The Indian Rupee (INR) drops against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, with the USD/INR pair edging higher to near 90.10, as the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announces a dovish monetary policy.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from its lowest level since late October and trades with a mild negative bias during the Asian session on Friday.
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The EUR/JPY cross trades on a softer note around 180.60 during the early European session on Friday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) edges higher against the Euro (EUR) amid growing speculation that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates when it meets in December.
The rate cut reinforces a dovish RBI stance, likely pressuring short-end yields and keeping INR biased weaker unless supported by flows. The possibility of another 25bp reduction anchors expectations for a near-term easing peak around 5%, with liquidity measures providing additional support for credit conditions.
Gold (XAU/USD) attracts some buyers heading into the European session on Friday, though it lacks bullish conviction and remains confined in the weekly trading range.
The report boosts market conviction that the BOJ will resume tightening at the December meeting. Yen strength and softer JGB futures reflect expectations that the BOJ may pivot more decisively toward normalisation, though policymakers will watch data closely before confirming the move.
The PBOC’s shift toward a neutral fixing bias implies limited yuan upside in the near term, with authorities seeking to balance investor confidence against export competitiveness. A stable yuan into year-end reduces FX volatility risk but may cap appreciation trades unless macro conditions shift meaningfully.
Silver price (XAG/USD) trades 0.5% higher to near $57.50 during the Asian trading session on Friday. The white metal rises after regaining ground, following a correction move to near $56.50 from the all-time high of $58.90.
The GBP/USD pair trades on a flat note near 1.3330 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. Traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key US inflation report later on Friday.
A rate cut or dovish liquidity signals could weaken the rupee and push USD/INR back through 90. Softer yields show bond markets leaning dovish, though growth data complicates the case for immediate easing.
The USD/CAD pair trades in a tight range around 1.3950 during the Asian trading session on Friday. The Loonie pair wobbles inside Thursday’s trading range as investors await the Canadian labour market data for November, which will be published at 13:30 GMT.
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The EUR/USD pair attracts some dip-buyers during the Asian session on Friday and recovers a part of the previous day's retracement slide from the 1.1680 region, or the highest level since October 17.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues with its relative outperformance against a broadly weaker US Dollar (USD) through the Asian session on Friday and climbs back closer to a nearly three-week high, touched the previous day.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $59.45 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The WTI declines amid an increase in US crude oil stockpiles, signaling excess supply.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will hold its cash rate at 3.60% at its December next week and keep it steady through 2026, according to the latest Reuters poll.
The sharp miss underscores fragile consumer demand and may temper expectations for sustained BOJ tightening. While a December hike remains the base case, markets may pare back longer-term rate forecasts, supporting JGBs and weighing slightly on yen optimism.
On Friday, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) sets the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 7.0749 compared to the previous day's fix of 7.0733 and 7.0751 Reuters estimate.
The RBI’s tolerance for a weaker rupee signals reduced intervention risk and greater FX flexibility, but rising outflows and oil-driven import costs keep depreciation pressures alive. Equity inflows may stay cautious until external balances stabilise or clarity emerges on India-US trade and index-inclusion prospects. Softer US yields could provide limited relief.
The NZD/USD pair edges lower to around 0.5765 during the early Asian trading hours on Friday, pressured by the rebound in the US Dollar (USD). Nonetheless, the potential downside for the pair might be limited amid rising bets for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) next week.
The AUD/USD pair enters a bullish consolidation phase during the Asian session on Friday and oscillates in a range around the 0.6600 round figure, just below a nearly two-month high, touched the previous day.
Japan’s Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said on Friday that interest rates are shaped by “various factors” and reiterated that the government will closely monitor market developments, pursue appropriate debt-management policies, and craft budgets with fiscal sustainability in mind.
The comments reinforce a steady policy backdrop ahead of a potential BOJ rate shift. Affirming BOJ autonomy reduces fears of political pressure, while the focus on fiscal sustainability helps anchor JGB markets, though vigilance toward yields and yen volatility remains key.
A unanimous hold signal reinforces stability in short-end pricing, but the shift toward a long pause — and rising chatter about possible hikes — may lend support to AUD and keep front-end yields firm. Markets will watch the December statement closely for any tightening bias as inflation pressures remain elevated.
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades on a flat note near $4,205 during the early Asian trading hours on Friday. Rising US Treasury yields and upbeat US jobs data cap upside for the precious metal. Traders might prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key US inflation data.
The resurgence of shadow lending underscores persistent stress in China’s local-government finances and weak infrastructure spending — a drag on growth-sensitive assets. The trend signals higher credit risk in LGFV-linked markets and may limit Beijing’s ability to stimulate without widening fiscal strain. Investors may interpret this as medium-term negative for China credit, construction supply chains, and commodity demand.
Renewed wage pressure strengthens the narrative that Japan’s labour market is providing the “initial momentum” Governor Ueda says is necessary for sustainable inflation. Robust union demands into shuntō raise the probability of a December BOJ rate hike, supporting yen upside at the margin while keeping upward pressure on JGB yields. Markets will track how widely these wage requests are adopted across sectors.
The steep decline in household spending highlights the disconnect between rising wages and consumer behaviour, potentially limiting the BOJ’s confidence in near-term demand-driven inflation. Yen traders may see the release as modestly dovish for December, though broader policy expectations still hinge on wage momentum and next week’s inflation data.
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