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Weekly Market Outlook (03-07 March)
a month ago
Weekly Market Outlook (03-07 March)
We have a very packed week ahead with particular focus on the US NFP report given the recent growth scare coupled with higher inflation expectations.
market overview
China February PMIs: Manufacturing 50.2 (expected 50.0) Services 50.4 (expected 50.3)
a month ago
China February PMIs: Manufacturing 50.2 (expected 50.0) Services 50.4 (expected 50.3)
These are the official PMI readings from China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS)
CNY
China Stock Market
China
CNH
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD drops near 4% weekly on strong US Dollar
a month ago
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD drops near 4% weekly on strong US Dollar
Silver ended the week on a lower note, down almost 4%, as traders booked profits amid US recession jitters following the release of crucial US data.
Silver
XAGUSD
Technical Analysis
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Rallies and reclaims 150.00, bulls eye key resistance
a month ago
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Rallies and reclaims 150.00, bulls eye key resistance
The USD/JPY rallied for the third straight day after bottoming near 148.60 on Tuesday.
USDJPY
Currencies
Technical Analysis
Forexlive Americas FX news wrap: Growth concerns mount on a crazy day
a month ago
Forexlive Americas FX news wrap: Growth concerns mount on a crazy day
Forex news for North American trading on Feb 28, 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Nth America
AUD/USD slides near 0.6200 after US PCE data, tariffs
a month ago
AUD/USD slides near 0.6200 after US PCE data, tariffs
The AUD/USD pair posts a fresh three-week low near 0.6200 in Friday’s trading session after extending its losing streak for the sixth straight day.
AUDUSD
SEO
TradeWar
Mexican Peso plunges as Trump confirms March tariffs, Peso faces weekly losses
a month ago
Mexican Peso plunges as Trump confirms March tariffs, Peso faces weekly losses
The Mexican Peso (MXN) prolonged its agony and depreciated against the Greenback on Friday, set to achieve weekly losses of over 0.59% as the President of the United States (US) Donald Trump emphasized that tariffs on Mexico are moving forward on March 4.
USDMXN
Banxico
Fundamental Analysis
Technical Analysis
SEO
Zelensky is still scheduled for an interview with Fox News later
a month ago
Zelensky is still scheduled for an interview with Fox News later
We will have to see if it happens
Politics
US Dollar holds ground after PCE data, geopolitical jitters
a month ago
US Dollar holds ground after PCE data, geopolitical jitters
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar against a basket of six major currencies, remains firm above 107.00 on Friday after January’s Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data came in line with forecasts, easing concerns over unexpected inflation spikes.
DollarIndex
SEO
Currencies
Dow Jones Industrial Average recovers ground on shaky legs
a month ago
Dow Jones Industrial Average recovers ground on shaky legs
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) recovered some lost ground on Friday, rebounding about 200 points to remain in contention with the 43,500 level before giving up and falling back to the day’s opening bids.
DowJones
Equities
SEO
US President Donald Trump cancels signing ceremony with Ukraine
a month ago
US President Donald Trump cancels signing ceremony with Ukraine
A meeting between US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelenskyy devolved into an argument on Friday.
OfficialTrump
UnitedStates
Ukraine
So much for the yield curve uninverting
a month ago
So much for the yield curve uninverting
Recession watch back on
Bonds
EUR/USD Price Analysis: Pair stabilizes below 20-day SMA, sharp weekly decline
a month ago
EUR/USD Price Analysis: Pair stabilizes below 20-day SMA, sharp weekly decline
EUR/USD closed the week with a slight recovery but remains in a vulnerable position after failing to sustain gains above the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).
EURUSD
Majors
Currencies
Atlanta Fed GDPNow tracker swan dives into recessionary territory
a month ago
Atlanta Fed GDPNow tracker swan dives into recessionary territory
Q1 GDP growth now forecast at -1.5%
Politics
Canada December FY YTD budget deficit at $21.72B vs $22.72B a year ago
a month ago
Canada December FY YTD budget deficit at $21.72B vs $22.72B a year ago
December balance a bit better than anticipated
GBP/USD struggles at 1.2600 set to first monthly gain since September
a month ago
GBP/USD struggles at 1.2600 set to first monthly gain since September
The Pound Sterling struggles to clear the 1.2600 figure against the US Dollar yet is set for it first monthly gain since September 2024.
GBPUSD
Currencies
Fundamental Analysis
Technical Analysis
US stock markets bounce but FX and bonds less convinced
a month ago
US stock markets bounce but FX and bonds less convinced
Some big moves in stocks but FX not joining in
Stocks
ECB: Keeping all options open – Rabobank
a month ago
ECB: Keeping all options open – Rabobank
A growing group of policymakers is calling for a pause soon, but this will not affect next week’s meeting, Rabobank’s Senior Macro Strategist Bas van Geffen reports.
ECB
InterestRate
Banks
USD/CAD ticks lower after US PCE Inflation, Canadian GDP data release
a month ago
USD/CAD ticks lower after US PCE Inflation, Canadian GDP data release
The USD/CAD pair edges lower to near but holds onto Thursday’s gains around 1.4430 in North American trading hours on Friday.
USDCAD
Fed
Inflation
GDP
TradeWar
US stocks set for modest gains at the open despite further Nvidia selling
a month ago
US stocks set for modest gains at the open despite further Nvidia selling
Shares of Nvidia down 2% pre-market after yesterday's 8% post-earnings dive
Stocks
US advance wholesale inventories +0.7% vs -0.5% exp
a month ago
US advance wholesale inventories +0.7% vs -0.5% exp
Wholesale and retail inventory data
Canada GDP for Q4 annualized 2.6% versus 1.8% estimate
a month ago
Canada GDP for Q4 annualized 2.6% versus 1.8% estimate
Canada G for the f4th quarter of 2024
US January PCE core +2.6% vs +2.6% expected
a month ago
US January PCE core +2.6% vs +2.6% expected
Highlights of the US January PCE report
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Rallies to near 157.00 as Yen weakens across the board
a month ago
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Rallies to near 157.00 as Yen weakens across the board
The EUR/JPY pair rallies to near 157.00 in the North American session on Friday.
EURJPY
ECB
BOJ
TradeWar
Inflation
GBP holds up well on the day – Scotiabank
a month ago
GBP holds up well on the day – Scotiabank
Pound Sterling (GBP) is the best performing G10 currency on the week but is still trading with a 0.3% loss against the generally firmer USD, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
GBPUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
US PCE and Canadian GDP are due at the bottom of the hour
a month ago
US PCE and Canadian GDP are due at the bottom of the hour
A pair of market movers coming up
economic calendar
EUR soft but off lows – Scotiabank
a month ago
EUR soft but off lows – Scotiabank
Inflation data from France showed unchanged prices on the February month (versus expectations of a 0.2% rise) while German regional CPI data support forecasts for steady to slightly lower German CPI data, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
CAD resists deeper USD advance through mid-1.44s – Scotiabank
a month ago
CAD resists deeper USD advance through mid-1.44s – Scotiabank
Right, so border tariffs are back on for next Tuesday. But maybe only for a short period? So much tariff-mongering, so little clarity, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
USDCAD
Technical Analysis
Banks
USD extends gains as Asia FX underperforms – Scotiabank
a month ago
USD extends gains as Asia FX underperforms – Scotiabank
Solid gains for the US Dollar (USD) yesterday reflected renewed tariff concerns, weaker stocks and underperforming alternative havens, such as gold, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
DollarIndex
Technical Analysis
Banks
Germany annual CPI inflation holds steady at 2.3% in February as expected
a month ago
Germany annual CPI inflation holds steady at 2.3% in February as expected
Inflation in Germany, as measured by the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), held steady at 2.3% on a yearly basis in February, Destatis' flash estimate showed on Friday.
Germany
Inflation
CPI
EconomicIndicator