Gold (XAU/USD) edges higher on Friday after a bout of volatility sparked by the CME trading outage briefly dragged prices lower. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $4,209, with the metal on track to notch its fourth straight monthly gain.
US Dollar (USD) is likely to consolidate within a range of 7.0680/7.0880. In the longer run, downward momentum remains strong; if USD breaks below 7.0600, the next level to watch is 7.0400, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USD is likely to trade sideways between 156.00 and 156.75. In the longer run, soft underlying tone suggests there is a chance for USD to edge downward; any decline is likely part of a lower range of 155.05/157.05, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The impact of change in political leadership has been clear in Japan with the yen notably weaker and JGB yields higher as market participants position for reflationist policies under the new leadership of Sanae Takaichi.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) could rise above 0.5735; any further advance is unlikely to reach 0.5755. In the longer run, the price action suggests NZD is likely to advance further; the levels to watch are 0.5735 and 0.5755, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
US Dollar (USD) crosses have traded in tight ranges as the Thanksgiving holiday dried up flows. Volatility shouldn't pick up materially today, even though the dollar remains vulnerable to a convergence lower towards short-term swap rates, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
Australian Dollar (AUD) is likely to edge higher; any advance is likely part of a 0.6520/0.6555 range. In the longer run, rapid increase in upward momentum suggests AUD could rise further to 0.6555, potentially reaching 0.6580, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USD/JPY is expected to hover around 156 as Japan’s budget lands broadly in line with expectations, while firm Tokyo inflation reinforces the BOJ’s gradual tightening path, DBS' Senior FX Strategist Chang Wei Liang notes.
Growth in the US is seen as much more robust, and there is skepticism about an improvement in the German economy, and it has become increasingly clear that markets are somewhat critical of the expectation of a stronger EUR/USD over the coming months, Commerzbank's FX analyst Volkmar Baur notes.
The BoK’s move to drop rate-cut language has offered the KRW some support, even as officials flag rising overseas investment by young Koreans and call for more cautious FX hedging by the national pension fund, DBS' Senior FX Strategist Chang Wei Liang notes.
Upward momentum continues to increase; if Euro (EUR) closes above 1.1620, it could lead to a move toward 1.1655, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
EUR/USD extends its reversal from highs above 1.1600 earlier on Friday, and trades near 1.1560 following a batch of mixed Eurozone figures, as traders brace for the preliminary German inflation report.
The Euro is showing a mild positive tone against the British Pound on a calm trading session on Friday, yet with bulls struggling to find acceptance above a previous support, now turned resistance, in the area between 0.8765 and 0.8770.A batch of Eurozone releases has not been particularly supportiv
USD/CAD holds ground after three days of losses, trading around 1.4040 during the early European hours on Friday. The daily chart’s technical setup reflects an ongoing bullish bias, with the pair remaining within its ascending channel pattern.
The EUR/JPY cross trades in negative territory near 181.05 during the early European session in Friday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) edges higher against the Euro (EUR) amid some verbal intervention from Japanese authorities.
Silver (XAG/USD) struggles to capitalize on the Asian session move up and retreats from the $54.40-$54.45 region, or its highest level since October 17, touched earlier this Friday.
Westpac’s read-through suggests marginal downside risk to front-end yields and mild support for housing-linked equities, as tighter lending rules reduce the need for the RBA to counter housing heat with policy.
Firm inflation and a soft yen strengthen expectations of a BOJ move, supporting JPY upside risks while posing headwinds for Japanese equities sensitive to higher rates.
EUR/USD is flat on Thursday amid thin trading liquidity conditions as US markets are closed for Thanksgiving. Still expectations that the Federal Reserve might reduce borrowing costs keep the Greenback pressured, with the Euro poised to end the week with gains. The pair trades at 1.1596.
ETF executives see early signs of rotation away from AI megacaps as Fed rate cuts restore liquidity. A broadening of equity leadership would favour EM FX, cyclicals and value-tilted sectors, while trimming the shine from crowded AI-growth trades.
Gold (XAU/USD) remains firm during the North American session on Thursday amid a low-volume trading session as US markets remain closed in observance of the Thanksgiving holidays. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $4,158, virtually unchanged.
The Australian Dollar (AUD) remains on the front foot against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, as traders lean into expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will keep policy steady at its December meeting while maintaining a hawkish bias.
The Japanese Yen trims part of its earlier recovery against the US Dollar on Thursday as the Greenback shows resilience in muted, holiday-thinned trading. At the time of writing, USD/JPY is hovering around 156.30, edging higher modestly after briefly touching a daily low of 155.73.
The Economist described it as a ‘bodge-it budget’ that doesn’t give Britain what it needs. The FT calls it a ‘Spend now, pay later’ budget, which merely delays fiscal pain. The Guardian calls it a ‘live now, pay later’ budget and wonders what happens when ‘later’ arrives.
GBP/JPY holds steady near 207.00 on Thursday after touching a fresh year-to-date high on the previous day, with sentiment leaning in favour of the British Pound (GBP) following the United Kingdom’s Autumn Budget.
Gold (XAU/USD) is treading water on Thursday as a modest rebound in the US Dollar (USD) weighs on the precious metal. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $4,155, hovering near two-week highs reached on Wednesday, with prices up over 2% so far this week.
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