risks grow
The Japanese Yen (JPY) trades practically flat against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, following a nearly 1.25% selloff over the previous two days, hammered by growing monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ).
USDJPY
Currencies
BOJ
Fed
Inflation
New Zealand Dollar depreciates as hawkish Fed rate hike bets lift US Dollar
New Zealand Dollar depreciates as hawkish Fed rate hike bets lift US Dollar
NZD/USD loses ground for the third consecutive day, trading around 0.5550 during European hours on Thursday.
NZDUSD
Macroeconomics
Majors
NewZealand
RBNZ
British Pound moves little after UK GDP as intervention risks support Yen
British Pound moves little after UK GDP as intervention risks support Yen
The GBP/JPY cross reverses a modest intraday dip, climbing back to the 212.00 mark during the early European session on Thursday, though it remains confined within a range held over the past week or so.
GBPJPY
GDP
BOE
BOJ
Currencies
SEC Backs CFTC in Court Fight Over Perpetual Futures on US Stocks
SEC Backs CFTC in Court Fight Over Perpetual Futures on US Stocks
The top US securities regulator has sided with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in a court fight over perpetual futures on US stocks.
Securities and Exchange Commission
CFTC
perpetual futures
S&P 500: Tech rally offsets post‑CPI selloff – Deutsche Bank
S&P 500: Tech rally offsets post‑CPI selloff – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Early Morning Reid highlights a sharp rebound in US equities, led by AI‑linked and semiconductor names after CoreWeave’s strong earnings. The Philly Semiconductor Index and Nasdaq surged, lifting the S&P 500 back above pre‑midterm levels.
Equities
Banks
SP500
Nasdaq
US Dollar Index: Fed pricing supports renewed strength – Deutsche Bank
US Dollar Index: Fed pricing supports renewed strength – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid and colleagues highlight that Fed funds futures shifted in a more hawkish direction after the CPI release, lifting expectations for future rate hikes.
DollarIndex
Fed
Banks
Euro remains almost stable against British Pound after strong UK GDP data
Euro remains almost stable against British Pound after strong UK GDP data
The Euro (EUR) remains steady at around 0.8350 against the British Pound (GDP) in the European trade on Thursday, as the latter trades almost stable after the release of the United Kingdom (UK) Q3 and September Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data.
EURGBP
BOE
GDP
Inflation
Employment
British Pound remains depressed despite upbeat UK GDP and industrial output data
British Pound remains depressed despite upbeat UK GDP and industrial output data
The British Pound (GBP) edged up against the Dollar (USD) following the release of UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Industrial Production figures on Thursday, yet with the broader bearish trend practically intact.
GBPUSD
Currencies
GDP
IndustrialProduction
Fed
Forex Today: US Dollar Index climbs to fresh 19-month high, Gold drops below $4,000
Forex Today: US Dollar Index climbs to fresh 19-month high, Gold drops below $4,000
Here is what you need to know on Thursday, November 12:
Fed
DollarIndex
Majors
Currencies
Macroeconomics
Australian Dollar drops to fresh low since January, further below 0.6850 vs bullish USD
Australian Dollar drops to fresh low since January, further below 0.6850 vs bullish USD
The AUD/USD pair drifts lower for the third straight day, also marking the fifth day of a negative move in the previous five, hitting a fresh low since January during the early European session on Thursday.
AUDUSD
RBA
Fed
MiddleEast
Currencies
Bullish
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Rally likely extend towards 104.00
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Rally likely extend towards 104.00
The US Dollar (USD) outperforms its major currency peers, except the Japanese Yen (JPY), on Thursday, amid fears that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could turn aggressive on its current monetary tightening cycle to contain elevated inflationary pressures.
DollarIndex
Fed
InterestRate
Inflation
SupportResistance
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Strengthens above 1.4250, retains positive bias above 100-day SMA
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Strengthens above 1.4250, retains positive bias above 100-day SMA
The USD/CAD pair gains momentum to around 1.4260 during the early European trading hours on Thursday. Falling crude oil prices exert some selling pressure on the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) against the US Dollar (USD).
USDCAD
Majors
Macroeconomics
Fed
Canada
Nasdaq futures are under pressure. Is it too late to short?
Nasdaq futures are under pressure. Is it too late to short?
Nasdaq futures near 28,185 after Nvidia’s slide. See three short entries on a rebound, the 28,337 stop and how partial fills change the reward-to-risk. This…
Technical Analysis
WTI declines below $85.00 on hopes for Ukraine peace talks, oversupply worries
WTI declines below $85.00 on hopes for Ukraine peace talks, oversupply worries
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $84.75 during the early European trading hours on Thursday. WTI falls amid hopes for progress in peace talks over the Middle East and Russia-Ukraine, and growing US inventories.
WTI
Ukraine
MiddleEast
Oil
Macroeconomics
BoJ's Asada warns rate hikes could push down underlying inflation given consumption lacks momentum
BoJ's Asada warns rate hikes could push down underlying inflation given consumption lacks momentum
Bank of Japan (BoJ) board member Toichiro Asada said on Thursday that the central bank must be mindful of risk rate hikes that could push down underlying inflation given consumption lacks momentum.
BOJ
CentralBanks
Japan
Macroeconomics
InterestRate
Momentum
Swiss Franc holds gains against US Dollar despite hawkish Fed outlook
Swiss Franc holds gains against US Dollar despite hawkish Fed outlook
USD/CHF inches lower after two days of gains, trading around 0.8330 during Asian hours on Thursday.
USDCHF
Majors
Switzerland
Fed
Macroeconomics
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Enters fresh upside leg on consolidation breakout
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Enters fresh upside leg on consolidation breakout
The Japanese Yen (JPY) outperforms its major currency peers on Thursday. Against the US Dollar (USD), the Asia-Pacific currency is marginally higher even as the US Dollar Index (DXY) hits a fresh 18-month high at 103.08 during the day.
USDJPY
Fed
BOJ
PPI
Breakouts
Broker-Rabatte